Club Mixed Probabilistic Bid Allocation
2025 Season

Overall Bid Allocation | Step-by-Step Breakdown | Team Statistics | Probabilistic FAQ

Overall Bid Allocation

Bids Region Total Contributing Teams
1 Great Lakes 0.91 Union 49.50%,   Hybrid 41.20%,  
1 Mid-Atlantic 0.87 AMP 80.80%,   Rally 5.80%,  
1 North Central 0.95 Drag'n Thrust 95.30%,  
2 Northeast 2.27 XIST 99.90%,   Slow 99.10%,   Sprocket 28.30%,  
4 Northwest 3.93 BFG 99.90%,   Seattle Mixtape 97.80%,   Royals 91.20%,   Sego 72.00%,   Oregon Scorch 30.50%,   MOONDOG 1.00%,   Lights Out 0.10%,   Porch Bears 0.10%,  
2 South Central 2.18 shame. 99.80%,   Austin Disco Club 99.10%,   Mile High Trash 19.20%,  
1 Southeast 0.00
4 Southwest 4.89 California Burrito 100.00%,   Tower 100.00%,   Polar Bears 100.00%,   Lotus 94.10%,   Mischief 94.10%,   Landsharks 1.10%,   BW Ultimate 0.10%,  

Step-by-Step Breakdown

Region GL MA NC NE NW SC SE SW
Initial 0.907 0.866 0.953 2.273 3.926 2.181 0.000 4.894
Autos (all @ 1) -0.093 -0.134 -0.047 1.273 2.926 1.181 -1.000 3.894
Southwest (@ 2) -0.093 -0.134 -0.047 1.273 2.926 1.181 -1.000 2.894
Northwest (@ 2) -0.093 -0.134 -0.047 1.273 1.926 1.181 -1.000 2.894
Southwest (@ 3) -0.093 -0.134 -0.047 1.273 1.926 1.181 -1.000 1.894
Northwest (@ 3) -0.093 -0.134 -0.047 1.273 0.926 1.181 -1.000 1.894
Southwest (@ 4) -0.093 -0.134 -0.047 1.273 0.926 1.181 -1.000 0.894
Northeast (@ 2) -0.093 -0.134 -0.047 0.273 0.926 1.181 -1.000 0.894
South Central (@ 2) -0.093 -0.134 -0.047 0.273 0.926 0.181 -1.000 0.894
Northwest (@ 4) -0.093 -0.134 -0.047 0.273 -0.074 0.181 -1.000 0.894
Total 1 1 1 2 4 2 1 4

Team Statistics (Sorted by bid fraction)

Rank Team Bid Fraction Rating Uncertainty High Sim Low Sim Record
1 Tower 1 2192.93 87.18 1 16 9-3
2 Polar Bears 1 2155.39 71.11 1 15 9-3
3 California Burrito 1 2029.00 39.21 3 16 9-3
4 BFG 0.999 2148.67 95.78 1 17 9-3
5 XIST 0.999 2144.19 87.18 1 17 5-1
6 shame. 0.998 2230.18 125.47 1 18 5-1
7 Austin Disco Club 0.991 2099.30 92.44 1 19 4-2
8 Slow 0.991 2078.41 94.85 1 19 5-1
9 Seattle Mixtape 0.978 2052.30 92.84 1 21 3-3
10 Drag'n Thrust 0.953 1998.83 77.30 2 20 4-2
11 Lotus 0.941 2033.10 95.54 1 22 7-5
12 Mischief 0.941 1989.32 77.05 2 21 6-6
13 Royals 0.912 1995.37 93.27 1 22 6-0
14 AMP 0.808 1973.54 123.36 1 30 5-1
15 Sego 0.72 1915.60 80.21 4 24 6-6
16 Union 0.495 1869.31 63.17 8 24 10-2
17 Hybrid 0.412 1852.59 75.70 3 30 4-2
18 Oregon Scorch 0.305 1846.16 46.27 11 23 7-5
19 Sprocket 0.283 1809.42 106.21 4 39 4-2
20 Mile High Trash 0.192 1809.23 71.14 8 29 4-8
21 Rally 0.058 1770.79 57.32 14 27 3-3
22 Landsharks 0.011 1482.56 167.36 10 114 5-1
23 MOONDOG 0.01 1583.79 115.12 12 69 2-4
24 Lights Out 0.001 1630.40 71.69 15 45 6-6
25 BW Ultimate 0.001 1576.65 87.17 14 58 7-5
26 Porch Bears 0.001 1535.70 116.03 13 71 4-2
27 LIT Ultimate 0 1631.94 63.46 17 40 8-4
28 Odyssée 0 1582.24 49.47 21 43 12-1
29 Moontower 0 1566.33 73.69 19 56 11-1
30 Donuts 0 1559.16 80.38 19 64 12-6
31 Viking Blood 0 1546.32 78.47 19 56 4-2
32 Wild Card 0 1528.83 62.05 21 52 7-5
33 Pittsburgh Port Authority 0 1527.09 77.71 18 61 7-5
34 Flight Club 0 1518.13 69.86 20 56 5-7
35 Classy 0 1512.95 75.06 21 56 11-7
36 MN Superior 0 1506.06 71.31 21 60 6-0
37 Big Rig 0 1500.48 44.44 23 50 16-3
38 Spoke 0 1464.06 51.23 26 58 1-5
39 Spice 0 1458.85 91.27 19 69 10-3
40 Roma Ultima 0 1456.32 111.48 19 83 12-1
41 Grand Army 0 1439.27 74.15 23 70 9-4
42 Space Force 0 1428.99 92.42 21 76 2-4
43 Pushovers 0 1426.09 97.59 21 86 5-1
44 Octonauts 0 1420.69 30.35 31 56 6-0
45 American Barbecue 0 1420.57 63.86 23 66 10-8
46 Green Chiles 0 1408.83 72.56 24 67 3-3
47 Lawless 0 1399.94 25.61 34 58 0-6
48 FlyTrap 0 1362.86 70.17 25 76 8-4
49 Conspiracy 0 1353.44 100.47 21 93 1-5
50 Spectre 0 1331.50 93.10 27 89 7-0
51 Mango 0 1327.91 108.28 22 116 7-5
52 Hive 0 1321.74 65.94 33 77 7-4
53 Bullet Train 0 1319.15 94.05 27 91 7-5
54 'Shine 0 1305.86 79.11 30 89 6-6
55 Limbo 0 1295.35 75.48 27 87 4-3
56 Pegasus 0 1280.55 74.99 33 95 6-6
57 Murmur 0 1278.90 110.34 24 107 10-3
58 Anthem 0 1264.93 83.31 32 95 2-10
59 Delabear 0 1240.65 132.27 25 120 6-0
60 Sin Nombre 0 1238.42 84.34 33 97 6-6
61 Space Ghosts 0 1238.37 78.80 32 104 4-8
62 Bar None 0 1236.18 133.44 24 138 5-2
63 The Buoy Association 0 1234.86 124.33 29 127 6-0
64 Brunch Club 0 1226.65 59.24 47 92 5-1
65 Darkwing 0 1225.13 63.92 42 97 7-6
66 Choco Ghost House 0 1216.43 56.07 46 94 3-3
67 Dispatch 0 1210.84 125.54 25 117 5-2
68 Asheville Parliament 0 1193.45 76.08 35 108 7-6
69 Shipwreck 0 1189.81 131.38 22 128 3-3
70 Zero Strategy 0 1187.20 68.77 44 103 8-5
71 Bird 0 1175.18 105.99 34 121 5-2
72 Townies 0 1167.51 92.46 32 113 8-5
73 Minnesota Star Power 0 1160.02 155.81 22 143 3-3
74 Bench 0 1143.96 81.67 45 117 9-4
75 Garbage Plates 0 1140.73 82.31 43 114 6-7
76 HVAC 0 1134.70 81.35 45 113 4-2
77 RAMP 0 1122.47 55.26 55 105 7-6
78 Family Style 0 1122.06 80.74 46 120 6-6
79 Catalyst 0 1120.14 81.85 40 117 8-5
80 Amber 0 1117.68 48.51 55 104 11-2
81 Zero Turn Lawnmower 0 1113.42 56.22 58 107 7-5
82 Robot 0 1110.20 89.11 40 129 4-2
83 Impact 0 1103.14 80.32 49 122 8-4
84 BUMS 0 1100.26 69.21 46 115 13-1
85 The Force 0 1098.20 72.94 51 109 5-2
86 Drip 0 1094.30 124.51 30 144 2-4
87 Obscure 0 1092.84 103.93 41 130 3-4
88 Melt 0 1070.91 97.99 48 136 3-3
89 Jughandle 0 1060.39 69.76 61 112 7-5
90 Harfang ultimate 0 1059.44 131.39 38 136 3-3
91 Fatal Attraction 0 1057.73 84.07 56 121 4-9
92 Revival 0 1053.49 95.91 52 131 5-2
93 Quahogs 0 1044.31 69.95 61 126 8-5
94 Buffalo Lake Effect 0 1036.74 72.03 63 123 5-8
95 Good Company 0 1026.68 97.68 52 136 5-0
96 Cupcakes 0 997.16 67.13 57 131 4-8
97 Goose Run 0 969.49 81.92 66 137 2-4
98 Goose Chase 0 963.41 55.31 76 123 3-9
99 Axolotls 0 958.40 147.25 44 164 4-2
100 Erosion 0 957.32 95.02 60 142 0-6
101 Funk 0 957.05 82.94 68 134 4-3
102 Twist 0 955.94 85.33 72 133 9-3
103 Steamboat 0 954.29 118.48 55 147 2-4
104 Spoiler Alert 0 953.83 95.11 61 144 5-7
105 Lampshade 0 944.48 74.31 71 131 3-10
106 Grit City 0 944.36 78.88 67 139 5-7
107 Legion 0 943.25 70.87 76 130 7-3
108 Phlagstaff Ultimate 0 938.43 94.46 63 144 3-3
109 CLX 0 925.77 69.70 81 135 7-6
110 Lemonade Ultimate 0 923.86 63.54 83 132 3-3
111 MCO 0 920.89 89.18 65 139 3-3
112 Malice in Wonderland 0 902.14 41.98 90 128 6-7
113 Virginia Vanguard 0 886.21 37.11 90 129 3-1
114 Chicago Parlay 0 884.53 62.59 82 135 5-8
115 Igneous Ultimate 0 879.39 113.30 56 157 1-4
116 Prion 0 863.45 44.10 96 133 9-4
117 Armory 0 852.43 48.72 97 135 7-4
118 League of Shadows 0 846.46 80.59 66 155 8-5
119 Birds of Paradise 0 837.61 74.24 83 144 5-7
120 Madison United Mixed Ultimate 0 829.06 55.87 94 141 4-2
121 Karma 0 825.32 64.88 92 146 4-2
122 Cowpoke 0 822.05 62.16 93 147 3-3
123 Ant Madness 0 820.66 61.19 90 145 7-4
124 Great Minnesota Get Together 0 807.51 58.17 98 148 2-4
125 Sugar High 0 795.76 60.14 97 147 6-7
126 The Midwest Goodbye 0 794.31 78.02 92 159 2-4
127 Utah Sundrift 0 763.44 41.03 112 142 4-2
128 Heavy Flow 0 763.35 84.82 88 160 5-4
129 T Party 0 738.16 65.33 97 155 5-8
130 Stackcats 0 733.78 63.45 103 152 7-5
131 Northern Comfort 0 727.23 105.83 77 172 4-2
132 Indiana Pterodactyl Attack 0 705.37 98.37 88 179 6-3
133 Sailboat 0 701.79 138.73 63 188 4-2
134 Swing Vote 0 700.86 163.37 66 189 2-2
135 Philadelphia Forge 0 695.31 80.98 101 176 2-4
136 Taproot 0 691.31 66.46 111 163 7-3
137 Akron Nimb 0 681.59 87.49 103 174 4-2
138 Cutthroat 0 680.27 84.98 102 172 1-5
139 Queen City Gambit 0 660.00 85.92 102 174 6-6
140 Farm Show 0 651.03 74.73 113 178 3-4
141 VU 0 650.51 79.12 112 172 2-10
142 Lake Superior Disc 0 641.26 48.74 125 165 1-5
143 PS 0 632.49 56.50 121 170 3-4
144 solAR 0 630.26 58.37 122 171 11-6
145 MoonPi 0 606.89 75.32 117 179 6-8
146 Rainbow 0 605.25 63.22 124 172 7-3
147 B-Unit 0 600.05 87.59 107 185 4-3
148 Frostbite 0 595.26 66.01 123 174 3-3
149 QCO 0 589.71 77.29 118 181 6-7
150 The Strangers 0 570.18 109.07 112 190 1-4
151 Duck Parade 0 560.34 81.65 117 185 6-7
152 Toast! 0 549.29 92.31 116 183 2-4
153 Brooklyn Hive 0 548.69 50.93 131 175 5-4
154 Obelisk 0 540.15 66.13 129 185 3-7
155 Tempo 0 535.13 91.61 119 187 5-6
156 Mad Udderburn 0 528.88 56.77 133 182 2-4
157 Jabba 0 507.06 102.28 112 189 3-3
158 Moonlight Ultimate 0 495.72 84.81 123 191 1-5
159 Blue Ridge Sasquatch 0 494.27 61.06 131 184 5-8
160 Risky Business 0 485.13 81.62 133 189 3-10
161 ConSTLation 0 479.74 48.46 139 182 2-4
162 KOI 0 479.18 123.33 111 194 3-1
163 Aged Cheddar 0 473.54 115.95 116 195 2-3
164 Mousetrap 0 461.39 76.15 138 190 1-5
165 District Cocktails 0 459.19 57.43 144 187 2-8
166 Philly Twist 0 447.91 72.45 139 191 2-3
167 Boomtown Pandas 0 447.86 74.45 132 190 2-4
168 All Jeeps, All Night. 0 441.88 80.18 134 191 1-4
169 FLI 0 438.27 78.60 139 191 2-2
170 Y'all 0 426.09 143.85 101 200 1-5
171 SkyLab 0 424.03 99.65 132 194 0-6
172 Pier Pressure 0 413.04 109.76 134 196 1-5
173 Equinox 0 404.32 124.27 103 203 3-3
174 Lightning 0 393.13 130.24 117 199 4-5
175 Rampage 0 387.23 63.84 145 190 3-10
176 Scarecrow 0 372.32 74.78 144 194 4-9
177 Geri-Mander 0 369.59 86.71 141 195 0-6
178 Mashed 0 366.90 79.58 143 194 2-4
179 Discosauriscus 0 366.25 81.27 136 194 1-3
180 ELevate 0 363.33 76.47 144 194 2-10
181 Jumbo Slice 0 350.76 83.21 141 198 3-4
182 Young and the Restless 0 327.88 82.01 144 197 1-6
183 Dreamcatcher 0 323.99 21.19 171 190 1-3
184 Skyhawks 0 319.27 55.46 162 192 5-7
185 S.O.S 0 289.66 173.09 107 206 1-4
186 JAWN 0 264.45 62.26 162 197 2-2
187 Bald Eagles 0 261.91 118.06 129 206 1-6
188 Crucible 0 248.32 100.21 154 203 4-4
189 Magnanimouse 0 213.70 107.81 153 204 4-9
190 STL CELESTIAL 0 204.69 62.13 171 199 4-8
191 Takeout 0 192.22 170.11 132 207 0-6
192 Arms Race 0 191.46 103.74 156 203 0-6
193 Columbus Chaos 0 158.54 125.08 153 206 2-8
194 Fault Line 0 119.05 76.40 177 204 0-6
195 New South Soul 0 119.00 47.23 182 202 1-15
196 flATLine 0 63.11 80.92 176 205 0-6
197 Voltage 0 9.75 93.19 187 207 1-8
198 Verdant 0 -0.22 121.63 176 207 1-11
199 UV Rays 0 -17.36 140.17 173 208 1-4
200 Pixel 0 -19.74 77.75 188 207 2-9
201 Domino Effect 0 -32.32 106.89 187 208 0-12
202 Hartford Current 0 -40.95 50.60 194 206 0-4
203 PterodaCTyl 0 -57.00 52.42 193 206 0-4
204 Mastodon 0 -74.89 160.62 175 208 1-5
205 Sugar Shack 0 -98.43 85.86 191 208 1-4
206 UFO Ultimate 0 -243.42 27.78 202 208 2-1
207 Columbus Cohesion 0 -268.32 169.17 187 209 0-5
208 Buffalo Brain Freeze 0 -301.02 26.58 204 208 1-7
209 Compost Plates 0 -862.41 171.24 208 209 0-3