#49 Ohio (17-11)

avg: 1606.71  •  sd: 82.46  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
27 Brown Win 11-7 2336.04 Feb 24th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2 2024
89 Virginia Tech Win 12-10 1545.04 Feb 24th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2 2024
59 Purdue Win 11-9 1765.63 Feb 24th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2 2024
41 South Carolina Win 8-3 2298.94 Feb 25th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2 2024
112 Carnegie Mellon Win 10-5 1707.93 Feb 25th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2 2024
51 Virginia Loss 7-8 1452.69 Feb 25th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2 2024
22 Pittsburgh Loss 6-7 1809.21 Feb 25th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2 2024
80 Cincinnati Loss 5-9 825.45 Mar 2nd Huckleberry Flick
243 Dayton** Win 12-4 405.14 Ignored Mar 2nd Huckleberry Flick
140 Indiana Win 9-8 1053.81 Mar 2nd Huckleberry Flick
80 Cincinnati Win 10-4 1954.51 Mar 3rd Huckleberry Flick
140 Indiana** Win 11-2 1528.81 Ignored Mar 3rd Huckleberry Flick
203 Oberlin** Win 12-3 1026.88 Ignored Mar 3rd Huckleberry Flick
112 Carnegie Mellon Win 13-6 1734.03 Mar 30th East Coast Invite 2024
58 Cornell Win 8-5 1979.89 Mar 30th East Coast Invite 2024
2 Vermont** Loss 4-15 2077.17 Ignored Mar 30th East Coast Invite 2024
21 Northeastern Loss 5-13 1359.88 Mar 30th East Coast Invite 2024
8 Tufts Loss 6-11 1809.01 Mar 31st East Coast Invite 2024
26 Wisconsin Loss 8-10 1614.51 Mar 31st East Coast Invite 2024
158 Case Western Reserve Win 6-3 1381.2 Apr 20th Ohio D I Womens Conferences 2024
80 Cincinnati Win 8-4 1919.32 Apr 20th Ohio D I Womens Conferences 2024
24 Ohio State Win 6-5 2018.87 Apr 20th Ohio D I Womens Conferences 2024
158 Case Western Reserve** Win 11-3 1434.5 Ignored Apr 27th Ohio Valley D I College Womens Regionals 2024
16 Pennsylvania Loss 2-11 1499.13 Apr 27th Ohio Valley D I College Womens Regionals 2024
108 West Chester Win 9-4 1779.47 Apr 27th Ohio Valley D I College Womens Regionals 2024
64 Penn State Loss 9-10 1351.98 Apr 27th Ohio Valley D I College Womens Regionals 2024
24 Ohio State Loss 7-11 1426.98 Apr 28th Ohio Valley D I College Womens Regionals 2024
121 Temple Loss 8-9 953.5 Apr 28th Ohio Valley D I College Womens Regionals 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)