#119 Colorado College (14-14)

avg: 1408.16  •  sd: 67.94  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
180 Brigham Young-B Win 15-8 1759.75 Mar 1st Snow Melt 2024
290 Colorado-C** Win 13-4 1368.41 Ignored Mar 2nd Snow Melt 2024
381 Denver-B** Win 13-0 887.78 Ignored Mar 2nd Snow Melt 2024
137 Kansas Win 10-4 1965.35 Mar 2nd Snow Melt 2024
156 Denver Loss 7-11 829.32 Mar 2nd Snow Melt 2024
100 Colorado-B Loss 6-15 913.43 Mar 3rd Snow Melt 2024
137 Kansas Win 12-11 1490.35 Mar 3rd Snow Melt 2024
17 Brigham Young** Loss 4-13 1520.63 Ignored Mar 16th College Mens Centex Tier 1
116 LSU Win 13-9 1849.66 Mar 16th College Mens Centex Tier 1
38 Texas A&M Loss 9-12 1540.09 Mar 16th College Mens Centex Tier 1
49 Michigan State Loss 6-7 1653.48 Mar 16th College Mens Centex Tier 1
107 Iowa State Win 12-7 1996.65 Mar 17th College Mens Centex Tier 1
18 Northeastern Loss 7-13 1550.52 Mar 17th College Mens Centex Tier 1
106 Northwestern Loss 6-13 882.91 Mar 30th Huck Finn 2024
111 Vanderbilt Win 7-6 1582.16 Mar 30th Huck Finn 2024
105 Wisconsin-Milwaukee Loss 6-10 988.71 Mar 30th Huck Finn 2024
95 Arkansas Loss 7-10 1144.92 Mar 31st Huck Finn 2024
194 Ohio Win 12-9 1487.99 Mar 31st Huck Finn 2024
118 Kentucky Loss 7-10 1026.25 Mar 31st Huck Finn 2024
274 Air Force Win 15-8 1415.32 Apr 13th Rocky Mountain D III Mens Conferences 2024
101 Colorado Mines Loss 14-15 1387.08 Apr 13th Rocky Mountain D III Mens Conferences 2024
281 Trinity Win 15-2 1427.06 Apr 27th South Central D III College Mens Regionals 2024
153 Missouri S&T Loss 8-13 808.99 Apr 27th South Central D III College Mens Regionals 2024
41 Oklahoma Christian Loss 3-15 1252.87 Apr 27th South Central D III College Mens Regionals 2024
231 Harding Win 15-8 1580.12 Apr 28th South Central D III College Mens Regionals 2024
143 Truman State Win 14-8 1873.09 Apr 28th South Central D III College Mens Regionals 2024
101 Colorado Mines Win 15-11 1893.25 Apr 28th South Central D III College Mens Regionals 2024
153 Missouri S&T Loss 12-14 1084.19 Apr 28th South Central D III College Mens Regionals 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)