#10 Texas (22-7)

avg: 2246.19  •  sd: 54.82  •  top 16/20: 99.8%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
69 Central Florida** Win 13-3 2238.53 Ignored Feb 2nd Florida Warm Up 2024
74 Cincinnati Win 11-9 1863.21 Feb 2nd Florida Warm Up 2024
4 Massachusetts Loss 12-13 2329.1 Feb 2nd Florida Warm Up 2024
3 Georgia Loss 9-15 1941.42 Feb 3rd Florida Warm Up 2024
36 Wisconsin Win 12-3 2493.9 Feb 3rd Florida Warm Up 2024
23 Tufts Win 13-8 2520.22 Feb 3rd Florida Warm Up 2024
13 Alabama-Huntsville Win 10-8 2459.88 Feb 4th Florida Warm Up 2024
8 Brown Loss 10-13 1948.24 Mar 2nd Smoky Mountain Invite 2024
15 California Loss 12-13 2032.46 Mar 2nd Smoky Mountain Invite 2024
90 Tennessee Win 13-6 2143.84 Mar 2nd Smoky Mountain Invite 2024
9 Vermont Loss 11-15 1866.72 Mar 2nd Smoky Mountain Invite 2024
11 Minnesota Loss 14-15 2114.55 Mar 3rd Smoky Mountain Invite 2024
24 UCLA Win 15-10 2474.3 Mar 3rd Smoky Mountain Invite 2024
23 Tufts Win 15-11 2405.22 Mar 3rd Smoky Mountain Invite 2024
17 Brigham Young Win 13-12 2245.63 Mar 15th College Mens Centex Tier 1
75 Dartmouth Win 13-7 2170.02 Mar 16th College Mens Centex Tier 1
107 Iowa State** Win 13-3 2076.13 Ignored Mar 16th College Mens Centex Tier 1
25 Middlebury Win 8-7 2129.07 Mar 16th College Mens Centex Tier 1
38 Texas A&M Win 11-9 2134.67 Mar 17th College Mens Centex Tier 1
286 Sam Houston** Win 13-1 1389.48 Ignored Apr 13th South Texas D I Mens Conferences 2024
197 Texas State** Win 13-3 1729.97 Ignored Apr 13th South Texas D I Mens Conferences 2024
207 Texas-B** Win 13-1 1688.69 Ignored Apr 13th South Texas D I Mens Conferences 2024
38 Texas A&M Win 15-2 2485.46 Apr 14th South Texas D I Mens Conferences 2024
53 Colorado State Win 15-6 2356.05 Apr 27th South Central D I College Mens Regionals 2024
100 Colorado-B** Win 15-5 2113.43 Ignored Apr 27th South Central D I College Mens Regionals 2024
109 Tarleton State** Win 15-5 2067.61 Ignored Apr 27th South Central D I College Mens Regionals 2024
38 Texas A&M Win 15-6 2485.46 Apr 27th South Central D I College Mens Regionals 2024
1 Colorado Loss 9-15 1984.25 Apr 28th South Central D I College Mens Regionals 2024
20 Washington University Win 14-9 2560.03 Apr 28th South Central D I College Mens Regionals 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)