#96 Notre Dame (13-18)

avg: 1530.99  •  sd: 52.9  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
72 Appalachian State Win 13-10 1956.79 Feb 10th Queen City Tune Up 2024
70 James Madison Loss 13-14 1508.19 Feb 10th Queen City Tune Up 2024
14 North Carolina State** Loss 5-15 1571.47 Ignored Feb 10th Queen City Tune Up 2024
35 Ohio State Loss 3-15 1303.25 Feb 10th Queen City Tune Up 2024
79 Case Western Reserve Loss 12-15 1295.2 Feb 11th Queen City Tune Up 2024
83 Indiana Loss 8-13 1085.16 Feb 11th Queen City Tune Up 2024
28 Georgia Tech Win 11-10 2113.02 Feb 24th Easterns Qualifier 2024
31 North Carolina-Charlotte Loss 5-13 1320.89 Feb 24th Easterns Qualifier 2024
97 Lehigh Win 13-8 2022.5 Feb 24th Easterns Qualifier 2024
57 Virginia Loss 11-13 1509.99 Feb 24th Easterns Qualifier 2024
74 Cincinnati Loss 12-15 1313.51 Feb 25th Easterns Qualifier 2024
152 Harvard Win 12-9 1656.61 Feb 25th Easterns Qualifier 2024
56 Temple Loss 11-12 1618.67 Feb 25th Easterns Qualifier 2024
44 Virginia Tech Loss 9-13 1395.84 Feb 25th Easterns Qualifier 2024
73 Ave Maria Win 9-8 1739.71 Mar 16th Tally Classic XVIII
203 Spring Hill Win 11-9 1362.49 Mar 16th Tally Classic XVIII
183 South Florida Win 11-6 1733.22 Mar 16th Tally Classic XVIII
48 Auburn Loss 8-15 1217.48 Mar 17th Tally Classic XVIII
69 Central Florida Loss 7-13 1081 Mar 17th Tally Classic XVIII
69 Central Florida Loss 11-15 1257.37 Mar 17th Tally Classic XVIII
82 Mississippi State Win 15-13 1797.08 Mar 17th Tally Classic XVIII
222 Ball State Win 12-7 1564.17 Apr 13th East Plains D I Mens Conferences 2024
83 Indiana Loss 9-10 1456.32 Apr 13th East Plains D I Mens Conferences 2024
118 Kentucky Loss 11-12 1290.92 Apr 13th East Plains D I Mens Conferences 2024
62 Purdue Loss 5-13 1089.75 Apr 13th East Plains D I Mens Conferences 2024
118 Kentucky Win 15-7 2015.92 Apr 27th Great Lakes D I College Mens Regionals 2024
106 Northwestern Win 15-12 1783.4 Apr 27th Great Lakes D I College Mens Regionals 2024
62 Purdue Loss 11-13 1460.91 Apr 27th Great Lakes D I College Mens Regionals 2024
323 Purdue-B** Win 15-3 1230.64 Ignored Apr 27th Great Lakes D I College Mens Regionals 2024
37 Michigan Loss 7-15 1285.75 Apr 28th Great Lakes D I College Mens Regionals 2024
49 Michigan State Win 15-13 1992.65 Apr 28th Great Lakes D I College Mens Regionals 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)