#214 North Carolina-B (14-11)

avg: 1073.8  •  sd: 52.09  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
72 Appalachian State Loss 10-15 1175.05 Jan 27th Carolina Kickoff 2024
87 Georgetown Loss 8-15 989.59 Jan 28th Carolina Kickoff 2024
90 Tennessee Loss 12-15 1243.35 Jan 28th Carolina Kickoff 2024
86 Cedarville Loss 7-13 997.99 Feb 17th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 1 2024
84 Elon Loss 7-13 1018.91 Feb 17th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 1 2024
254 Michigan-B Win 10-9 1053.81 Feb 17th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 1 2024
241 Wake Forest Loss 8-11 621.38 Feb 18th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 1 2024
336 Virginia-B Win 11-10 694.94 Feb 18th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 1 2024
212 West Virginia Win 12-11 1204.5 Feb 18th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 1 2024
346 Coastal Carolina Win 13-5 1131.02 Mar 23rd Needle in a Ho Stack 2024
114 Davidson Loss 8-9 1312.27 Mar 23rd Needle in a Ho Stack 2024
196 Charleston Loss 6-11 586.84 Mar 24th Needle in a Ho Stack 2024
215 East Carolina Loss 6-11 518.89 Mar 24th Needle in a Ho Stack 2024
246 Georgia Southern Win 9-8 1095.37 Mar 24th Needle in a Ho Stack 2024
98 Georgia State Loss 6-11 974.13 Mar 24th Needle in a Ho Stack 2024
342 James Madison-B Win 14-7 1137.75 Apr 20th Southern Atlantic Coast Dev Mens Conferences 2024
336 Virginia-B Win 14-6 1169.94 Apr 20th Southern Atlantic Coast Dev Mens Conferences 2024
394 William & Mary-B Win 13-6 753.15 Apr 20th Southern Atlantic Coast Dev Mens Conferences 2024
262 Virginia Tech-B Loss 9-10 774.28 Apr 20th Southern Atlantic Coast Dev Mens Conferences 2024
251 North Carolina State-B Win 14-13 1067.94 Apr 21st Southern Atlantic Coast Dev Mens Conferences 2024
262 Virginia Tech-B Win 15-11 1280.44 Apr 21st Southern Atlantic Coast Dev Mens Conferences 2024
251 North Carolina State-B Win 15-9 1458.42 May 4th Atlantic Coast Dev College Mens Regionals 2024
325 South Carolina-B Win 15-6 1220.93 May 4th Atlantic Coast Dev College Mens Regionals 2024
251 North Carolina State-B Win 15-6 1542.94 May 5th Atlantic Coast Dev College Mens Regionals 2024
325 South Carolina-B Win 15-6 1220.93 May 5th Atlantic Coast Dev College Mens Regionals 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)