#194 Georgia College (6-10)

avg: 519.2  •  sd: 85.63  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
202 Alabama Win 9-8 559.07 Mar 2nd Florida Spring Showcase
234 Florida Tech Win 6-2 661.95 Mar 2nd Florida Spring Showcase
241 Florida-B** Win 11-1 435.05 Ignored Mar 2nd Florida Spring Showcase
221 LSU Win 9-5 785.7 Mar 2nd Florida Spring Showcase
202 Alabama Loss 3-3 434.07 Mar 3rd Florida Spring Showcase
32 Central Florida** Loss 0-11 1217.19 Ignored Mar 3rd Florida Spring Showcase
61 Florida** Loss 2-11 893.44 Ignored Mar 3rd Florida Spring Showcase
212 Auburn Loss 9-10 203.01 Mar 16th Southerns 2024
218 Georgia-B Win 11-7 751.26 Mar 16th Southerns 2024
123 East Carolina Loss 3-13 473.86 Mar 16th Southerns 2024
127 Wisconsin-Eau Claire Loss 5-12 441.07 Mar 16th Southerns 2024
120 Charleston Loss 12-14 861.2 Mar 17th Southerns 2024
226 Georgia Southern Win 14-4 798.86 Mar 17th Southerns 2024
218 Georgia-B Loss 6-8 -16.13 Mar 17th Southerns 2024
139 Berry Loss 4-15 335.61 Apr 13th Southeast D III Womens Conferences 2024
33 Union (Tennessee)** Loss 1-15 1201.17 Ignored Apr 13th Southeast D III Womens Conferences 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)