#212 West Virginia (14-18)

avg: 1079.5  •  sd: 59.63  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
182 Dayton Loss 5-10 616.5 Feb 3rd Huckin in the Hills X
68 Franciscan Loss 5-13 1060.48 Feb 3rd Huckin in the Hills X
292 Kent State Win 13-5 1347.63 Feb 3rd Huckin in the Hills X
194 Ohio Win 8-7 1267.62 Feb 3rd Huckin in the Hills X
182 Dayton Loss 4-15 590.4 Feb 4th Huckin in the Hills X
292 Kent State Win 15-8 1312.43 Feb 4th Huckin in the Hills X
126 Towson Loss 9-12 1043.72 Feb 4th Huckin in the Hills X
127 Pittsburgh-B Loss 6-13 788.73 Feb 17th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 1 2024
336 Virginia-B Win 13-0 1169.94 Feb 17th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 1 2024
64 Maryland Loss 4-13 1077.89 Feb 17th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 1 2024
254 Michigan-B Win 9-4 1528.81 Feb 18th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 1 2024
251 North Carolina State-B Loss 5-9 413.88 Feb 18th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 1 2024
214 North Carolina-B Loss 11-12 948.8 Feb 18th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 1 2024
170 Villanova Win 9-8 1376.96 Mar 23rd Garden State 2024
150 West Chester Loss 7-8 1189.53 Mar 23rd Garden State 2024
175 Delaware Win 7-6 1346.88 Mar 24th Garden State 2024
319 Edinboro Win 10-4 1254.16 Mar 24th Garden State 2024
234 Haverford Loss 6-13 399.52 Mar 24th Garden State 2024
198 Messiah Win 11-8 1494.6 Mar 24th Garden State 2024
198 Messiah Win 9-7 1408.33 Mar 24th Garden State 2024
77 Carnegie Mellon Loss 7-12 1086.96 Apr 20th West Penn D I Mens Conferences 2024
319 Edinboro Win 10-4 1254.16 Apr 20th West Penn D I Mens Conferences 2024
6 Pittsburgh** Loss 5-13 1732.82 Ignored Apr 20th West Penn D I Mens Conferences 2024
417 Slippery Rock** Win 13-1 600 Ignored Apr 20th West Penn D I Mens Conferences 2024
77 Carnegie Mellon Loss 10-15 1153.86 Apr 21st West Penn D I Mens Conferences 2024
319 Edinboro Win 15-3 1254.16 Apr 21st West Penn D I Mens Conferences 2024
16 Penn State** Loss 3-13 1548.22 Ignored Apr 21st West Penn D I Mens Conferences 2024
79 Case Western Reserve Loss 4-15 995.69 May 4th Ohio Valley D I College Mens Regionals 2024
292 Kent State Win 15-6 1347.63 May 4th Ohio Valley D I College Mens Regionals 2024
35 Ohio State** Loss 6-15 1303.25 Ignored May 4th Ohio Valley D I College Mens Regionals 2024
194 Ohio Loss 10-14 743.92 May 5th Ohio Valley D I College Mens Regionals 2024
170 Villanova Loss 6-11 705.27 May 5th Ohio Valley D I College Mens Regionals 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)