College Women's Probabilistic Bid Allocation
2025-26 Season

Overall Bid Allocation | Step-by-Step Breakdown | Team Statistics | Probabilistic FAQ

Overall Bid Allocation

Bids Region Total Contributing Teams
1 Atlantic Coast 1.43 North Carolina 100.00%,   Georgetown 23.70%,   Virginia 19.50%,   James Madison 0.10%,  
1 Great Lakes 0.53 Notre Dame 46.20%,   Michigan 6.80%,   Michigan State 0.10%,  
1 Metro East 0.00
2 New England 2.88 Tufts 100.00%,   Northeastern 98.70%,   Vermont 87.70%,   Vermont [B] 1.20%,  
1 North Central 1.18 Carleton College 100.00%,   Wisconsin 16.30%,   Minnesota 1.40%,  
5 Northwest 5.02 Washington 100.00%,   Western Washington 100.00%,   Oregon 100.00%,   British Columbia 100.00%,   Victoria 99.90%,   British Columbia [B] 1.90%,   Utah 0.10%,  
1 Ohio Valley 1.02 Pennsylvania 100.00%,   Ohio State 1.30%,   Ohio 0.60%,  
1 South Central 1.08 Colorado 100.00%,   Texas 7.90%,   Colorado State 0.10%,  
1 Southeast 0.83 Georgia 76.10%,   Florida 6.80%,  
6 Southwest 6.04 California-Santa Cruz 100.00%,   California-San Diego 100.00%,   Stanford 100.00%,   UCLA 100.00%,   California-Davis 99.70%,   Cal Poly-SLO 96.90%,   California-Santa Barbara 6.50%,   Southern California 0.50%,  

Step-by-Step Breakdown

Region AC GL ME NE NC NW OV SC SE SW
Initial 1.433 0.531 0.000 2.876 1.177 5.019 1.019 1.080 0.829 6.036
Autos (all @ 1) 0.433 -0.469 -1.000 1.876 0.177 4.019 0.019 0.080 -0.171 5.036
Southwest (@ 2) 0.433 -0.469 -1.000 1.876 0.177 4.019 0.019 0.080 -0.171 4.036
Southwest (@ 3) 0.433 -0.469 -1.000 1.876 0.177 4.019 0.019 0.080 -0.171 3.036
Northwest (@ 2) 0.433 -0.469 -1.000 1.876 0.177 3.019 0.019 0.080 -0.171 3.036
Southwest (@ 4) 0.433 -0.469 -1.000 1.876 0.177 3.019 0.019 0.080 -0.171 2.036
Northwest (@ 3) 0.433 -0.469 -1.000 1.876 0.177 2.019 0.019 0.080 -0.171 2.036
Southwest (@ 5) 0.433 -0.469 -1.000 1.876 0.177 2.019 0.019 0.080 -0.171 1.036
Northwest (@ 4) 0.433 -0.469 -1.000 1.876 0.177 1.019 0.019 0.080 -0.171 1.036
New England (@ 2) 0.433 -0.469 -1.000 0.876 0.177 1.019 0.019 0.080 -0.171 1.036
Southwest (@ 6) 0.433 -0.469 -1.000 0.876 0.177 1.019 0.019 0.080 -0.171 0.036
Northwest (@ 5) 0.433 -0.469 -1.000 0.876 0.177 0.019 0.019 0.080 -0.171 0.036
Total 1 1 1 2 1 5 1 1 1 6

Team Statistics (Sorted by bid fraction)

Rank Team Bid Fraction Rating Uncertainty High Sim Low Sim Record
1 Carleton College 1 2695.77 64.79 1 3 19-0
2 British Columbia 1 2530.35 51.16 1 5 14-5
3 California-Santa Cruz 1 2454.77 107.50 1 9 24-2
4 Stanford 1 2409.43 47.48 2 7 18-8
5 North Carolina 1 2323.00 54.32 2 8 17-2
6 Tufts 1 2302.26 65.63 2 9 10-2
7 Washington 1 2279.06 49.54 2 9 15-5
8 Colorado 1 2157.36 56.05 6 13 11-9
9 Pennsylvania 1 2085.22 42.42 7 16 18-2
10 Western Washington 1 2078.34 70.06 4 17 7-7
11 California-San Diego 1 2068.66 36.95 8 15 12-10
12 Oregon 1 2025.05 34.51 8 17 8-13
13 UCLA 1 1983.34 53.22 8 20 17-11
14 Victoria 0.999 1984.95 66.42 8 23 11-9
15 California-Davis 0.997 1960.22 68.56 8 25 10-11
16 Northeastern 0.987 1913.89 61.17 9 25 13-6
17 Cal Poly-SLO 0.969 1855.61 41.36 13 24 9-12
18 Vermont 0.877 1834.42 49.93 13 29 8-10
19 Georgia 0.761 1815.22 61.70 13 35 7-6
20 Notre Dame 0.462 1769.17 79.47 11 39 18-8
21 Georgetown 0.237 1707.84 95.76 13 47 6-7
22 Virginia 0.195 1714.02 77.17 16 43 6-8
23 Wisconsin 0.163 1707.58 70.92 15 47 10-9
24 Texas 0.079 1683.21 65.05 15 42 10-10
25 Michigan 0.068 1681.28 63.79 17 43 7-13
26 Florida 0.068 1651.11 82.64 15 52 17-4
27 California-Santa Barbara 0.065 1682.92 59.33 16 46 5-16
28 British Columbia [B] 0.019 1630.39 70.07 18 47 10-1
29 Minnesota 0.014 1638.50 57.42 19 46 4-9
30 Ohio State 0.013 1569.57 89.42 18 63 8-5
31 Vermont [B] 0.012 1294.14 188.15 13 129 9-1
32 Ohio 0.006 1542.61 91.72 20 57 7-5
33 Southern California 0.005 1537.16 97.42 17 60 18-7
34 Utah 0.001 1584.39 57.19 21 49 6-13
35 James Madison 0.001 1390.99 129.83 19 97 11-2
36 Colorado State 0.001 1350.69 137.93 21 105 8-4
37 Michigan State 0.001 1350.27 139.55 21 102 12-2
38 Davenport 0 1659.61 172.26 8 88 9-4
39 Washington University 0 1561.90 53.44 21 50 11-8
40 Liberty 0 1535.69 56.73 24 52 12-8
41 South Carolina 0 1528.59 65.76 23 56 7-6
42 California 0 1528.34 59.35 21 50 14-19
43 St Olaf 0 1520.36 63.49 22 55 12-1
44 Carleton College-Eclipse 0 1511.22 44.33 27 51 12-6
45 Haverford/Bryn Mawr 0 1503.38 68.48 22 61 17-2
46 Middlebury 0 1492.92 132.19 14 77 13-3
47 Brigham Young 0 1474.55 70.68 23 58 1-15
48 William & Mary 0 1435.73 86.52 24 66 5-7
49 Whitman 0 1405.47 120.71 21 92 10-2
50 Wesleyan 0 1389.67 122.32 18 91 7-3
51 Tennessee 0 1375.82 82.17 28 75 17-1
52 North Carolina-Wilmington 0 1374.48 88.00 29 80 10-4
53 Penn State 0 1368.48 73.32 29 70 7-6
54 Brown 0 1365.08 75.93 29 72 12-8
55 Oregon State 0 1315.00 92.24 32 89 12-5
56 Wellesley 0 1308.77 111.29 24 100 14-4
57 Pittsburgh 0 1305.22 48.90 43 69 9-10
58 McGill 0 1302.08 76.14 35 80 4-8
59 Harvard 0 1281.32 108.45 26 100 11-2
60 Rice 0 1281.07 99.27 32 104 11-1
61 California-Irvine 0 1242.98 82.84 35 96 14-9
62 Macalester 0 1226.36 84.04 40 90 8-4
63 Kansas 0 1201.52 112.29 34 108 7-5
64 Arkansas 0 1190.83 88.01 44 98 8-3
65 Santa Clara 0 1181.15 104.85 42 110 10-3
66 North Carolina State 0 1170.37 86.91 46 98 9-5
67 Cornell 0 1141.08 83.56 48 107 3-9
68 Portland 0 1137.72 67.46 49 100 9-9
69 Marquette 0 1136.48 96.92 34 112 7-6
70 Colorado College 0 1133.13 87.35 47 110 8-11
71 NYU 0 1131.16 86.31 48 109 6-4
72 Nevada-Reno 0 1130.17 83.63 49 104 13-6
73 Columbia 0 1127.10 88.10 49 105 5-8
74 Case Western Reserve 0 1124.83 71.86 45 100 6-13
75 Georgia Tech 0 1121.70 103.87 42 121 7-7
76 Kenyon 0 1108.85 73.82 48 110 6-5
77 Winona State 0 1100.94 78.04 53 107 10-6
78 Lewis & Clark 0 1077.59 74.34 57 114 10-9
79 Yale 0 1066.06 83.32 53 119 6-5
80 Oberlin 0 1064.83 96.60 52 121 8-5
81 Grand Canyon 0 1063.69 70.64 54 115 8-5
82 Puget Sound 0 1053.73 54.48 60 109 5-5
83 Emory 0 1051.52 84.93 50 115 6-7
84 Missouri 0 1044.49 87.98 56 124 11-6
85 Rochester 0 1028.76 140.36 43 163 11-2
86 Mount Holyoke 0 1027.23 79.00 56 118 8-8
87 Illinois 0 1026.70 89.28 55 125 9-7
88 Clemson 0 1023.52 85.48 52 121 7-7
89 Arizona State 0 1014.94 66.16 63 117 12-9
90 Union (Tennessee) 0 1004.08 78.73 59 120 10-1
91 American 0 1001.71 87.08 57 128 6-5
92 Saint Louis 0 984.39 68.96 61 114 7-5
93 SUNY-Buffalo 0 978.06 101.90 55 136 4-7
94 Dartmouth 0 976.34 99.92 58 134 4-2
95 San Diego State 0 943.50 54.46 73 119 17-10
96 MIT 0 940.69 74.14 61 130 4-8
97 Virginia Tech 0 934.03 67.84 67 125 6-7
98 Williams 0 932.94 69.51 68 131 13-8
99 Cedarville 0 930.61 69.43 71 127 8-5
100 Boston University 0 918.46 84.20 62 131 10-3
101 Swarthmore 0 913.77 100.12 59 145 4-4
102 Simon Fraser 0 905.74 75.68 70 132 3-3
103 Central Florida 0 894.58 85.88 70 133 10-8
104 Duke 0 891.38 68.38 77 135 6-7
105 Carnegie Mellon 0 866.98 63.43 76 134 4-8
106 Jacksonville State 0 863.99 71.98 75 138 15-5
107 Northwestern 0 856.33 98.82 62 143 9-10
108 Occidental 0 851.75 61.06 78 131 10-10
109 Connecticut 0 840.92 162.58 47 170 1-5
110 Georgia College 0 828.37 75.31 81 138 7-7
111 SUNY-Binghamton 0 827.29 95.83 73 146 4-9
112 Bates 0 826.59 80.94 78 139 6-7
113 West Chester 0 824.47 117.95 67 154 6-6
114 Miami (Florida) 0 820.97 75.39 85 145 7-6
115 South Carolina [B] 0 820.56 51.36 85 139 3-4
116 Maryland 0 807.59 62.87 85 134 2-11
117 Appalachian State 0 799.25 125.32 68 157 2-5
118 Lehigh 0 794.82 65.49 91 142 12-6
119 Massachusetts 0 784.33 124.82 65 158 6-5
120 California-San Diego [B] 0 779.34 77.17 74 146 7-6
121 Vanderbilt 0 776.87 61.68 88 139 9-3
122 Richmond 0 755.02 98.17 81 161 1-4
123 Rhode Island 0 753.81 74.74 96 151 8-5
124 Trinity 0 742.54 57.67 99 152 9-8
125 Montana 0 727.12 88.39 86 156 4-0
126 Iowa 0 724.59 68.74 96 150 4-8
127 Northern Arizona 0 722.22 70.76 96 155 3-4
128 Purdue 0 701.06 70.68 97 153 6-12
129 Cal Poly-Humboldt 0 670.32 87.25 102 163 6-9
130 George Washington 0 670.16 95.94 92 164 6-6
131 Iowa State 0 655.86 78.02 106 164 8-8
132 Rutgers 0 653.67 103.76 91 164 5-6
133 Texas-Dallas 0 640.10 67.14 105 158 3-8
134 Boston College 0 622.76 136.58 87 186 7-7
135 Indiana 0 607.55 119.18 100 172 3-3
136 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 0 605.82 40.94 120 156 5-1
137 Cincinnati 0 605.13 124.03 90 170 1-5
138 Washington [B] 0 600.51 84.93 108 163 2-2
139 Davidson 0 597.99 58.21 118 160 6-8
140 Pacific Lutheran 0 593.84 48.10 123 157 5-5
141 Michigan [B] 0 590.29 68.65 113 163 9-3
142 Florida State 0 586.71 83.77 105 168 10-9
143 Dayton 0 576.30 154.22 82 184 3-3
144 Chicago 0 555.23 68.54 118 166 3-9
145 Skidmore 0 548.42 68.94 123 166 8-7
146 Wisconsin-Eau Claire 0 546.67 46.75 130 162 4-8
147 Truman State 0 544.50 79.08 112 169 8-4
148 Georgia [B] 0 542.12 71.20 119 171 8-9
149 Denver 0 540.68 64.42 126 166 5-8
150 Tufts [B] 0 531.99 55.05 128 164 1-3
151 Claremont 0 522.49 54.25 131 166 8-11
152 SUNY-Geneseo 0 507.64 158.37 89 191 4-2
153 Montana State 0 507.08 45.82 131 166 3-6
154 Cal Poly-SLO [B] 0 492.61 57.86 129 165 5-7
155 RIT 0 470.93 122.07 109 184 0-6
156 UCLA [B] 0 466.83 62.54 130 171 7-13
157 Tulane 0 464.67 66.24 131 174 5-7
158 Stanford [B] 0 437.02 246.29 66 206 2-5
159 Grand Valley 0 425.57 162.23 90 202 3-4
160 LSU 0 404.29 75.58 135 188 6-12
161 Missouri State 0 377.04 62.52 142 179 3-3
162 Berry 0 372.96 90.47 130 185 6-5
163 Loyola-Chicago 0 364.57 85.86 133 183 6-7
164 Ithaca 0 351.29 53.37 149 177 6-7
165 Wake Forest 0 340.31 69.49 148 183 6-6
166 Texas State 0 338.78 81.25 136 185 3-8
167 Air Force 0 305.85 80.87 147 186 1-2
168 Brown [B] 0 288.95 53.52 155 182 0-5
169 California-Davis [B] 0 259.43 82.44 153 190 4-9
170 Florida [B] 0 259.09 66.57 156 197 2-11
171 Temple 0 255.64 107.51 142 202 3-6
172 Tennessee-Chattanooga 0 253.50 109.35 145 198 2-8
173 Seattle 0 242.02 118.39 138 204 0-7
174 North Carolina [B] 0 232.31 101.46 141 201 2-2
175 Syracuse 0 228.17 101.69 148 199 3-8
176 Harding 0 202.78 88.22 155 198 2-3
177 Wisconsin [B] 0 178.78 100.18 152 202 6-6
178 Wisconsin-La Crosse 0 119.01 69.97 163 202 5-7
179 Auburn 0 113.37 91.19 159 202 2-4
180 Washington University [B] 0 100.10 52.22 171 201 5-7
181 Minnesota [B] 0 93.50 95.37 160 204 2-8
182 Arizona 0 91.65 98.96 159 204 0-6
183 Georgetown [B] 0 82.51 115.13 154 208 2-5
184 Towson 0 70.27 101.07 161 206 3-4
185 Delaware 0 64.06 113.43 159 210 3-2
186 Alabama 0 62.66 65.61 167 204 0-5
187 Northeastern [B] 0 49.00 118.12 147 208 5-7
188 California-Santa Barbara [B] 0 44.82 189.15 130 217 1-5
189 Colorado College [B] 0 42.06 160.18 148 211 2-3
190 Notre Dame [B] 0 26.38 87.71 167 207 4-14
191 Utah [B] 0 25.92 49.31 176 202 0-4
192 New Hampshire 0 12.65 115.93 156 210 2-10
193 California [B] 0 2.95 177.91 129 213 0-12
194 Mississippi State 0 0.25 155.57 151 214 1-9
195 South Florida 0 -14.78 133.23 156 212 0-12
196 Texas [B] 0 -16.74 108.28 164 211 1-10
197 Carleton College [C] 0 -41.51 76.20 176 210 2-3
198 Grinnell 0 -42.31 83.95 173 211 3-6
199 Southern California [B] 0 -43.10 178.92 141 217 1-6
200 Cornell [B] 0 -66.39 172.13 149 216 1-5
201 Cal State-Long Beach 0 -92.92 206.55 131 217 0-6
202 Johns Hopkins 0 -126.42 41.73 190 210 5-2
203 Catholic 0 -199.12 97.24 179 214 3-2
204 Colby 0 -228.10 179.82 160 220 1-11
205 Colorado [B] 0 -228.75 167.15 164 219 1-4
206 Vermont [C] 0 -245.40 182.94 161 221 3-7
207 Emory [B] 0 -248.43 124.95 182 217 1-10
208 Knox 0 -262.61 185.59 164 220 2-5
209 California-San Diego [C] 0 -297.28 195.64 161 220 0-12
210 St Olaf [B] 0 -334.73 296.83 144 221 0-6
211 Illinois [B] 0 -350.31 100.94 194 217 2-10
212 Franciscan 0 -427.99 251.05 176 221 0-6
213 Maryland [B] 0 -440.54 10.14 207 216 0-2
214 Colorado Mines 0 -511.91 312.29 160 221 0-6
215 Texas A&M 0 -580.60 121.61 203 221 0-5
216 Messiah 0 -630.47 62.36 211 221 2-3
217 American [B] 0 -637.73 91.73 209 221 2-3
218 DePaul 0 -729.40 64.13 212 221 0-9
219 Dickinson 0 -740.17 129.25 208 221 0-10
220 Connecticut College 0 -793.10 370.90 167 221 0-5
221 William & Mary [B] 0 -809.47 78.21 212 221 1-4