#36 Wisconsin (18-13)

avg: 1893.9  •  sd: 53.17  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
13 Alabama-Huntsville Loss 8-13 1701.06 Feb 2nd Florida Warm Up 2024
17 Brigham Young Loss 10-13 1792.49 Feb 2nd Florida Warm Up 2024
89 Florida State Win 12-11 1676.28 Feb 2nd Florida Warm Up 2024
4 Massachusetts Loss 5-13 1854.1 Feb 3rd Florida Warm Up 2024
10 Texas Loss 3-12 1646.19 Feb 3rd Florida Warm Up 2024
74 Cincinnati Win 14-11 1927.34 Feb 4th Florida Warm Up 2024
38 Texas A&M Win 15-11 2266.62 Feb 4th Florida Warm Up 2024
34 California-San Diego Win 12-11 2028.45 Mar 2nd Stanford Invite 2024
39 Illinois Win 11-6 2432.07 Mar 2nd Stanford Invite 2024
33 California-Santa Cruz Win 11-10 2032.18 Mar 3rd Stanford Invite 2024
7 Oregon Loss 6-13 1730.08 Mar 3rd Stanford Invite 2024
67 Stanford Win 13-6 2271.57 Mar 3rd Stanford Invite 2024
3 Georgia Loss 11-13 2228.06 Mar 30th Easterns 2024
27 North Carolina-Wilmington Loss 8-12 1554.13 Mar 30th Easterns 2024
6 Pittsburgh Loss 8-12 1891.66 Mar 30th Easterns 2024
23 Tufts Loss 12-13 1899.06 Mar 30th Easterns 2024
31 North Carolina-Charlotte Loss 11-15 1539.73 Mar 31st Easterns 2024
18 Northeastern Loss 8-15 1543.24 Mar 31st Easterns 2024
35 Ohio State Win 14-11 2216.58 Mar 31st Easterns 2024
302 Northern Michigan** Win 13-1 1313.42 Ignored Apr 13th Lake Superior D I Mens Conferences 2024
216 Wisconsin-Whitewater Win 13-6 1660.88 Apr 13th Lake Superior D I Mens Conferences 2024
105 Wisconsin-Milwaukee Win 13-11 1713.71 Apr 13th Lake Superior D I Mens Conferences 2024
337 Wisconsin-Stevens Point** Win 15-3 1165.68 Ignored Apr 13th Lake Superior D I Mens Conferences 2024
216 Wisconsin-Whitewater** Win 15-1 1660.88 Ignored Apr 14th Lake Superior D I Mens Conferences 2024
94 Wisconsin-Eau Claire Win 15-10 1988.31 Apr 14th Lake Superior D I Mens Conferences 2024
11 Minnesota Loss 12-15 1939.05 Apr 27th North Central D I College Mens Regionals 2024
257 Wisconsin-B Win 15-8 1482.66 Apr 27th North Central D I College Mens Regionals 2024
105 Wisconsin-Milwaukee Win 15-7 2084.87 Apr 27th North Central D I College Mens Regionals 2024
12 Carleton College Loss 10-15 1771.01 Apr 28th North Central D I College Mens Regionals 2024
63 Iowa Win 15-10 2140.29 Apr 28th North Central D I College Mens Regionals 2024
94 Wisconsin-Eau Claire Win 15-8 2099.52 Apr 28th North Central D I College Mens Regionals 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)