#39 Illinois (25-4)

avg: 1885.37  •  sd: 57.32  •  top 16/20: 0.1%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
48 Auburn Win 9-7 2061.62 Feb 10th Golden Triangle Invitational
231 Harding Win 11-5 1615.31 Feb 10th Golden Triangle Invitational
111 Vanderbilt Win 11-7 1924.06 Feb 10th Golden Triangle Invitational
48 Auburn Win 7-0 2382.29 Feb 11th Golden Triangle Invitational
88 Berry Win 12-10 1789.8 Feb 11th Golden Triangle Invitational
99 Tennessee-Chattanooga Win 13-11 1747.78 Feb 11th Golden Triangle Invitational
34 California-San Diego Win 11-10 2028.45 Mar 2nd Stanford Invite 2024
71 Grand Canyon Win 8-6 1930.06 Mar 2nd Stanford Invite 2024
36 Wisconsin Loss 6-11 1347.21 Mar 2nd Stanford Invite 2024
33 California-Santa Cruz Loss 8-9 1782.18 Mar 3rd Stanford Invite 2024
43 Tulane Loss 7-8 1713.42 Mar 3rd Stanford Invite 2024
111 Vanderbilt Win 10-9 1582.16 Mar 3rd Stanford Invite 2024
61 Chicago Win 10-9 1819.33 Mar 16th College Mens Centex Tier 1
46 Florida Win 12-11 1910.88 Mar 16th College Mens Centex Tier 1
107 Iowa State Win 11-9 1725.34 Mar 16th College Mens Centex Tier 1
18 Northeastern Win 13-12 2233.05 Mar 16th College Mens Centex Tier 1
41 Oklahoma Christian Win 12-9 2198.24 Mar 17th College Mens Centex Tier 1
340 DePaul** Win 15-1 1155.29 Ignored Apr 13th Illinois D I Mens Conferences 2024
236 Loyola-Chicago** Win 15-1 1590.9 Ignored Apr 13th Illinois D I Mens Conferences 2024
324 Illinois-Chicago** Win 15-1 1222.98 Ignored Apr 13th Illinois D I Mens Conferences 2024
106 Northwestern Win 15-8 2047.72 Apr 13th Illinois D I Mens Conferences 2024
236 Loyola-Chicago** Win 15-5 1590.9 Ignored Apr 14th Illinois D I Mens Conferences 2024
106 Northwestern Win 15-7 2082.91 Apr 14th Illinois D I Mens Conferences 2024
236 Loyola-Chicago** Win 12-5 1590.9 Ignored Apr 27th Great Lakes D I College Mens Regionals 2024
145 Southern Illinois-Edwardsville Win 15-6 1931.75 Apr 27th Great Lakes D I College Mens Regionals 2024
118 Kentucky Win 15-7 2015.92 Apr 27th Great Lakes D I College Mens Regionals 2024
61 Chicago Win 15-13 1908.51 Apr 28th Great Lakes D I College Mens Regionals 2024
83 Indiana Win 14-8 2117.35 Apr 28th Great Lakes D I College Mens Regionals 2024
37 Michigan Loss 8-15 1320.94 Apr 28th Great Lakes D I College Mens Regionals 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)