#129 Illinois (18-13)

avg: 1037.5  •  sd: 45.96  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
233 Alabama-Birmingham** Win 10-3 686.05 Ignored Feb 10th College Womens Huckfest
211 Vanderbilt Win 11-7 799.1 Feb 10th College Womens Huckfest
33 Union (Tennessee)** Loss 3-11 1201.17 Ignored Feb 10th College Womens Huckfest
202 Alabama Win 11-5 1034.07 Feb 11th College Womens Huckfest
31 Alabama-Huntsville** Loss 1-11 1232.1 Ignored Feb 11th College Womens Huckfest
80 Cincinnati Loss 6-10 858.35 Feb 11th College Womens Huckfest
80 Cincinnati Loss 5-7 1026.37 Feb 11th College Womens Huckfest
162 Emory Win 7-4 1312.19 Feb 24th The Only Tenn I See Memorial Tournament
218 Georgia-B** Win 10-3 884.36 Ignored Feb 24th The Only Tenn I See Memorial Tournament
33 Union (Tennessee)** Loss 4-11 1201.17 Ignored Feb 24th The Only Tenn I See Memorial Tournament
91 Tennessee-Chattanooga Loss 5-8 852.11 Feb 24th The Only Tenn I See Memorial Tournament
212 Auburn** Win 13-2 928.01 Ignored Feb 25th The Only Tenn I See Memorial Tournament
162 Emory Loss 7-9 536.69 Feb 25th The Only Tenn I See Memorial Tournament
63 Tennessee Loss 3-14 878.12 Feb 25th The Only Tenn I See Memorial Tournament
195 Washington University-B Win 6-3 1058.07 Mar 30th Illinois Invite 2024
190 Michigan-B Win 6-0 1153.14 Mar 30th Illinois Invite 2024
237 Northwestern-B** Win 13-0 621.81 Ignored Mar 30th Illinois Invite 2024
182 Knox Win 8-7 734.1 Mar 30th Illinois Invite 2024
195 Washington University-B Win 15-1 1111.38 Mar 31st Illinois Invite 2024
182 Knox Win 12-5 1209.1 Mar 31st Illinois Invite 2024
99 Chicago Win 8-7 1344.77 Apr 13th Illinois D I Womens Conferences 2024
70 Northwestern Loss 5-10 845.38 Apr 13th Illinois D I Womens Conferences 2024
160 Loyola-Chicago Win 10-5 1392.74 Apr 13th Illinois D I Womens Conferences 2024
237 Northwestern-B** Win 13-0 621.81 Ignored Apr 13th Illinois D I Womens Conferences 2024
160 Loyola-Chicago Win 9-2 1418.85 Apr 27th Great Lakes D I College Womens Regionals 2024
12 Michigan** Loss 1-10 1599.69 Ignored Apr 27th Great Lakes D I College Womens Regionals 2024
222 Notre Dame-B** Win 13-1 850.6 Ignored Apr 27th Great Lakes D I College Womens Regionals 2024
59 Purdue Loss 3-6 969.73 Apr 27th Great Lakes D I College Womens Regionals 2024
141 Grand Valley Win 11-9 1171.9 Apr 28th Great Lakes D I College Womens Regionals 2024
70 Northwestern Loss 6-11 872.59 Apr 28th Great Lakes D I College Womens Regionals 2024
59 Purdue Loss 5-12 916.42 Apr 28th Great Lakes D I College Womens Regionals 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)