#222 Ball State (17-15)

avg: 1043.66  •  sd: 53.74  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
402 Case Western Reserve-B** Win 13-3 638.41 Ignored Mar 2nd The Dayton Ultimate Disc Experience The DUDE
347 Wright State Win 13-5 1127.36 Mar 2nd The Dayton Ultimate Disc Experience The DUDE
408 Dayton-B** Win 13-0 435.28 Ignored Mar 2nd The Dayton Ultimate Disc Experience The DUDE
157 Miami (Ohio) Loss 8-10 1027.1 Mar 2nd The Dayton Ultimate Disc Experience The DUDE
271 Cincinnati -B Win 11-9 1106.88 Mar 3rd The Dayton Ultimate Disc Experience The DUDE
118 Kentucky Loss 10-12 1177.79 Mar 3rd The Dayton Ultimate Disc Experience The DUDE
182 Dayton Loss 4-15 590.4 Mar 3rd The Dayton Ultimate Disc Experience The DUDE
220 Hillsdale Win 13-6 1650.3 Mar 22nd Butler Spring Fling
285 Penn State-Behrend Win 13-6 1400.45 Mar 23rd Butler Spring Fling
363 Indiana-B Win 10-5 1011.98 Mar 23rd Butler Spring Fling
236 Loyola-Chicago Loss 7-11 524.01 Mar 23rd Butler Spring Fling
151 Grace Loss 7-13 754.1 Mar 23rd Butler Spring Fling
232 Butler Loss 6-9 591.65 Mar 24th Butler Spring Fling
323 Purdue-B Win 10-6 1126.8 Mar 24th Butler Spring Fling
282 Toledo Win 10-4 1418.55 Mar 30th Illinois Invite 2024
294 Knox Win 10-5 1311.71 Mar 30th Illinois Invite 2024
264 Wheaton (Illinois) Win 8-5 1345.19 Mar 30th Illinois Invite 2024
323 Purdue-B Win 11-3 1230.64 Mar 30th Illinois Invite 2024
369 Illinois-B** Win 8-2 960.32 Ignored Mar 30th Illinois Invite 2024
323 Purdue-B Win 15-6 1230.64 Mar 31st Illinois Invite 2024
294 Knox Win 14-7 1320.7 Mar 31st Illinois Invite 2024
96 Notre Dame Loss 7-12 1010.48 Apr 13th East Plains D I Mens Conferences 2024
62 Purdue** Loss 3-13 1089.75 Ignored Apr 13th East Plains D I Mens Conferences 2024
118 Kentucky Loss 9-13 997.35 Apr 13th East Plains D I Mens Conferences 2024
83 Indiana Loss 2-13 981.32 Apr 13th East Plains D I Mens Conferences 2024
37 Michigan** Loss 2-15 1285.75 Ignored Apr 27th Great Lakes D I College Mens Regionals 2024
83 Indiana Loss 5-15 981.32 Apr 27th Great Lakes D I College Mens Regionals 2024
254 Michigan-B Win 13-10 1256.96 Apr 27th Great Lakes D I College Mens Regionals 2024
61 Chicago** Loss 4-15 1094.33 Ignored Apr 27th Great Lakes D I College Mens Regionals 2024
236 Loyola-Chicago Loss 13-14 865.9 Apr 28th Great Lakes D I College Mens Regionals 2024
323 Purdue-B Win 13-10 958.78 Apr 28th Great Lakes D I College Mens Regionals 2024
254 Michigan-B Loss 5-11 328.81 Apr 28th Great Lakes D I College Mens Regionals 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)