Club Men's Probabilistic Bid Allocation
2025 Season

Overall Bid Allocation | Step-by-Step Breakdown | Team Statistics | Probabilistic FAQ

Overall Bid Allocation

Bids Region Total Contributing Teams
2 Great Lakes 2.07 GOAT 99.60%,   Chicago Machine 98.90%,   Haymaker 8.30%,  
2 Mid-Atlantic 2.06 Philadelphia Pacmen 100.00%,   Truck Stop 99.90%,   Vault 4.20%,   Oak Grove Boys 1.60%,  
1 North Central 1.06 Sub Zero 100.00%,   Mad Men 5.80%,  
4 Northeast 3.87 DiG 100.00%,   PoNY 100.00%,   Red Tide 94.30%,   Magnitude 61.10%,   Mephisto 28.00%,   Blueprint 2.10%,   Phoenix 1.00%,   Sprout 0.20%,  
2 Northwest 1.94 Rhino Slam! 100.00%,   Sockeye 59.60%,   Furious George 33.90%,   Dark Star 0.10%,  
2 South Central 1.82 Doublewide 99.70%,   Johnny Bravo 82.10%,  
2 Southeast 2.21 Ring of Fire 100.00%,   Chain Lightning 100.00%,   Raleigh-Durham United 21.10%,  
1 Southwest 0.98 Revolver 98.50%,  

Step-by-Step Breakdown

Region GL MA NC NE NW SC SE SW
Initial 2.068 2.057 1.058 3.867 1.936 1.818 2.211 0.985
Autos (all @ 1) 1.068 1.057 0.058 2.867 0.936 0.818 1.211 -0.015
Northeast (@ 2) 1.068 1.057 0.058 1.867 0.936 0.818 1.211 -0.015
Northeast (@ 3) 1.068 1.057 0.058 0.867 0.936 0.818 1.211 -0.015
Southeast (@ 2) 1.068 1.057 0.058 0.867 0.936 0.818 0.211 -0.015
Great Lakes (@ 2) 0.068 1.057 0.058 0.867 0.936 0.818 0.211 -0.015
Mid-Atlantic (@ 2) 0.068 0.057 0.058 0.867 0.936 0.818 0.211 -0.015
Northwest (@ 2) 0.068 0.057 0.058 0.867 -0.064 0.818 0.211 -0.015
Northeast (@ 4) 0.068 0.057 0.058 -0.133 -0.064 0.818 0.211 -0.015
South Central (@ 2) 0.068 0.057 0.058 -0.133 -0.064 -0.182 0.211 -0.015
Total 2 2 1 4 2 2 2 1

Team Statistics (Sorted by bid fraction)

Rank Team Bid Fraction Rating Uncertainty High Sim Low Sim Record
1 DiG 1 2481.13 95.31 1 10 7-2
2 Sub Zero 1 2360.46 75.49 1 11 6-3
3 Philadelphia Pacmen 1 2359.29 72.41 1 13 3-3
4 PoNY 1 2309.43 70.42 1 12 7-2
5 Rhino Slam! 1 2304.41 94.90 1 13 8-1
6 Ring of Fire 1 2280.32 114.38 1 14 5-4
7 Chain Lightning 1 2198.85 50.07 2 14 4-2
8 Truck Stop 0.999 2243.50 105.79 1 17 5-4
9 Doublewide 0.997 2150.33 88.12 2 17 4-2
10 GOAT 0.996 2158.35 97.36 1 18 9-3
11 Chicago Machine 0.989 2466.23 224.70 1 31 7-2
12 Revolver 0.985 2284.61 196.92 1 27 7-2
13 Red Tide 0.943 1982.80 44.58 11 21 7-6
14 Johnny Bravo 0.821 1953.58 54.83 11 21 4-5
15 Magnitude 0.611 1912.44 53.17 11 24 6-1
16 Sockeye 0.596 1939.90 163.85 3 42 6-3
17 Furious George 0.339 1863.00 105.92 10 39 2-4
18 Mephisto 0.28 1836.30 118.20 8 42 3-3
19 Raleigh-Durham United 0.211 1846.57 67.53 12 31 3-3
20 Haymaker 0.083 1742.83 121.15 10 55 6-0
21 Mad Men 0.058 1715.29 114.51 11 49 5-1
22 Vault 0.042 1800.25 56.96 13 33 2-4
23 Blueprint 0.021 1793.59 53.13 14 32 16-3
24 Oak Grove Boys 0.016 1676.80 93.27 14 50 8-4
25 Phoenix 0.01 1730.60 65.54 15 37 2-4
26 Sprout 0.002 1619.19 97.24 14 61 4-3
27 Dark Star 0.001 1723.89 52.32 16 37 15-3
28 SoCal Condors 0 1689.25 46.20 18 37 4-2
29 Lantern 0 1651.54 78.28 19 48 4-3
30 Red Circus 0 1635.81 88.66 17 58 5-2
31 Florida Untied 0 1629.58 52.92 20 47 6-6
32 baNC 0 1618.70 62.90 19 47 0-6
33 Colt 0 1603.70 73.74 17 49 12-7
34 Pittsburgh Temper 0 1587.83 68.80 19 56 5-7
35 Flying Dutchmen 0 1556.82 109.44 17 66 4-2
36 BUDA U20B 0 1478.33 74.28 24 65 3-4
37 SOUF 0 1476.59 80.92 21 77 9-3
38 Mallard 0 1473.94 87.77 21 68 3-3
39 Big Wrench 0 1473.79 78.38 20 65 4-3
40 Trident 0 1463.43 75.94 26 66 10-2
41 Zodiac 0 1463.11 63.88 27 62 4-2
42 Wavestorms 0 1459.81 65.34 28 63 9-2
43 Nighthawk 0 1447.51 140.65 18 100 3-3
44 Club M - Manic 0 1443.60 59.14 30 63 4-2
45 Wretched Refuse 0 1400.56 119.42 19 84 4-1
46 Garden State Ultimate 0 1395.78 80.75 30 77 3-3
47 Lounar 0 1379.88 62.61 33 72 3-9
48 Tanasi 0 1373.61 84.56 30 81 8-3
49 Shade 0 1366.82 100.73 25 96 4-3
50 Knights of Ni 0 1340.68 171.85 18 120 4-2
51 MOB Ultimate 0 1332.80 76.72 34 84 10-0
52 Ascension 0 1324.66 86.83 28 105 4-3
53 ELDL 0 1321.62 96.85 35 94 8-4
54 Kansas City Smokestack 0 1321.57 113.20 27 99 10-2
55 General Strike 0 1310.58 88.71 25 91 3-3
56 Alamode 0 1307.41 105.71 25 96 10-2
57 Switchback 0 1300.89 69.81 37 88 6-6
58 BAG 0 1297.74 82.61 34 90 3-4
59 Iditarod 0 1296.05 68.10 39 86 4-3
60 Grudge 0 1281.73 105.82 28 102 4-2
61 CITYWIDE Special 0 1280.67 85.06 31 95 4-2
62 DAPPER 0 1274.06 65.78 39 89 8-5
63 ZOO 0 1270.43 132.85 24 116 5-1
64 Portland TremOR 0 1267.28 102.46 31 97 3-3
65 Fungi 0 1249.86 93.59 32 99 0-6
66 WOMP 0 1244.77 136.93 24 122 10-1
67 Odyssey 0 1234.75 92.20 36 116 8-6
68 Texas BBQ 0 1215.02 77.99 43 99 10-2
69 I-69 0 1189.67 148.47 33 130 2-4
70 Magma Bears 0 1180.78 69.33 50 100 3-4
71 Fuse 0 1170.03 41.50 55 94 10-2
72 Resurgam Ultimate 0 1157.11 43.05 57 97 2-5
73 DeMo 0 1144.46 81.14 48 104 4-2
74 Skeleton Squad 0 1132.54 63.24 52 102 7-6
75 Sawtooth 0 1123.15 70.94 53 104 9-3
76 Rebels 0 1119.32 98.22 39 120 4-5
77 Zoboomafoo 0 1115.75 67.94 52 113 8-4
78 Hazard 0 1113.76 60.03 56 104 1-5
79 Endgame 0 1108.82 90.79 46 120 8-5
80 Blackfish 0 1107.97 75.25 56 112 3-3
81 OAT 0 1104.67 61.98 52 107 7-5
82 EtobiCoke 0 1097.35 70.76 53 114 4-3
83 Mint 0 1094.15 75.26 53 112 6-5
84 Sebastopol Orchard 0 1084.84 85.44 52 115 4-2
85 Crypt 0 1081.50 63.13 60 107 9-2
86 Riverside 0 1067.92 58.93 64 111 9-3
87 ISO Atmo 0 1065.73 100.46 50 123 8-4
88 Dynasty 0 1054.41 57.70 60 109 7-5
89 Triumph 0 1053.10 109.61 49 138 8-3
90 Utah Swarm U20 Boys 0 1049.98 49.06 66 103 1-2
91 PowderHogs 0 1046.77 81.51 58 117 7-5
92 UPDOG 0 1043.14 105.38 51 138 2-4
93 Gummy Bear Hitmen 0 1035.42 81.42 51 120 6-3
94 Roundhouse 0 1025.90 78.43 60 122 3-3
95 Pittsburgh Stealers 0 1022.95 90.34 57 126 4-2
96 Black Lung 0 1011.53 84.76 58 119 8-3
97 New Jersey Gemini 0 983.48 105.45 57 135 1-5
98 Swordfish 0 967.16 91.78 61 134 4-8
99 Colonels 0 950.50 83.02 65 137 8-5
100 Apollo 0 947.43 79.36 68 140 3-2
101 Town Hall Stars 0 929.35 69.49 64 132 4-0
102 NOx 0 928.81 97.92 60 145 3-3
103 Lil’ Huckers 0 920.59 60.63 80 132 7-8
104 Junco 0 908.06 87.52 61 148 3-7
105 Forest City 0 902.33 81.03 67 143 6-7
106 Texas Tea 0 899.50 74.79 76 146 3-3
107 OPE 0 894.45 81.14 71 148 3-3
108 Atlanta Arson 0 879.77 141.02 56 173 5-4
109 X Wives 0 870.51 129.39 53 166 2-4
110 BANG 0 870.14 68.77 82 145 4-2
111 Skipjack 0 861.24 48.02 94 142 2-0
112 Battleship 0 843.54 84.67 78 163 4-2
113 Colorado Cutthroat U-20 Boys 0 842.03 84.89 79 159 8-3
114 Minnesota Superior U20B 0 838.10 129.60 65 173 4-2
115 Cookie Mon$terz 0 824.24 60.98 92 150 10-2
116 Scythe 0 813.97 48.45 94 145 3-3
117 Beef Depot 0 812.73 107.58 76 172 5-4
118 Seven Gills 0 797.75 126.42 73 172 2-4
119 Tugboat 0 784.32 83.85 88 169 8-3
120 EZ 0 782.38 87.90 87 170 3-7
121 Psychedelic 0 769.02 93.34 91 167 7-5
122 Connecticut 9 to 5 0 766.33 76.89 94 165 3-3
123 ATLiens 0 760.83 122.51 61 181 3-2
124 Gang Of Disc 0 760.82 91.07 88 169 6-0
125 Queen City Kings 0 747.08 96.98 83 169 5-4
126 Dreadnought 0 740.67 44.60 105 149 5-7
127 Alibi 0 731.29 53.90 106 159 4-3
128 Cache Valley High Ground 0 727.09 82.63 96 167 1-8
129 Charleston Heat Stroke 0 723.78 66.59 99 163 2-3
130 L.U.T $ack 0 721.97 111.22 86 175 3-3
131 Alliance 0 717.72 109.75 89 173 5-7
132 UpRoar 0 717.19 123.91 73 177 3-3
133 Zodiac 0 709.80 86.94 98 171 3-3
134 MBTA 0 700.47 45.97 113 161 3-10
135 Heartbreak 0 699.39 90.61 100 171 2-4
136 Battery 0 686.20 69.25 106 174 3-3
137 Texas Duffy 0 678.81 78.70 107 172 4-8
138 John Doe 0 671.37 65.41 109 169 3-3
139 Cozy Boys 0 662.20 108.76 83 192 3-3
140 El Niño 0 661.63 50.16 116 170 3-3
141 Atlanta Outlaws 0 661.14 99.88 99 179 6-6
142 BUDA Regional Select 0 659.58 85.15 100 177 1-6
143 Hazard 0 654.56 121.17 94 183 2-4
144 Romulus 0 649.26 129.59 89 187 3-2
145 Give Me Death 0 645.22 87.72 105 177 4-6
146 DAP LAB 0 640.64 70.35 109 173 5-0
147 Shift 0 631.52 61.48 112 174 2-4
148 Make it Rain 0 628.30 139.23 97 194 2-4
149 Firefall 0 625.94 118.36 104 190 3-3
150 (washed) 0 623.53 67.93 107 172 6-3
151 Rubicon Rapids 0 623.40 89.54 108 179 2-4
152 M.Y.T.H.O.S. 0 622.86 136.84 96 191 2-4
153 Timber 0 615.53 67.33 118 174 2-4
154 STL Moonar 0 587.64 113.27 98 190 1-5
155 Rice Box 0 581.27 51.29 131 172 8-4
156 ODOT 0 580.07 139.47 91 192 2-4
157 Lil Heroes 0 578.40 70.72 123 174 3-3
158 ElecTriCity 0 565.18 82.55 114 185 2-3
159 Nocturnal 0 540.85 33.15 145 172 6-7
160 Enigma 0 535.20 56.69 129 180 3-3
161 Mischief 0 534.93 84.60 114 185 4-14
162 Space Cowboys 0 531.15 116.02 106 193 2-3
163 Green Mountain Boys 0 499.37 84.01 125 187 3-3
164 The Incline 0 495.74 53.54 142 181 8-9
165 Harvest Moon 0 493.45 162.71 98 209 2-4
166 Digit 0 493.29 99.98 122 193 3-4
167 Minnesota Superior U17B 0 492.04 116.95 110 198 2-4
168 Delirium 0 491.91 138.36 98 200 2-3
169 Gambit 0 483.82 89.97 119 189 3-3
170 Barefoot 0 440.64 166.48 102 208 2-4
171 Journeymen 0 439.47 187.96 81 211 1-4
172 Winc City Fog 0 428.45 78.37 144 195 3-6
173 Oregon Trainwreck 0 427.23 112.57 121 199 1-5
174 NC Brickhouse 0 418.99 81.73 140 197 3-8
175 Rawhide 0 415.43 114.67 121 201 3-3
176 Smogborn 0 383.04 106.30 131 206 2-9
177 Conspiracy Theory 0 367.90 130.69 118 208 1-5
178 On Ramp 0 358.21 53.36 157 194 3-9
179 Dub Club 0 341.71 80.86 155 200 0-4
180 Arizona Frisbee Club 0 326.84 98.49 141 206 3-4
181 Tennessee Folklore 0 322.04 56.78 165 199 4-8
182 Southern Hospitality 0 287.68 62.91 167 202 3-8
183 San Antonio Warhawks 0 286.45 70.10 162 204 3-9
184 Motive 0 269.37 63.32 167 201 4-8
185 OC Crows 0 262.04 46.21 171 199 0-2
186 Red Dawn 0 246.36 99.61 154 209 2-4
187 Friendly Fire 0 243.39 112.36 152 210 3-3
188 Virginia Vortex 0 238.55 156.43 139 213 1-3
189 Sky-90 0 228.32 142.43 127 212 0-6
190 Forge 0 222.10 73.11 166 206 2-10
191 Buffalo Frostbite 0 209.83 68.37 172 207 6-7
192 Buoyancy 0 202.31 156.81 121 214 1-4
193 Savannah Wild 0 200.11 72.93 170 208 3-9
194 Colorado Cutthroat U-17 Boys 0 199.41 62.70 170 205 2-3
195 Burning River 0 192.84 77.89 166 207 1-11
196 Maumee Boys 0 158.31 84.13 170 210 2-10
197 Tofu Junction 0 153.62 154.55 135 214 1-3
198 Bodega Cats 0 136.92 114.89 162 212 3-3
199 Nomads 0 108.56 137.45 161 213 2-3
200 Red Lotus 0 83.56 99.43 173 212 3-8
201 Anchor 0 81.27 92.56 171 212 0-5
202 Long Island Riff Raff 0 52.72 160.35 159 214 2-4
203 Supercell 0 39.34 88.42 177 214 3-9
204 Hydra 0 38.30 93.74 184 213 0-6
205 Spring Break '93 0 13.97 148.47 172 213 1-5
206 Players Into Serious Sports 0 4.35 125.58 170 213 0-4
207 Frostchomp 0 -0.79 89.08 184 213 1-3
208 F-Words 0 -4.75 110.38 178 213 1-4
209 Black Gold 0 -32.96 58.08 193 213 0-6
210 Chemical X 0 -45.28 67.61 195 213 1-10
211 Apollo 0 -79.27 104.41 188 213 0-6
212 Colorado Cutthroat U-20 Boys TWO 0 -287.90 138.63 194 214 0-8
213 Mayhem 0 -441.69 250.21 186 214 0-6
214 Flux 0 -541.44 233.05 196 214 0-6