#145 Southern Illinois-Edwardsville (20-12)

avg: 1331.75  •  sd: 42.68  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
165 John Brown Win 11-3 1868.53 Feb 17th Dust Bowl 2024
105 Wisconsin-Milwaukee Loss 8-9 1359.87 Feb 17th Dust Bowl 2024
320 Washington University-B** Win 13-2 1251.34 Ignored Feb 17th Dust Bowl 2024
143 Truman State Win 10-9 1462.06 Feb 18th Dust Bowl 2024
190 Texas-Dallas Loss 9-13 739.77 Feb 18th Dust Bowl 2024
105 Wisconsin-Milwaukee Loss 8-12 1043.72 Feb 18th Dust Bowl 2024
340 DePaul** Win 13-4 1155.29 Ignored Mar 16th Grand Rapids College Invite
282 Toledo Win 11-9 1067.76 Mar 16th Grand Rapids College Invite
257 Wisconsin-B Win 12-7 1438.36 Mar 16th Grand Rapids College Invite
340 DePaul** Win 10-4 1155.29 Ignored Mar 17th Grand Rapids College Invite
151 Grace Loss 7-8 1186.63 Mar 17th Grand Rapids College Invite
123 Oberlin Win 10-9 1521.72 Mar 17th Grand Rapids College Invite
263 Illinois State Win 12-5 1498.19 Mar 30th Old Capitol Open 2024
122 Minnesota-B Win 13-10 1728.77 Mar 30th Old Capitol Open 2024
304 Luther College** Win 13-4 1294.97 Ignored Mar 30th Old Capitol Open 2024
100 Colorado-B Loss 7-8 1388.43 Mar 31st Old Capitol Open 2024
110 Davenport Loss 10-11 1342.57 Mar 31st Old Capitol Open 2024
185 Minnesota-Duluth Win 8-6 1478.08 Mar 31st Old Capitol Open 2024
61 Chicago Loss 10-15 1240.72 Apr 13th Illinois D I Mens Conferences 2024
340 DePaul Win 13-8 1051.45 Apr 13th Illinois D I Mens Conferences 2024
263 Illinois State Win 14-7 1481.08 Apr 13th Illinois D I Mens Conferences 2024
236 Loyola-Chicago Loss 12-13 865.9 Apr 13th Illinois D I Mens Conferences 2024
61 Chicago Loss 9-15 1178.85 Apr 14th Illinois D I Mens Conferences 2024
340 DePaul** Win 15-5 1155.29 Ignored Apr 14th Illinois D I Mens Conferences 2024
324 Illinois-Chicago** Win 15-2 1222.98 Ignored Apr 14th Illinois D I Mens Conferences 2024
39 Illinois Loss 6-15 1285.37 Apr 27th Great Lakes D I College Mens Regionals 2024
118 Kentucky Win 9-8 1540.92 Apr 27th Great Lakes D I College Mens Regionals 2024
106 Northwestern Loss 13-14 1357.91 Apr 27th Great Lakes D I College Mens Regionals 2024
236 Loyola-Chicago Win 13-4 1590.9 Apr 27th Great Lakes D I College Mens Regionals 2024
118 Kentucky Loss 11-15 1034.75 Apr 28th Great Lakes D I College Mens Regionals 2024
357 Michigan State-B** Win 15-2 1074.64 Ignored Apr 28th Great Lakes D I College Mens Regionals 2024
236 Loyola-Chicago Win 13-7 1548.43 Apr 28th Great Lakes D I College Mens Regionals 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)