#101 Colorado Mines (21-6)

avg: 1512.08  •  sd: 78.11  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
350 Arizona State-B** Win 13-2 1111.42 Ignored Jan 27th New Year Fest 40
247 Northern Arizona Win 13-6 1565.2 Jan 27th New Year Fest 40
381 Denver-B** Win 13-4 887.78 Ignored Jan 27th New Year Fest 40
58 Utah Valley Win 12-10 1975.66 Jan 27th New Year Fest 40
156 Denver Win 11-8 1661.82 Jan 28th New Year Fest 40
58 Utah Valley Loss 9-13 1318.98 Jan 28th New Year Fest 40
180 Brigham Young-B Win 10-8 1457.61 Mar 2nd Snow Melt 2024
149 Montana State Win 13-8 1811.25 Mar 2nd Snow Melt 2024
100 Colorado-B Win 11-9 1762.63 Mar 2nd Snow Melt 2024
137 Kansas Win 14-10 1764.05 Mar 3rd Snow Melt 2024
58 Utah Valley Win 15-13 1951.72 Mar 3rd Snow Melt 2024
100 Colorado-B Win 14-12 1734.38 Mar 3rd Snow Melt 2024
373 Northwestern-B** Win 13-1 932.42 Ignored Mar 30th Old Capitol Open 2024
414 Wisconsin-Milwaukee-B** Win 13-0 135.23 Ignored Mar 30th Old Capitol Open 2024
122 Minnesota-B Win 11-8 1766.24 Mar 30th Old Capitol Open 2024
263 Illinois State Win 13-6 1498.19 Mar 30th Old Capitol Open 2024
134 Macalester Loss 7-8 1247.12 Mar 31st Old Capitol Open 2024
110 Davenport Loss 7-10 1077.9 Mar 31st Old Capitol Open 2024
185 Minnesota-Duluth Win 13-5 1777.59 Mar 31st Old Capitol Open 2024
274 Air Force** Win 15-4 1450.51 Ignored Apr 13th Rocky Mountain D III Mens Conferences 2024
119 Colorado College Win 15-14 1533.16 Apr 13th Rocky Mountain D III Mens Conferences 2024
165 John Brown Win 10-7 1658.2 Apr 27th South Central D III College Mens Regionals 2024
231 Harding Win 8-4 1580.12 Apr 27th South Central D III College Mens Regionals 2024
143 Truman State Loss 9-10 1212.06 Apr 27th South Central D III College Mens Regionals 2024
119 Colorado College Loss 11-15 1026.99 Apr 28th South Central D III College Mens Regionals 2024
153 Missouri S&T Loss 13-15 1090.97 Apr 28th South Central D III College Mens Regionals 2024
165 John Brown Win 12-10 1506.65 Apr 28th South Central D III College Mens Regionals 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)