#94 Wisconsin-Eau Claire (20-9)

avg: 1534.71  •  sd: 53.07  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
78 Carleton College-CHOP Loss 10-11 1479.23 Feb 10th Ugly Dome 2024
122 Minnesota-B Loss 5-13 800.63 Feb 10th Ugly Dome 2024
299 Minnesota-C** Win 13-2 1318.6 Ignored Feb 10th Ugly Dome 2024
45 St Olaf Loss 10-13 1483.2 Feb 10th Ugly Dome 2024
134 Macalester Win 13-4 1972.12 Feb 10th Ugly Dome 2024
353 Carleton College-Karls-C** Win 9-1 1094.35 Ignored Mar 2nd Midwest Throwdown 2024
193 Grinnell Win 12-5 1754.63 Mar 2nd Midwest Throwdown 2024
107 Iowa State Win 11-9 1725.34 Mar 2nd Midwest Throwdown 2024
320 Washington University-B** Win 13-2 1251.34 Ignored Mar 2nd Midwest Throwdown 2024
106 Northwestern Win 9-6 1901.47 Mar 3rd Midwest Throwdown 2024
45 St Olaf Loss 5-9 1282.28 Mar 3rd Midwest Throwdown 2024
134 Macalester Win 9-6 1790.68 Mar 3rd Midwest Throwdown 2024
78 Carleton College-CHOP Loss 8-13 1108.07 Mar 16th Southerns 2024
261 Georgia Tech-B Win 13-6 1504.28 Mar 16th Southerns 2024
304 Luther College** Win 13-0 1294.97 Ignored Mar 16th Southerns 2024
78 Carleton College-CHOP Loss 11-13 1375.39 Mar 17th Southerns 2024
196 Charleston Win 15-2 1733.53 Mar 17th Southerns 2024
265 Georgia College Win 15-8 1454.41 Mar 17th Southerns 2024
302 Northern Michigan** Win 15-4 1313.42 Ignored Apr 13th Lake Superior D I Mens Conferences 2024
140 Marquette Win 12-7 1864.01 Apr 13th Lake Superior D I Mens Conferences 2024
337 Wisconsin-Stevens Point** Win 13-3 1165.68 Ignored Apr 13th Lake Superior D I Mens Conferences 2024
184 Wisconsin-La Crosse Win 13-6 1786.43 Apr 13th Lake Superior D I Mens Conferences 2024
36 Wisconsin Loss 10-15 1440.3 Apr 14th Lake Superior D I Mens Conferences 2024
105 Wisconsin-Milwaukee Win 14-12 1705.83 Apr 14th Lake Superior D I Mens Conferences 2024
63 Iowa Loss 5-15 1086.69 Apr 27th North Central D I College Mens Regionals 2024
200 Northern Iowa Win 15-10 1574.92 Apr 27th North Central D I College Mens Regionals 2024
184 Wisconsin-La Crosse Win 15-10 1640.03 Apr 27th North Central D I College Mens Regionals 2024
140 Marquette Win 15-13 1557.67 Apr 28th North Central D I College Mens Regionals 2024
36 Wisconsin Loss 8-15 1329.09 Apr 28th North Central D I College Mens Regionals 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)