#16 Pennsylvania (22-9)

avg: 2099.13  •  sd: 51.63  •  top 16/20: 98.1%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
19 Georgia Win 14-10 2426.88 Feb 10th Queen City Tune Up 2024
12 Michigan Loss 11-15 1818.52 Feb 10th Queen City Tune Up 2024
6 North Carolina Loss 7-12 1978.88 Feb 10th Queen City Tune Up 2024
24 Ohio State Loss 10-11 1768.87 Feb 10th Queen City Tune Up 2024
61 Florida** Win 13-5 2093.44 Ignored Feb 11th Queen City Tune Up 2024
34 Washington University Loss 10-11 1659.16 Feb 11th Queen City Tune Up 2024
55 Georgia Tech Win 13-4 2148.96 Feb 24th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2 2024
57 Connecticut Win 12-5 2129.14 Feb 24th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2 2024
65 James Madison Win 9-4 2062.49 Feb 24th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2 2024
90 MIT** Win 13-0 1906.4 Ignored Feb 24th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2 2024
8 Tufts Loss 8-9 2230.7 Feb 25th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2 2024
56 North Carolina State Win 10-7 1933.43 Feb 25th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2 2024
23 Notre Dame Loss 7-10 1541.86 Feb 25th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2 2024
24 Ohio State Win 10-8 2156.54 Feb 25th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2 2024
71 Columbia Win 13-6 2007.82 Mar 30th East Coast Invite 2024
29 UCLA Win 13-7 2410.71 Mar 30th East Coast Invite 2024
2 Vermont Loss 9-15 2161.69 Mar 30th East Coast Invite 2024
44 Yale Win 15-4 2246.48 Mar 30th East Coast Invite 2024
12 Michigan Loss 8-10 1937.02 Mar 31st East Coast Invite 2024
21 Northeastern Loss 8-10 1697.21 Mar 31st East Coast Invite 2024
112 Carnegie Mellon** Win 12-4 1734.03 Ignored Apr 13th Pennsylvania D I Womens Conferences 2024
108 West Chester** Win 12-5 1779.47 Ignored Apr 13th Pennsylvania D I Womens Conferences 2024
112 Carnegie Mellon** Win 14-6 1734.03 Ignored Apr 14th Pennsylvania D I Womens Conferences 2024
22 Pittsburgh Win 12-9 2279.58 Apr 14th Pennsylvania D I Womens Conferences 2024
158 Case Western Reserve** Win 13-3 1434.5 Ignored Apr 27th Ohio Valley D I College Womens Regionals 2024
49 Ohio Win 11-2 2206.71 Apr 27th Ohio Valley D I College Womens Regionals 2024
64 Penn State Win 10-5 2050.88 Apr 27th Ohio Valley D I College Womens Regionals 2024
108 West Chester** Win 9-3 1779.47 Ignored Apr 27th Ohio Valley D I College Womens Regionals 2024
24 Ohio State Win 12-5 2493.87 Apr 28th Ohio Valley D I College Womens Regionals 2024
121 Temple** Win 14-6 1678.5 Ignored Apr 28th Ohio Valley D I College Womens Regionals 2024
22 Pittsburgh Win 15-11 2315.38 Apr 28th Ohio Valley D I College Womens Regionals 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)