#5 Wild Card (22-3)

avg: 2002.74  •  sd: 80.88  •  top 16/20: 98.9%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
2 AMP Loss 8-11 1741.76 Jun 22nd Boston Invite 2019
35 League of Shadows Win 15-4 2163.4 Jun 22nd Boston Invite 2019
81 The Feminists** Win 13-2 1852.72 Ignored Jun 22nd Boston Invite 2019
31 XIST Win 10-6 2122.08 Jun 22nd Boston Invite 2019
151 Buffalo Lake Effect** Win 15-3 1523.09 Ignored Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2019
4 Slow White Loss 12-13 1890.39 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2019
9 Snake Country Win 14-12 2146.72 Jun 23rd Boston Invite 2019
62 JLP Win 13-10 1679.15 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
139 Tequila Mockingbird** Win 13-4 1585.39 Ignored Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
42 Woodwork Win 12-9 1875.18 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
25 Alloy Loss 12-13 1584.76 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
21 Bucket Win 12-11 1848.21 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
42 Woodwork Win 13-6 2129.81 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
41 BW Ultimate Win 14-7 2122.15 Aug 17th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
11 Lochsa Win 14-13 2008.75 Aug 17th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
13 Toro Win 13-9 2269.04 Aug 17th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
4 Slow White Win 9-7 2294.73 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
7 Mischief Win 8-7 2052.51 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
16 Weird Win 10-6 2292.96 Aug 18th TCT Elite Select Challenge 2019
285 Drunk in Space** Win 15-1 731.84 Ignored Sep 7th East New England Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
199 HAOS** Win 15-1 1296.95 Ignored Sep 7th East New England Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
212 Sorted Beans** Win 15-2 1249.6 Ignored Sep 7th East New England Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
148 Scarecrow** Win 15-4 1528.71 Ignored Sep 7th East New England Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
61 Chaotic Good Win 15-9 1867.35 Sep 8th East New England Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
39 Darkwing Win 14-10 1939.77 Sep 8th East New England Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)