#142 Bryant (15-10)

avg: 1340.78  •  sd: 56.88  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
272 Rowan Win 12-4 1456.78 Feb 10th UMass Invite 2024
108 Vermont-B Loss 5-8 1021.43 Feb 10th UMass Invite 2024
55 Williams Loss 5-12 1149.57 Feb 10th UMass Invite 2024
136 Wesleyan Loss 8-12 927.76 Feb 10th UMass Invite 2024
159 Rhode Island Win 10-8 1550.82 Feb 11th UMass Invite 2024
76 Massachusetts -B Loss 5-13 1010.5 Feb 11th UMass Invite 2024
159 Rhode Island Loss 5-8 834.55 Feb 11th UMass Invite 2024
259 Brandeis Win 12-4 1514.93 Mar 30th New England Open 2024 Open Division
317 Northeastern-C** Win 8-3 1255.82 Ignored Mar 30th New England Open 2024 Open Division
199 Connecticut College Win 13-4 1725.75 Mar 30th New England Open 2024 Open Division
115 Bowdoin Loss 6-13 836.94 Mar 31st New England Open 2024 Open Division
225 Colby Win 13-5 1635.69 Mar 31st New England Open 2024 Open Division
189 Worcester Polytechnic Institute Win 12-7 1680.01 Mar 31st New England Open 2024 Open Division
279 Amherst Win 12-7 1356.02 Apr 13th South New England D III Mens Conferences 2024
312 Western New England** Win 13-5 1273.67 Ignored Apr 13th South New England D III Mens Conferences 2024
341 Holy Cross** Win 15-4 1154.98 Ignored Apr 13th South New England D III Mens Conferences 2024
238 Roger Williams Win 14-8 1525.49 Apr 14th South New England D III Mens Conferences 2024
55 Williams Loss 8-15 1184.76 Apr 14th South New England D III Mens Conferences 2024
80 Bates Loss 7-11 1124.07 May 4th New England D III College Mens Regionals 2024
115 Bowdoin Loss 7-11 970.04 May 4th New England D III College Mens Regionals 2024
238 Roger Williams Win 15-5 1589.45 May 4th New England D III College Mens Regionals 2024
308 Stonehill** Win 15-5 1281.92 Ignored May 4th New England D III College Mens Regionals 2024
115 Bowdoin Loss 9-12 1091.57 May 5th New England D III College Mens Regionals 2024
225 Colby Win 13-7 1593.22 May 5th New England D III College Mens Regionals 2024
189 Worcester Polytechnic Institute Win 13-5 1759.5 May 5th New England D III College Mens Regionals 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)