#27 Storm (20-7)

avg: 1653.05  •  sd: 59.92  •  top 16/20: 0.9%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
25 Alloy Loss 6-13 1109.76 Jun 22nd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
72 Ant Madness Win 13-5 1876.3 Jun 22nd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
55 Malice in Wonderland Win 12-10 1647.89 Jun 22nd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
18 Columbus Cocktails Win 13-12 1887.6 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
23 Rally Win 13-7 2268.87 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
159 Rowdy Win 13-8 1396.8 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
16 Weird Loss 10-12 1558.68 Jun 23rd Summer Glazed Daze 2019
129 Bird** Win 13-5 1635.56 Ignored Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
25 Alloy Loss 11-12 1584.76 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
22 Chalice Win 11-10 1842.13 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
18 Columbus Cocktails Loss 9-11 1513.4 Jul 27th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
57 8 Bit Heroes Win 13-10 1720.01 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
19 The Chad Larson Experience Win 11-10 1884.72 Jul 28th TCT Select Flight Invite East 2019
57 8 Bit Heroes Win 13-4 1991.87 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
21 Bucket Loss 7-12 1202.7 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
56 Grand Army Win 12-10 1639.99 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
35 League of Shadows Loss 7-11 1096.5 Aug 10th Chesapeake Open 2019
25 Alloy Loss 8-13 1213.6 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2019
61 Chaotic Good Win 14-5 1951.87 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2019
35 League of Shadows Win 11-10 1688.4 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2019
46 Sparkle Ponies Win 14-9 1964.08 Aug 11th Chesapeake Open 2019
89 FlyTrap Win 12-6 1780.02 Sep 7th North Carolina Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
119 Seoulmates Win 13-5 1689.54 Sep 7th North Carolina Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
159 Rowdy Win 12-7 1421.15 Sep 7th North Carolina Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
265 ThunderCats** Win 13-1 924.61 Ignored Sep 7th North Carolina Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
146 Too Much Fun** Win 13-4 1532.87 Ignored Sep 8th North Carolina Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
38 Superlame Win 12-10 1796.64 Sep 8th North Carolina Mixed Club Sectional Championship 2019
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)