#111 Vanderbilt (8-19)

avg: 1457.16  •  sd: 50.32  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
48 Auburn Loss 9-11 1533.08 Feb 10th Golden Triangle Invitational
231 Harding Loss 9-11 766.1 Feb 10th Golden Triangle Invitational
39 Illinois Loss 7-11 1418.48 Feb 10th Golden Triangle Invitational
99 Tennessee-Chattanooga Loss 9-13 1100.37 Feb 10th Golden Triangle Invitational
242 Mississippi State -B Win 13-6 1586.06 Feb 11th Golden Triangle Invitational
60 California-Santa Barbara Loss 5-12 1115.6 Mar 2nd Stanford Invite 2024
33 California-Santa Cruz Loss 7-12 1386.67 Mar 2nd Stanford Invite 2024
144 Santa Clara Win 11-9 1585.41 Mar 2nd Stanford Invite 2024
66 Western Washington Win 9-8 1798.44 Mar 2nd Stanford Invite 2024
39 Illinois Loss 9-10 1760.37 Mar 3rd Stanford Invite 2024
7 Oregon** Loss 2-13 1730.08 Ignored Mar 3rd Stanford Invite 2024
67 Stanford Loss 8-11 1305.96 Mar 3rd Stanford Invite 2024
119 Colorado College Loss 6-7 1283.16 Mar 30th Huck Finn 2024
106 Northwestern Loss 8-9 1357.91 Mar 30th Huck Finn 2024
105 Wisconsin-Milwaukee Loss 8-9 1359.87 Mar 30th Huck Finn 2024
95 Arkansas Win 10-7 1924.25 Mar 31st Huck Finn 2024
69 Central Florida Win 9-8 1763.53 Mar 31st Huck Finn 2024
47 Alabama Loss 11-12 1659.81 Apr 13th Gulf Coast D I Mens Conferences 2024
13 Alabama-Huntsville Loss 7-13 1639.68 Apr 13th Gulf Coast D I Mens Conferences 2024
116 LSU Loss 10-11 1306.09 Apr 13th Gulf Coast D I Mens Conferences 2024
195 Alabama-Birmingham Win 13-6 1742.26 Apr 14th Gulf Coast D I Mens Conferences 2024
48 Auburn Loss 7-13 1224.76 Apr 14th Gulf Coast D I Mens Conferences 2024
277 Jacksonville State Win 13-6 1442.53 Apr 14th Gulf Coast D I Mens Conferences 2024
46 Florida Loss 12-15 1485.39 Apr 27th Southeast D I College Mens Regionals 2024
98 Georgia State Win 13-12 1645.82 Apr 27th Southeast D I College Mens Regionals 2024
28 Georgia Tech Loss 7-15 1388.02 Apr 27th Southeast D I College Mens Regionals 2024
116 LSU Loss 9-12 1085.73 Apr 27th Southeast D I College Mens Regionals 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)