#82 Mississippi State (22-15)

avg: 1582.9  •  sd: 69.45  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
48 Auburn Loss 8-13 1286.13 Feb 10th Golden Triangle Invitational
88 Berry Win 11-6 2098.38 Feb 10th Golden Triangle Invitational
277 Jacksonville State** Win 11-3 1442.53 Ignored Feb 10th Golden Triangle Invitational
62 Purdue Loss 9-11 1440.54 Feb 10th Golden Triangle Invitational
116 LSU Win 12-11 1556.09 Feb 10th Golden Triangle Invitational
231 Harding Win 8-0 1615.31 Feb 11th Golden Triangle Invitational
133 Arizona State Loss 9-10 1250.09 Feb 24th Mardi Gras XXXVI college
203 Spring Hill Loss 8-11 747.68 Feb 24th Mardi Gras XXXVI college
370 LSU-B** Win 13-0 958.46 Ignored Feb 24th Mardi Gras XXXVI college
99 Tennessee-Chattanooga Loss 4-13 918.93 Feb 24th Mardi Gras XXXVI college
410 Tulane-B** Win 13-3 379.14 Ignored Feb 25th Mardi Gras XXXVI college
281 Trinity** Win 13-3 1427.06 Ignored Feb 25th Mardi Gras XXXVI college
167 Texas-San Antonio Win 11-9 1510.32 Feb 25th Mardi Gras XXXVI college
195 Alabama-Birmingham Win 13-7 1699.79 Mar 16th Tally Classic XVIII
48 Auburn Loss 8-11 1416.68 Mar 16th Tally Classic XVIII
146 Clemson Win 13-6 1918.35 Mar 16th Tally Classic XVIII
372 North Florida** Win 13-3 955.74 Ignored Mar 16th Tally Classic XVIII
89 Florida State Win 10-8 1813.95 Mar 17th Tally Classic XVIII
89 Florida State Loss 6-15 951.28 Mar 17th Tally Classic XVIII
96 Notre Dame Loss 13-15 1316.81 Mar 17th Tally Classic XVIII
83 Indiana Win 8-6 1881.81 Mar 30th Huck Finn 2024
107 Iowa State Win 10-9 1601.13 Mar 30th Huck Finn 2024
233 Oklahoma Win 10-1 1605.7 Mar 30th Huck Finn 2024
67 Stanford Loss 9-10 1546.57 Mar 30th Huck Finn 2024
129 Michigan Tech Win 12-11 1507.05 Mar 31st Huck Finn 2024
62 Purdue Loss 9-10 1564.75 Mar 31st Huck Finn 2024
105 Wisconsin-Milwaukee Win 8-6 1785.37 Mar 31st Huck Finn 2024
195 Alabama-Birmingham Win 13-8 1638.42 Apr 13th Gulf Coast D I Mens Conferences 2024
48 Auburn Loss 10-11 1657.29 Apr 13th Gulf Coast D I Mens Conferences 2024
277 Jacksonville State Win 13-6 1442.53 Apr 13th Gulf Coast D I Mens Conferences 2024
43 Tulane Win 11-9 2087.62 Apr 13th Gulf Coast D I Mens Conferences 2024
47 Alabama Loss 13-15 1570.63 Apr 14th Gulf Coast D I Mens Conferences 2024
43 Tulane Loss 13-15 1624.24 Apr 14th Gulf Coast D I Mens Conferences 2024
69 Central Florida Win 14-12 1859.49 Apr 27th Southeast D I College Mens Regionals 2024
54 Emory Loss 10-13 1427.18 Apr 27th Southeast D I College Mens Regionals 2024
3 Georgia** Loss 5-15 1856.9 Ignored Apr 27th Southeast D I College Mens Regionals 2024
90 Tennessee Win 15-8 2108.65 Apr 27th Southeast D I College Mens Regionals 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)