#41 South Carolina (16-10)

avg: 1698.94  •  sd: 73.85  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
51 Virginia Win 13-4 2177.69 Feb 10th Queen City Tune Up 2024
2 Vermont** Loss 3-15 2077.17 Ignored Feb 10th Queen City Tune Up 2024
26 Wisconsin Win 13-10 2205.32 Feb 10th Queen City Tune Up 2024
36 William & Mary Win 13-4 2359.89 Feb 10th Queen City Tune Up 2024
23 Notre Dame Loss 11-14 1618.19 Feb 11th Queen City Tune Up 2024
40 Minnesota Loss 5-9 1184.74 Feb 11th Queen City Tune Up 2024
78 Harvard Win 15-6 1964.9 Feb 24th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2 2024
98 Maryland Win 11-7 1701.59 Feb 24th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2 2024
64 Penn State Win 13-7 2034.51 Feb 24th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2 2024
12 Michigan Loss 6-13 1599.69 Feb 25th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2 2024
99 Chicago Win 7-6 1344.77 Feb 25th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2 2024
49 Ohio Loss 3-8 1006.71 Feb 25th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2 2024
44 Yale Loss 3-5 1227.92 Feb 25th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2 2024
6 North Carolina** Loss 6-14 1899.4 Ignored Apr 13th Carolina D I Womens Conferences 2024
225 North Carolina-Wilmington** Win 15-2 817.16 Ignored Apr 13th Carolina D I Womens Conferences 2024
120 Charleston** Win 13-2 1682.15 Ignored Apr 13th Carolina D I Womens Conferences 2024
123 East Carolina** Win 10-4 1673.86 Ignored Apr 13th Carolina D I Womens Conferences 2024
62 Duke Loss 8-11 1118.45 Apr 14th Carolina D I Womens Conferences 2024
104 Appalachian State Win 11-4 1796.7 Apr 14th Carolina D I Womens Conferences 2024
62 Duke Win 9-6 1902.62 Apr 14th Carolina D I Womens Conferences 2024
56 North Carolina State Win 10-9 1668.77 May 4th Atlantic Coast D I College Womens Regionals 2024
138 Liberty** Win 15-1 1546.76 Ignored May 4th Atlantic Coast D I College Womens Regionals 2024
89 Virginia Tech Win 15-1 1906.92 May 4th Atlantic Coast D I College Womens Regionals 2024
65 James Madison Win 11-8 1828.1 May 5th Atlantic Coast D I College Womens Regionals 2024
38 American Loss 13-15 1509.5 May 5th Atlantic Coast D I College Womens Regionals 2024
36 William & Mary Loss 11-12 1634.89 May 5th Atlantic Coast D I College Womens Regionals 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)