#115 Bowdoin (17-8)

avg: 1436.94  •  sd: 55.1  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
359 Bentley Win 9-5 983.02 Mar 2nd Philly Special 2024
259 Brandeis Win 9-2 1514.93 Mar 2nd Philly Special 2024
130 Penn State-B Loss 8-9 1254.42 Mar 2nd Philly Special 2024
272 Rowan Win 13-2 1456.78 Mar 3rd Philly Special 2024
188 Brown-B Win 11-7 1630.3 Mar 3rd Philly Special 2024
187 College of New Jersey Loss 9-11 914.22 Mar 3rd Philly Special 2024
240 SUNY-Albany Win 11-7 1454.68 Mar 3rd Philly Special 2024
279 Amherst** Win 13-3 1435.51 Ignored Mar 30th New England Open 2024 Open Division
385 New Hampshire** Win 13-5 848.23 Ignored Mar 30th New England Open 2024 Open Division
293 Maine Win 10-7 1135.28 Mar 30th New England Open 2024 Open Division
80 Bates Loss 9-11 1341.75 Mar 31st New England Open 2024 Open Division
210 Northeastern-B Win 11-7 1547.55 Mar 31st New England Open 2024 Open Division
142 Bryant Win 13-6 1940.78 Mar 31st New England Open 2024 Open Division
25 Middlebury Loss 5-15 1404.07 Apr 13th North New England D III Mens Conferences 2024
225 Colby Win 13-8 1531.85 Apr 13th North New England D III Mens Conferences 2024
218 Middlebury-B Win 11-5 1654.71 Apr 14th North New England D III Mens Conferences 2024
75 Dartmouth Loss 8-11 1246.88 Apr 14th North New England D III Mens Conferences 2024
367 Dartmouth-B** Win 15-2 1017.54 Ignored Apr 14th North New England D III Mens Conferences 2024
238 Roger Williams Win 15-8 1554.26 May 4th New England D III College Mens Regionals 2024
142 Bryant Win 11-7 1807.67 May 4th New England D III College Mens Regionals 2024
55 Williams Loss 8-14 1213.53 May 4th New England D III College Mens Regionals 2024
189 Worcester Polytechnic Institute Win 12-9 1504.86 May 4th New England D III College Mens Regionals 2024
80 Bates Loss 10-15 1137.36 May 5th New England D III College Mens Regionals 2024
25 Middlebury Loss 6-13 1404.07 May 5th New England D III College Mens Regionals 2024
142 Bryant Win 12-9 1686.14 May 5th New England D III College Mens Regionals 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)