#40 Victoria (10-21)

avg: 1857.48  •  sd: 46.01  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
33 California-Santa Cruz Win 12-10 2145.31 Jan 27th Santa Barbara Invite 2024
7 Oregon Loss 5-14 1730.08 Jan 27th Santa Barbara Invite 2024
113 Southern California Win 13-7 2011.57 Jan 27th Santa Barbara Invite 2024
67 Stanford Win 14-7 2254.45 Jan 27th Santa Barbara Invite 2024
5 Cal Poly-SLO Loss 4-15 1796.85 Jan 28th Santa Barbara Invite 2024
34 California-San Diego Win 12-9 2248.81 Jan 28th Santa Barbara Invite 2024
29 Utah Loss 10-12 1708.94 Jan 28th Santa Barbara Invite 2024
22 Washington Loss 11-12 1908.49 Jan 28th Santa Barbara Invite 2024
60 California-Santa Barbara Loss 9-11 1466.39 Feb 17th Presidents Day Invite 2024
7 Oregon Loss 9-13 1911.51 Feb 17th Presidents Day Invite 2024
24 UCLA Win 12-8 2461.85 Feb 17th Presidents Day Invite 2024
15 California Loss 6-10 1661.31 Feb 18th Presidents Day Invite 2024
1 Colorado Loss 7-13 1942.2 Feb 18th Presidents Day Invite 2024
22 Washington Loss 6-12 1454.18 Feb 18th Presidents Day Invite 2024
29 Utah Loss 10-11 1822.07 Feb 19th Presidents Day Invite 2024
22 Washington Loss 9-11 1784.28 Feb 19th Presidents Day Invite 2024
33 California-Santa Cruz Loss 13-14 1782.18 Mar 23rd Northwest Challenge Mens 2024
12 Carleton College Loss 12-15 1924.12 Mar 23rd Northwest Challenge Mens 2024
22 Washington Loss 9-15 1518.01 Mar 23rd Northwest Challenge Mens 2024
33 California-Santa Cruz Loss 10-12 1669.06 Mar 24th Northwest Challenge Mens 2024
29 Utah Loss 7-15 1347.07 Mar 24th Northwest Challenge Mens 2024
66 Western Washington Win 15-10 2127.04 Mar 24th Northwest Challenge Mens 2024
21 British Columbia Win 11-10 2174.89 Apr 13th Cascadia D I Mens Conferences 2024
19 Oregon State Loss 9-15 1582.98 Apr 13th Cascadia D I Mens Conferences 2024
7 Oregon Loss 11-15 1948.91 Apr 14th Cascadia D I Mens Conferences 2024
19 Oregon State Loss 14-15 1973.46 Apr 14th Cascadia D I Mens Conferences 2024
29 Utah Loss 11-12 1822.07 May 4th Northwest D I College Mens Regionals 2024
32 Utah State Win 13-11 2137.74 May 4th Northwest D I College Mens Regionals 2024
160 Washington State Win 13-10 1612.06 May 4th Northwest D I College Mens Regionals 2024
155 Washington-B Win 13-2 1900 May 4th Northwest D I College Mens Regionals 2024
22 Washington Loss 12-13 1908.49 May 5th Northwest D I College Mens Regionals 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)