#6 Pittsburgh (24-6)

avg: 2332.82  •  sd: 89.76  •  top 16/20: 99.9%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
28 Georgia Tech Win 13-10 2316.16 Feb 2nd Florida Warm Up 2024
11 Minnesota Loss 9-13 1820.98 Feb 2nd Florida Warm Up 2024
20 Washington University Win 13-12 2211.16 Feb 2nd Florida Warm Up 2024
54 Emory Win 15-10 2208.93 Feb 3rd Florida Warm Up 2024
9 Vermont Win 13-11 2476.73 Feb 3rd Florida Warm Up 2024
44 Virginia Tech Win 12-7 2334.92 Feb 3rd Florida Warm Up 2024
1 Colorado Win 13-12 2624.73 Mar 2nd Smoky Mountain Invite 2024
4 Massachusetts Loss 10-13 2125.96 Mar 2nd Smoky Mountain Invite 2024
11 Minnesota Win 15-12 2540.04 Mar 2nd Smoky Mountain Invite 2024
24 UCLA Win 13-12 2145.7 Mar 2nd Smoky Mountain Invite 2024
8 Brown Win 15-12 2576.88 Mar 3rd Smoky Mountain Invite 2024
3 Georgia Loss 14-15 2331.9 Mar 3rd Smoky Mountain Invite 2024
2 North Carolina Loss 9-13 2067.76 Mar 3rd Smoky Mountain Invite 2024
3 Georgia Loss 10-13 2128.76 Mar 30th Easterns 2024
27 North Carolina-Wilmington Win 12-6 2574.59 Mar 30th Easterns 2024
23 Tufts Win 12-10 2262.18 Mar 30th Easterns 2024
36 Wisconsin Win 12-8 2335.06 Mar 30th Easterns 2024
5 Cal Poly-SLO Win 13-12 2521.85 Mar 31st Easterns 2024
4 Massachusetts Loss 8-15 1889.29 Mar 31st Easterns 2024
2 North Carolina Win 15-12 2786.82 Mar 31st Easterns 2024
77 Carnegie Mellon Win 13-8 2103.63 Apr 20th West Penn D I Mens Conferences 2024
16 Penn State Win 12-7 2668.73 Apr 20th West Penn D I Mens Conferences 2024
212 West Virginia** Win 13-5 1679.5 Ignored Apr 20th West Penn D I Mens Conferences 2024
417 Slippery Rock** Win 13-1 600 Ignored Apr 20th West Penn D I Mens Conferences 2024
319 Edinboro** Win 13-5 1254.16 Ignored Apr 21st West Penn D I Mens Conferences 2024
16 Penn State Win 15-12 2448.72 Apr 21st West Penn D I Mens Conferences 2024
292 Kent State** Win 15-4 1347.63 Ignored May 4th Ohio Valley D I College Mens Regionals 2024
97 Lehigh Win 15-10 1979.94 May 4th Ohio Valley D I College Mens Regionals 2024
56 Temple Win 15-10 2197.27 May 4th Ohio Valley D I College Mens Regionals 2024
16 Penn State Win 15-5 2748.22 May 5th Ohio Valley D I College Mens Regionals 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)