#1 Colorado (25-5)

avg: 2499.73  •  sd: 80.15  •  top 16/20: 100%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
34 California-San Diego Win 15-5 2503.45 Feb 17th Presidents Day Invite 2024
67 Stanford** Win 15-5 2271.57 Ignored Feb 17th Presidents Day Invite 2024
29 Utah Win 14-8 2483.1 Feb 17th Presidents Day Invite 2024
15 California Win 12-8 2598.62 Feb 18th Presidents Day Invite 2024
40 Victoria Win 13-7 2415.01 Feb 18th Presidents Day Invite 2024
22 Washington Win 15-11 2414.65 Feb 18th Presidents Day Invite 2024
5 Cal Poly-SLO Loss 11-15 2015.69 Feb 19th Presidents Day Invite 2024
7 Oregon Win 15-8 2894.88 Feb 19th Presidents Day Invite 2024
4 Massachusetts Loss 12-13 2329.1 Mar 2nd Smoky Mountain Invite 2024
6 Pittsburgh Loss 12-13 2207.82 Mar 2nd Smoky Mountain Invite 2024
24 UCLA Win 13-6 2620.7 Mar 2nd Smoky Mountain Invite 2024
14 North Carolina State Win 15-11 2552.64 Mar 2nd Smoky Mountain Invite 2024
12 Carleton College Win 15-9 2740.1 Mar 3rd Smoky Mountain Invite 2024
2 North Carolina Loss 11-15 2105.17 Mar 3rd Smoky Mountain Invite 2024
9 Vermont Win 15-13 2462.07 Mar 3rd Smoky Mountain Invite 2024
12 Carleton College Win 15-6 2824.62 Mar 23rd Northwest Challenge Mens 2024
19 Oregon State Win 15-2 2698.46 Mar 23rd Northwest Challenge Mens 2024
24 UCLA Win 15-9 2536.18 Mar 23rd Northwest Challenge Mens 2024
15 California Win 15-13 2371.64 Mar 24th Northwest Challenge Mens 2024
7 Oregon Loss 13-15 2115.9 Mar 24th Northwest Challenge Mens 2024
290 Colorado-C** Win 15-3 1368.41 Ignored Apr 13th Rocky Mountain D I Mens Conferences 2024
360 Colorado Mesa** Win 15-0 1047.63 Ignored Apr 13th Rocky Mountain D I Mens Conferences 2024
156 Denver** Win 15-5 1896.21 Ignored Apr 13th Rocky Mountain D I Mens Conferences 2024
53 Colorado State** Win 15-2 2356.05 Ignored Apr 14th Rocky Mountain D I Mens Conferences 2024
128 Houston** Win 15-3 1988.32 Ignored Apr 27th South Central D I College Mens Regionals 2024
161 Saint Louis** Win 14-3 1883.47 Ignored Apr 27th South Central D I College Mens Regionals 2024
20 Washington University Win 15-8 2650.97 Apr 27th South Central D I College Mens Regionals 2024
100 Colorado-B** Win 15-3 2113.43 Ignored Apr 27th South Central D I College Mens Regionals 2024
38 Texas A&M Win 15-8 2450.27 Apr 28th South Central D I College Mens Regionals 2024
10 Texas Win 15-9 2761.67 Apr 28th South Central D I College Mens Regionals 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)