#54 Emory (19-15)

avg: 1755.32  •  sd: 43.71  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
44 Virginia Tech Win 12-10 2052.53 Feb 2nd Florida Warm Up 2024
20 Washington University Loss 5-13 1486.16 Feb 2nd Florida Warm Up 2024
4 Massachusetts Loss 6-13 1854.1 Feb 2nd Florida Warm Up 2024
183 South Florida Win 13-5 1786.53 Feb 3rd Florida Warm Up 2024
37 Michigan Win 12-11 2010.75 Feb 3rd Florida Warm Up 2024
6 Pittsburgh Loss 10-15 1879.21 Feb 3rd Florida Warm Up 2024
23 Tufts Loss 4-15 1424.06 Feb 4th Florida Warm Up 2024
74 Cincinnati Win 13-10 1942.14 Feb 24th Easterns Qualifier 2024
162 Rutgers Win 11-6 1829.24 Feb 24th Easterns Qualifier 2024
27 North Carolina-Wilmington Loss 9-12 1649.92 Feb 24th Easterns Qualifier 2024
70 James Madison Win 10-9 1758.19 Feb 24th Easterns Qualifier 2024
48 Auburn Loss 10-11 1657.29 Feb 25th Easterns Qualifier 2024
28 Georgia Tech Loss 7-15 1388.02 Feb 25th Easterns Qualifier 2024
44 Virginia Tech Win 10-9 1939.41 Feb 25th Easterns Qualifier 2024
56 Temple Loss 8-13 1247.51 Feb 25th Easterns Qualifier 2024
77 Carnegie Mellon Win 15-12 1907.96 Mar 30th Atlantic Coast Open 2024
64 Maryland Loss 11-14 1364.55 Mar 30th Atlantic Coast Open 2024
91 SUNY-Buffalo Win 12-11 1668.75 Mar 30th Atlantic Coast Open 2024
97 Lehigh Win 14-10 1925.04 Mar 30th Atlantic Coast Open 2024
59 William & Mary Loss 14-15 1602.3 Mar 31st Atlantic Coast Open 2024
64 Maryland Win 15-12 1978.38 Mar 31st Atlantic Coast Open 2024
246 Georgia Southern** Win 15-4 1570.37 Ignored Apr 13th Southern Appalachian D I Mens Conferences 2024
99 Tennessee-Chattanooga Win 14-10 1917.64 Apr 13th Southern Appalachian D I Mens Conferences 2024
28 Georgia Tech Loss 13-14 1863.02 Apr 13th Southern Appalachian D I Mens Conferences 2024
98 Georgia State Win 12-10 1758.94 Apr 13th Southern Appalachian D I Mens Conferences 2024
3 Georgia Loss 8-15 1892.09 Apr 14th Southern Appalachian D I Mens Conferences 2024
90 Tennessee Loss 11-13 1315 Apr 14th Southern Appalachian D I Mens Conferences 2024
98 Georgia State Win 13-9 1939.39 Apr 14th Southern Appalachian D I Mens Conferences 2024
47 Alabama Loss 9-14 1310.94 Apr 27th Southeast D I College Mens Regionals 2024
89 Florida State Win 13-10 1879.42 Apr 27th Southeast D I College Mens Regionals 2024
46 Florida Win 15-12 2086.37 Apr 27th Southeast D I College Mens Regionals 2024
82 Mississippi State Win 13-10 1911.05 Apr 27th Southeast D I College Mens Regionals 2024
47 Alabama Win 12-8 2225.96 Apr 28th Southeast D I College Mens Regionals 2024
43 Tulane Loss 9-15 1322.93 Apr 28th Southeast D I College Mens Regionals 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)