#163 Columbia (16-17)

avg: 1275.42  •  sd: 58.23  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
92 Pennsylvania Loss 6-11 992.67 Feb 5th New Jersey Warmup
56 Temple Loss 7-11 1276.78 Feb 10th New Jersey Warmup
97 Lehigh Loss 8-11 1160.73 Feb 10th New Jersey Warmup
191 NYU Loss 9-10 1031.8 Feb 10th New Jersey Warmup
56 Temple Loss 9-14 1269.8 Feb 11th New Jersey Warmup
162 Rutgers Win 14-11 1595.88 Feb 11th New Jersey Warmup
92 Pennsylvania Loss 8-15 974.56 Feb 11th New Jersey Warmup
131 Yale Win 10-7 1769.04 Mar 2nd No Sleep till Brooklyn 2024
283 Hofstra Win 9-6 1227.84 Mar 2nd No Sleep till Brooklyn 2024
201 MIT Win 10-5 1690.61 Mar 2nd No Sleep till Brooklyn 2024
80 Bates Win 10-8 1853.63 Mar 3rd No Sleep till Brooklyn 2024
93 Princeton Win 11-10 1663.03 Mar 3rd No Sleep till Brooklyn 2024
102 Connecticut Loss 8-10 1232.46 Mar 3rd No Sleep till Brooklyn 2024
120 Syracuse Loss 8-11 1037.65 Mar 3rd No Sleep till Brooklyn 2024
85 Cornell Loss 9-10 1450.01 Mar 30th East Coast Invite 2024
92 Pennsylvania Loss 5-11 939.36 Mar 30th East Coast Invite 2024
152 Harvard Loss 5-13 711.24 Mar 30th East Coast Invite 2024
131 Yale Win 13-8 1875.53 Mar 30th East Coast Invite 2024
102 Connecticut Loss 7-9 1215.79 Mar 31st East Coast Invite 2024
202 George Mason Loss 8-9 991.33 Mar 31st East Coast Invite 2024
300 SUNY-Stony Brook Win 9-8 839.83 Mar 31st East Coast Invite 2024
272 Rowan Win 12-5 1456.78 Apr 13th Metro NY D I Mens Conferences 2024
162 Rutgers Loss 8-13 786.39 Apr 13th Metro NY D I Mens Conferences 2024
374 New Jersey Tech Win 12-6 903.01 Apr 13th Metro NY D I Mens Conferences 2024
283 Hofstra Win 12-3 1409.27 Apr 13th Metro NY D I Mens Conferences 2024
93 Princeton Loss 8-12 1096.88 Apr 14th Metro NY D I Mens Conferences 2024
162 Rutgers Loss 6-13 682.55 Apr 14th Metro NY D I Mens Conferences 2024
272 Rowan Win 15-6 1456.78 Apr 14th Metro NY D I Mens Conferences 2024
102 Connecticut Win 12-10 1733.25 Apr 27th Metro East D I College Mens Regionals 2024
191 NYU Win 14-9 1630.67 Apr 27th Metro East D I College Mens Regionals 2024
272 Rowan Win 15-7 1456.78 Apr 27th Metro East D I College Mens Regionals 2024
131 Yale Win 12-11 1504.37 Apr 28th Metro East D I College Mens Regionals 2024
85 Cornell Loss 10-15 1121.41 Apr 28th Metro East D I College Mens Regionals 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)