#83 Indiana (21-17)

avg: 1581.32  •  sd: 44.01  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
90 Tennessee Win 14-13 1668.84 Jan 27th Carolina Kickoff 2024
42 South Carolina Loss 6-15 1246.77 Jan 27th Carolina Kickoff 2024
27 North Carolina-Wilmington Loss 9-12 1649.92 Jan 27th Carolina Kickoff 2024
114 Davidson Win 14-6 2037.27 Jan 28th Carolina Kickoff 2024
87 Georgetown Win 11-10 1679.4 Jan 28th Carolina Kickoff 2024
97 Lehigh Win 11-10 1651.34 Jan 28th Carolina Kickoff 2024
57 Virginia Win 11-10 1863.83 Feb 10th Queen City Tune Up 2024
2 North Carolina** Loss 4-15 1886.33 Ignored Feb 10th Queen City Tune Up 2024
26 McGill Loss 9-15 1481.64 Feb 10th Queen City Tune Up 2024
27 North Carolina-Wilmington Loss 10-14 1596.58 Feb 10th Queen City Tune Up 2024
87 Georgetown Loss 12-14 1333.45 Feb 11th Queen City Tune Up 2024
96 Notre Dame Win 13-8 2027.15 Feb 11th Queen City Tune Up 2024
46 Florida Loss 9-12 1440.51 Feb 24th Mardi Gras XXXVI college
116 LSU Win 11-8 1796.7 Feb 24th Mardi Gras XXXVI college
197 Texas State Win 12-7 1650.48 Feb 24th Mardi Gras XXXVI college
266 Texas Tech** Win 13-3 1488.68 Ignored Feb 24th Mardi Gras XXXVI college
69 Central Florida Loss 2-9 1038.53 Feb 25th Mardi Gras XXXVI college
89 Florida State Win 13-11 1780.12 Feb 25th Mardi Gras XXXVI college
38 Texas A&M Win 10-9 2010.46 Feb 25th Mardi Gras XXXVI college
99 Tennessee-Chattanooga Loss 4-13 918.93 Feb 25th Mardi Gras XXXVI college
53 Colorado State Win 10-9 1881.05 Mar 30th Huck Finn 2024
82 Mississippi State Loss 6-8 1282.41 Mar 30th Huck Finn 2024
233 Oklahoma Win 11-8 1371.31 Mar 30th Huck Finn 2024
107 Iowa State Win 11-8 1841.74 Mar 30th Huck Finn 2024
47 Alabama Loss 3-13 1184.81 Mar 31st Huck Finn 2024
61 Chicago Loss 7-9 1414.99 Mar 31st Huck Finn 2024
45 St Olaf Loss 7-12 1290.83 Mar 31st Huck Finn 2024
222 Ball State Win 13-2 1643.66 Apr 13th East Plains D I Mens Conferences 2024
118 Kentucky Win 11-8 1781.52 Apr 13th East Plains D I Mens Conferences 2024
62 Purdue Loss 9-10 1564.75 Apr 13th East Plains D I Mens Conferences 2024
96 Notre Dame Win 10-9 1655.99 Apr 13th East Plains D I Mens Conferences 2024
222 Ball State Win 15-5 1643.66 Apr 27th Great Lakes D I College Mens Regionals 2024
135 Grand Valley Win 14-7 1954.04 Apr 27th Great Lakes D I College Mens Regionals 2024
254 Michigan-B Win 14-7 1511.7 Apr 27th Great Lakes D I College Mens Regionals 2024
37 Michigan Loss 7-15 1285.75 Apr 27th Great Lakes D I College Mens Regionals 2024
39 Illinois Loss 8-14 1349.34 Apr 28th Great Lakes D I College Mens Regionals 2024
62 Purdue Loss 13-14 1564.75 Apr 28th Great Lakes D I College Mens Regionals 2024
106 Northwestern Win 11-8 1848.52 Apr 28th Great Lakes D I College Mens Regionals 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)