Club Men's Probabilistic Bid Allocation
2025 Season

Overall Bid Allocation | Step-by-Step Breakdown | Team Statistics | Probabilistic FAQ

Overall Bid Allocation

Bids Region Total Contributing Teams
2 Great Lakes 2.39 Chicago Machine 100.00%,   GOAT 98.20%,   Haymaker 40.50%,  
2 Mid-Atlantic 1.99 Philadelphia Pacmen 100.00%,   Truck Stop 98.40%,   Vault 0.60%,  
1 North Central 1.02 Sub Zero 100.00%,   Mad Men 2.10%,  
3 Northeast 3.18 DiG 100.00%,   PoNY 100.00%,   Red Tide 71.00%,   Mephisto 36.10%,   Magnitude 10.80%,   Blueprint 0.30%,  
3 Northwest 2.48 Rhino Slam! 100.00%,   Sockeye 98.20%,   Furious George 49.40%,  
2 South Central 1.90 Doublewide 97.90%,   Johnny Bravo 91.60%,  
2 Southeast 2.05 Ring of Fire 100.00%,   Chain Lightning 100.00%,   Raleigh-Durham United 4.90%,  
1 Southwest 1.00 Revolver 100.00%,  

Step-by-Step Breakdown

Region GL MA NC NE NW SC SE SW
Initial 2.387 1.990 1.021 3.182 2.476 1.895 2.049 1.000
Autos (all @ 1) 1.387 0.990 0.021 2.182 1.476 0.895 1.049 0.000
Northeast (@ 2) 1.387 0.990 0.021 1.182 1.476 0.895 1.049 0.000
Northwest (@ 2) 1.387 0.990 0.021 1.182 0.476 0.895 1.049 0.000
Great Lakes (@ 2) 0.387 0.990 0.021 1.182 0.476 0.895 1.049 0.000
Northeast (@ 3) 0.387 0.990 0.021 0.182 0.476 0.895 1.049 0.000
Southeast (@ 2) 0.387 0.990 0.021 0.182 0.476 0.895 0.049 0.000
Mid-Atlantic (@ 2) 0.387 -0.010 0.021 0.182 0.476 0.895 0.049 0.000
South Central (@ 2) 0.387 -0.010 0.021 0.182 0.476 -0.105 0.049 0.000
Northwest (@ 3) 0.387 -0.010 0.021 0.182 -0.524 -0.105 0.049 0.000
Total 2 2 1 3 3 2 2 1

Team Statistics (Sorted by bid fraction)

Rank Team Bid Fraction Rating Uncertainty High Sim Low Sim Record
1 Revolver 1 2427.68 62.88 1 10 10-2
2 Chicago Machine 1 2412.75 86.17 1 12 8-4
3 DiG 1 2412.69 98.59 1 13 8-4
4 PoNY 1 2376.88 70.37 1 12 9-3
5 Sub Zero 1 2367.60 64.99 1 11 8-4
6 Rhino Slam! 1 2366.49 80.37 1 13 9-3
7 Philadelphia Pacmen 1 2343.65 72.90 1 13 3-3
8 Ring of Fire 1 2296.43 77.42 1 15 8-4
9 Chain Lightning 1 2201.55 59.49 4 16 4-2
10 Truck Stop 0.984 2159.51 80.41 3 20 5-7
11 GOAT 0.982 2184.77 90.77 1 20 9-3
12 Sockeye 0.982 2164.33 77.43 4 18 8-4
13 Doublewide 0.979 2151.10 78.96 3 19 4-2
14 Johnny Bravo 0.916 2052.19 36.17 11 19 6-6
15 Red Tide 0.71 2017.37 34.58 12 20 13-6
16 Furious George 0.494 1996.25 113.64 6 33 2-4
17 Haymaker 0.405 1976.74 80.96 9 28 12-0
18 Mephisto 0.361 1963.20 106.45 8 29 3-3
19 Magnitude 0.108 1940.88 43.71 13 24 6-1
20 Raleigh-Durham United 0.049 1874.14 70.45 13 30 3-3
21 Mad Men 0.021 1838.48 76.44 14 38 10-2
22 Vault 0.006 1817.08 66.66 15 31 2-4
23 Blueprint 0.003 1806.97 63.09 16 33 16-3
24 SoCal Condors 0 1833.88 31.12 17 28 4-2
25 Dark Star 0 1785.78 58.06 17 32 15-3
26 Phoenix 0 1781.63 55.70 18 34 8-4
27 Oak Grove Boys 0 1731.55 77.59 17 45 12-6
28 Florida Untied 0 1707.71 58.15 20 42 6-6
29 Pittsburgh Temper 0 1653.87 57.77 21 41 10-8
30 Sprout 0 1641.28 66.87 20 52 8-5
31 Red Circus 0 1617.11 49.83 25 44 10-3
32 baNC 0 1586.93 68.35 23 58 6-6
33 Big Wrench 0 1586.35 76.66 23 61 7-6
34 Colt 0 1584.67 61.61 25 53 15-10
35 Nighthawk 0 1569.83 114.45 19 66 3-3
36 Lounar 0 1552.11 61.75 27 56 9-9
37 Lantern 0 1497.18 79.67 27 69 7-6
38 SOUF 0 1495.99 83.54 21 69 9-3
39 Flying Dutchmen 0 1490.48 82.33 26 71 8-4
40 BUDA U20B 0 1490.17 63.60 29 63 3-4
41 Wavestorms 0 1482.32 68.80 26 77 9-2
42 Shade 0 1478.94 61.38 30 63 8-5
43 Fungi 0 1472.60 62.48 29 64 6-6
44 I-69 0 1468.38 95.97 27 77 7-5
45 Mallard 0 1463.83 81.89 23 69 6-6
46 Kansas City Smokestack 0 1460.06 89.75 28 73 14-4
47 Tanasi 0 1455.94 81.00 28 71 14-3
48 Trident 0 1441.30 62.81 31 66 13-5
49 General Strike 0 1408.91 103.05 23 87 3-3
50 Garden State Ultimate 0 1403.49 72.04 32 76 6-6
51 Iditarod 0 1388.13 56.39 32 72 8-5
52 ELDL 0 1384.65 68.88 31 73 10-6
53 Zodiac 0 1377.26 78.37 30 87 7-6
54 CITYWIDE Special 0 1358.41 72.28 34 83 7-6
55 Switchback 0 1352.50 74.51 32 87 6-6
56 Club M - Manic 0 1341.04 65.75 34 82 6-7
57 Skipjack 0 1328.37 78.50 35 88 7-1
58 UPDOG 0 1321.61 115.15 29 106 7-6
59 Knights of Ni 0 1319.67 95.49 31 100 7-5
60 WOMP 0 1303.38 98.33 34 121 15-2
61 Grudge 0 1302.64 121.25 27 115 4-2
62 Portland TremOR 0 1283.54 98.65 35 104 3-3
63 Odyssey 0 1258.49 72.71 39 99 11-9
64 Ascension 0 1255.71 59.10 49 95 6-7
65 BAG 0 1244.98 55.42 47 93 5-8
66 Fuse 0 1244.78 43.25 47 89 12-5
67 Resurgam Ultimate 0 1233.31 64.97 47 98 5-8
68 MOB Ultimate 0 1222.85 63.79 48 102 11-6
69 Apollo 0 1216.26 89.12 42 106 8-3
70 EtobiCoke 0 1214.19 62.32 48 102 9-5
71 Cash Crop 2 0 1211.19 88.75 41 117 4-2
72 Hazard 0 1208.11 82.35 43 118 5-7
73 Zoboomafoo 0 1206.72 63.88 51 109 11-7
74 DAPPER 0 1196.80 52.99 54 99 9-10
75 Alamode 0 1190.31 66.39 51 102 14-4
76 Mint 0 1183.05 58.26 55 100 11-6
77 Wretched Refuse 0 1171.76 98.03 44 117 7-4
78 Black Lung 0 1166.09 70.58 53 110 13-4
79 Skeleton Squad 0 1159.48 56.51 56 108 10-9
80 Blackfish 0 1159.25 84.65 48 114 3-3
81 Gummy Bear Hitmen 0 1142.60 75.24 53 113 10-6
82 DeMo 0 1141.27 72.05 54 112 6-6
83 Triumph 0 1125.40 68.21 57 111 11-7
84 OAT 0 1123.67 64.55 54 115 7-5
85 ISO Atmo 0 1116.89 88.58 54 121 11-7
86 Rumspringa 0 1110.65 110.43 46 133 4-3
87 Endgame 0 1109.80 68.74 57 124 11-8
88 Dynasty 0 1101.65 71.66 60 115 12-6
89 PowderHogs 0 1094.75 68.06 58 115 11-7
90 Sebastopol Orchard 0 1093.44 84.79 55 131 4-2
91 Lil’ Huckers 0 1093.33 58.95 62 116 11-10
92 Swordfish 0 1063.29 72.97 55 123 8-10
93 Crypt 0 1061.18 64.59 64 123 11-7
94 Rebels 0 1053.17 78.51 59 130 7-9
95 Magma Bears 0 1053.12 61.09 67 120 4-9
96 Sawtooth 0 1049.46 64.25 71 125 11-7
97 Atlanta Arson 0 1047.31 99.37 53 135 10-5
98 Forest City 0 1035.59 65.99 71 140 10-10
99 ZOO 0 1025.69 130.59 46 158 10-2
100 X Wives 0 1019.83 78.13 59 134 6-6
101 DINGWOP 0 1017.08 61.61 67 123 4-2
102 Colonels 0 1015.05 59.42 72 131 12-7
103 Utah Swarm U20 Boys 0 1006.73 142.91 34 172 1-2
104 El Niño 0 992.76 69.86 73 131 7-5
105 OPE 0 961.93 61.41 77 139 6-5
106 Town Hall Stars 0 952.60 69.49 74 143 4-0
107 Roundhouse 0 951.35 63.12 83 133 5-7
108 Riverside 0 950.66 53.71 79 131 11-7
109 John Doe 0 945.68 88.77 76 152 8-5
110 Junco 0 925.40 87.23 68 156 3-7
111 Texas Tea 0 921.78 63.38 83 146 11-6
112 Battleship 0 919.69 86.84 65 151 4-2
113 BANG 0 900.71 76.01 83 143 4-2
114 Pittsburgh Stealers 0 899.21 80.61 77 155 7-5
115 Cookie Mon$terz 0 893.21 62.31 81 150 10-2
116 Texas BBQ 0 889.72 61.28 94 151 11-7
117 Colorado Cutthroat U-20 Boys 0 888.30 73.31 87 143 8-3
118 ATLiens 0 871.58 135.56 63 171 3-2
119 Minnesota Superior U20B 0 859.63 110.64 58 178 4-2
120 Queen City Kings 0 855.91 68.25 91 155 9-6
121 Beef Depot 0 835.87 70.68 95 155 10-6
122 Gang Of Disc 0 826.31 95.22 87 169 6-0
123 Connecticut 9 to 5 0 825.39 59.98 104 156 4-8
124 Alliance 0 820.81 115.75 75 186 5-7
125 H.I.P 0 815.49 141.36 60 187 3-2
126 Harvest Moon 0 813.24 112.09 82 180 7-5
127 Charleston Heat Stroke 0 808.90 70.38 97 161 5-6
128 Hazard 0 801.65 93.78 93 173 5-7
129 UpRoar 0 797.86 82.87 95 173 7-5
130 Seven Gills 0 793.77 138.10 63 187 2-4
131 Cache Valley High Ground 0 789.96 84.97 95 173 1-8
132 Scythe 0 787.14 63.67 107 165 3-3
133 NOx 0 784.89 85.79 93 170 6-6
134 Alibi 0 769.88 52.54 113 166 7-7
135 Psychedelic 0 761.53 85.77 101 174 9-9
136 Zodiac 0 753.48 98.72 102 178 3-3
137 Romulus 0 732.31 89.64 96 179 5-6
138 Atlanta Outlaws 0 731.97 98.07 92 182 6-6
139 Heartbreak 0 718.21 91.87 100 185 2-4
140 New Jersey Gemini 0 708.00 84.61 100 181 2-10
141 Rubicon Rapids 0 705.90 82.19 109 184 6-6
142 MBTA 0 704.97 45.03 121 165 4-15
143 Dreadnought 0 697.82 57.99 121 174 5-7
144 EZ 0 683.96 80.58 111 183 5-11
145 M.Y.T.H.O.S. 0 682.62 88.48 104 188 5-7
146 Touch of Grey 0 678.67 71.07 113 179 4-3
147 BUDA Regional Select 0 674.29 91.74 111 188 1-6
148 Delirium 0 673.92 160.68 76 203 2-3
149 Make it Rain 0 669.62 140.57 90 200 2-4
150 Give Me Death 0 668.48 86.26 105 183 4-6
151 Tugboat 0 661.96 62.31 121 177 10-7
152 L.U.T $ack 0 656.14 79.05 115 183 6-6
153 STL Moonar 0 655.30 64.71 117 177 4-8
154 Battery 0 647.75 47.60 125 174 5-7
155 OC Crows 0 645.90 91.40 107 185 2-6
156 Winc City Fog 0 639.80 74.53 120 186 7-9
157 (washed) 0 637.92 83.22 110 184 6-3
158 Nocturnal 0 634.34 33.36 133 171 9-10
159 ElecTriCity 0 623.53 71.18 120 184 4-7
160 Florida Flo 0 623.08 75.60 120 188 3-4
161 Mischief 0 622.19 62.63 126 184 6-18
162 ODOT 0 618.22 141.63 90 209 2-4
163 Firefall 0 617.35 118.42 103 201 3-3
164 Timber 0 581.85 49.74 134 182 6-6
165 DAP LAB 0 581.51 82.94 127 189 5-0
166 Enigma 0 566.10 37.02 147 182 5-7
167 NC Brickhouse 0 561.36 65.90 131 187 5-12
168 Green Mountain Boys 0 544.02 83.13 127 198 3-3
169 Rice Box 0 541.85 59.83 132 193 11-7
170 Cozy Boys 0 517.96 96.01 129 208 3-3
171 Minnesota Superior U17B 0 515.06 131.22 111 207 2-4
172 The Incline 0 503.75 70.86 142 202 8-9
173 Lil Heroes 0 486.13 51.13 149 195 3-3
174 Barefoot 0 485.42 90.13 130 202 4-8
175 Digit 0 480.84 102.27 127 210 3-4
176 Dub Club 0 471.16 71.11 145 198 5-5
177 On Ramp 0 467.45 40.12 160 188 6-12
178 Shift 0 461.64 70.75 146 199 3-9
179 Texas Duffy 0 454.92 76.96 143 199 7-11
180 Rawhide 0 451.94 128.25 126 213 3-3
181 Oregon Trainwreck 0 448.31 108.84 131 212 1-5
182 Journeymen 0 435.72 192.08 90 221 1-4
183 Space Cowboys 0 418.38 89.03 144 208 3-8
184 Tennessee Folklore 0 388.76 67.32 159 205 6-12
185 Smogborn 0 382.02 116.57 139 220 2-9
186 Gambit 0 360.72 85.31 145 210 4-8
187 Southern Hospitality 0 354.64 58.79 169 206 3-8
188 Whittz Boyz 0 338.70 112.98 149 218 1-5
189 Friendly Fire 0 306.22 79.48 161 212 7-5
190 Forge 0 306.21 58.95 174 212 6-12
191 Conspiracy Theory 0 299.81 85.93 159 214 3-8
192 Arizona Frisbee Club 0 297.90 90.74 157 217 3-10
193 Red Lotus 0 291.26 75.18 170 213 4-13
194 Colorado Cutthroat U-17 Boys 0 281.10 93.95 162 217 2-3
195 Savannah Wild 0 268.67 69.81 176 217 4-14
196 Virginia Vortex 0 261.80 156.43 129 224 1-3
197 Nomads 0 258.96 87.08 174 217 4-6
198 Hydra 0 257.52 77.90 168 216 2-10
199 Buffalo Frostbite 0 242.02 68.61 179 216 6-7
200 Sky-90 0 239.43 139.28 148 222 0-6
201 Red Dawn 0 229.88 104.15 164 222 2-4
202 Buoyancy 0 224.65 184.15 135 224 1-4
203 Burning River 0 220.42 91.29 164 218 1-11
204 San Antonio Warhawks 0 198.12 57.50 186 218 5-13
205 Tofu Junction 0 176.87 154.55 156 225 1-3
206 Kansas City Northern Lines 0 164.77 67.19 186 219 1-5
207 Bodega Cats 0 155.93 81.20 183 220 3-9
208 Maumee Boys 0 154.64 64.19 183 218 3-15
209 Chemical X 0 147.11 71.19 181 220 4-12
210 Long Island Riff Raff 0 143.99 91.51 178 222 6-6
211 Motive 0 106.48 75.86 186 221 5-12
212 F-Words 0 76.82 114.01 179 223 1-4
213 Supercell 0 72.80 87.05 181 223 3-9
214 Anchor 0 62.22 99.70 184 223 0-5
215 Frostchomp 0 21.89 102.35 188 224 1-3
216 Spring Break '93 0 14.99 167.37 157 226 1-5
217 Original Recipe 0 -3.06 118.08 179 225 0-6
218 Apollo 0 -14.56 111.80 185 225 0-6
219 Black Gold 0 -28.36 48.89 207 223 1-11
220 Players Into Serious Sports 0 -47.46 181.32 172 226 0-4
221 Milwaukee Breaker 0 -120.58 84.57 206 225 0-6
222 Colorado Cutthroat U-20 Boys TWO 0 -191.22 124.46 202 226 0-8
223 Inferno Ultimate 0 -337.97 80.25 219 226 0-4
224 Flux 0 -349.05 148.20 211 226 0-12
225 Mayhem 0 -445.36 264.03 176 226 0-6
226 Deaf Fruit 0 -628.36 225.64 209 226 0-6