#131 Yale (17-17)

avg: 1379.37  •  sd: 62.35  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
199 Connecticut College Loss 8-10 863.08 Feb 10th UMass Invite 2024
76 Massachusetts -B Loss 5-11 1010.5 Feb 10th UMass Invite 2024
159 Rhode Island Win 10-9 1413.15 Feb 10th UMass Invite 2024
117 Rochester Loss 7-8 1302.33 Feb 10th UMass Invite 2024
159 Rhode Island Loss 5-8 834.55 Feb 11th UMass Invite 2024
272 Rowan Win 12-5 1456.78 Feb 11th UMass Invite 2024
136 Wesleyan Win 13-9 1787.48 Feb 11th UMass Invite 2024
55 Williams Loss 6-10 1253.41 Feb 11th UMass Invite 2024
163 Columbia Loss 7-10 885.76 Mar 2nd No Sleep till Brooklyn 2024
283 Hofstra Win 6-0 1409.27 Mar 2nd No Sleep till Brooklyn 2024
201 MIT Win 12-5 1716.71 Mar 2nd No Sleep till Brooklyn 2024
80 Bates Loss 9-10 1465.96 Mar 3rd No Sleep till Brooklyn 2024
191 NYU Win 10-8 1419.47 Mar 3rd No Sleep till Brooklyn 2024
55 Williams Loss 9-13 1331 Mar 3rd No Sleep till Brooklyn 2024
163 Columbia Loss 8-13 779.26 Mar 30th East Coast Invite 2024
85 Cornell Win 10-7 1964.68 Mar 30th East Coast Invite 2024
152 Harvard Win 13-8 1807.4 Mar 30th East Coast Invite 2024
92 Pennsylvania Win 10-7 1929.03 Mar 30th East Coast Invite 2024
79 Case Western Reserve Loss 9-11 1346.49 Mar 31st East Coast Invite 2024
102 Connecticut Loss 7-12 974.61 Mar 31st East Coast Invite 2024
75 Dartmouth Loss 9-11 1363.28 Mar 31st East Coast Invite 2024
275 Central Connecticut State Win 13-6 1448.66 Apr 13th Hudson Valley D I Mens Conferences 2024
379 Southern Connecticut State** Win 13-3 900.57 Ignored Apr 13th Hudson Valley D I Mens Conferences 2024
240 SUNY-Albany Win 13-3 1587.78 Apr 13th Hudson Valley D I Mens Conferences 2024
102 Connecticut Loss 9-10 1370.12 Apr 14th Hudson Valley D I Mens Conferences 2024
379 Southern Connecticut State** Win 15-6 900.57 Ignored Apr 14th Hudson Valley D I Mens Conferences 2024
240 SUNY-Albany Loss 10-11 862.78 Apr 14th Hudson Valley D I Mens Conferences 2024
93 Princeton Loss 9-14 1064.16 Apr 27th Metro East D I College Mens Regionals 2024
166 RIT Win 15-11 1648.99 Apr 27th Metro East D I College Mens Regionals 2024
327 SUNY-Binghamton-B** Win 15-6 1214.21 Ignored Apr 27th Metro East D I College Mens Regionals 2024
91 SUNY-Buffalo Loss 7-15 943.75 Apr 27th Metro East D I College Mens Regionals 2024
163 Columbia Loss 11-12 1150.42 Apr 28th Metro East D I College Mens Regionals 2024
103 SUNY-Binghamton Win 15-12 1792.14 Apr 28th Metro East D I College Mens Regionals 2024
91 SUNY-Buffalo Win 14-8 2079.79 Apr 28th Metro East D I College Mens Regionals 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)