#44 Yale (17-8)

avg: 1646.48  •  sd: 56.68  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
99 Chicago Win 15-12 1520.26 Feb 24th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2 2024
24 Ohio State Loss 5-15 1293.87 Feb 24th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2 2024
22 Pittsburgh Loss 13-15 1720.03 Feb 24th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2 2024
41 South Carolina Win 5-3 2117.51 Feb 25th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2 2024
51 Virginia Loss 5-8 1124.08 Feb 25th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2 2024
126 Massachusetts Win 9-4 1642.94 Feb 25th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2 2024
39 SUNY-Binghamton Loss 9-10 1595.35 Feb 25th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 2 2024
29 UCLA Loss 7-12 1332.67 Mar 30th East Coast Invite 2024
64 Penn State Win 8-6 1777.47 Mar 30th East Coast Invite 2024
16 Pennsylvania Loss 4-15 1499.13 Mar 30th East Coast Invite 2024
26 Wisconsin Loss 2-15 1277.17 Mar 30th East Coast Invite 2024
64 Penn State Win 8-6 1777.47 Mar 31st East Coast Invite 2024
108 West Chester Win 11-5 1779.47 Mar 31st East Coast Invite 2024
71 Columbia Win 8-3 2007.82 Apr 13th Eastern Metro East D I Womens Conferences 2024
201 Columbia-B** Win 13-2 1042.28 Ignored Apr 13th Eastern Metro East D I Womens Conferences 2024
111 NYU Win 13-1 1741.12 Apr 13th Eastern Metro East D I Womens Conferences 2024
110 Rutgers Win 13-10 1493.26 Apr 14th Eastern Metro East D I Womens Conferences 2024
57 Connecticut Win 13-9 1947.71 Apr 14th Eastern Metro East D I Womens Conferences 2024
57 Connecticut Win 10-4 2129.14 Apr 27th Metro East D I College Womens Regionals 2024
58 Cornell Win 11-9 1775.49 Apr 27th Metro East D I College Womens Regionals 2024
111 NYU Win 11-9 1390.33 Apr 27th Metro East D I College Womens Regionals 2024
150 RIT** Win 13-4 1468.05 Ignored Apr 27th Metro East D I College Womens Regionals 2024
110 Rutgers Win 15-7 1765.12 Apr 28th Metro East D I College Womens Regionals 2024
71 Columbia Win 12-9 1753.19 Apr 28th Metro East D I College Womens Regionals 2024
39 SUNY-Binghamton Loss 10-13 1392.21 Apr 28th Metro East D I College Womens Regionals 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)