#8 GOAT (9-4)

avg: 1997.22  •  sd: 89.43  •  top 16/20: 98.3%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
1 Sockeye Loss 11-13 2064.01 Jul 13th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2019
6 Sub Zero Win 13-12 2188.25 Jul 13th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2019
32 Prairie Fire Win 13-9 1932.67 Jul 13th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2019
16 Chain Lightning Win 13-8 2333.13 Jul 14th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2019
3 PoNY Win 13-8 2664.17 Jul 14th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2019
2 Truck Stop Loss 6-13 1569.57 Jul 14th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2019
14 Doublewide Loss 13-14 1747.29 Jul 14th TCT Pro Elite Challenge 2019
34 Mad Men Win 13-7 2031.94 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
28 Nain Rouge Win 13-7 2103.61 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
38 Garden State Ultimate Win 13-9 1873.59 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
13 Furious George Loss 7-13 1322.3 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
25 General Strike Win 13-7 2122.42 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
36 Nitro Win 13-2 2063.41 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)