#45 St Olaf (31-3)

avg: 1811.34  •  sd: 66.67  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
78 Carleton College-CHOP Loss 10-13 1276.09 Feb 10th Ugly Dome 2024
122 Minnesota-B Win 12-10 1638.75 Feb 10th Ugly Dome 2024
299 Minnesota-C** Win 13-3 1318.6 Ignored Feb 10th Ugly Dome 2024
94 Wisconsin-Eau Claire Win 13-10 1862.85 Feb 10th Ugly Dome 2024
134 Macalester Win 10-9 1497.12 Feb 10th Ugly Dome 2024
63 Iowa Win 12-8 2127.85 Mar 2nd Midwest Throwdown 2024
185 Minnesota-Duluth** Win 13-3 1777.59 Ignored Mar 2nd Midwest Throwdown 2024
373 Northwestern-B** Win 13-4 932.42 Ignored Mar 2nd Midwest Throwdown 2024
78 Carleton College-CHOP Win 11-6 2150.92 Mar 3rd Midwest Throwdown 2024
51 Missouri Win 9-8 1889.88 Mar 3rd Midwest Throwdown 2024
94 Wisconsin-Eau Claire Win 9-5 2063.77 Mar 3rd Midwest Throwdown 2024
165 John Brown Win 12-9 1613.9 Mar 23rd Free State Classic
137 Kansas Win 11-10 1490.35 Mar 23rd Free State Classic
161 Saint Louis Win 11-8 1649.08 Mar 23rd Free State Classic
143 Truman State Win 9-7 1616.4 Mar 23rd Free State Classic
137 Kansas Win 15-8 1930.16 Mar 24th Free State Classic
153 Missouri S&T Win 14-12 1526.11 Mar 24th Free State Classic
184 Wisconsin-La Crosse** Win 15-4 1786.43 Ignored Mar 24th Free State Classic
47 Alabama Win 13-9 2203.37 Mar 30th Huck Finn 2024
62 Purdue Win 11-10 1814.75 Mar 30th Huck Finn 2024
57 Virginia Win 10-7 2128.49 Mar 30th Huck Finn 2024
20 Washington University Loss 9-12 1740.79 Mar 30th Huck Finn 2024
83 Indiana Win 12-7 2101.83 Mar 31st Huck Finn 2024
106 Northwestern Win 12-10 1721.03 Mar 31st Huck Finn 2024
20 Washington University Loss 7-13 1528.63 Mar 31st Huck Finn 2024
391 Bethel** Win 15-4 782.71 Ignored Apr 13th Northwoods D III Mens Conferences 2024
353 Carleton College-Karls-C** Win 15-1 1094.35 Ignored Apr 13th Northwoods D III Mens Conferences 2024
227 St John's (Minnesota) Win 14-8 1565.85 Apr 13th Northwoods D III Mens Conferences 2024
78 Carleton College-CHOP Win 15-8 2169.04 Apr 14th Northwoods D III Mens Conferences 2024
237 Carthage** Win 15-4 1589.65 Ignored Apr 27th North Central D III College Mens Regionals 2024
362 Concordia-Wisconsin** Win 15-5 1038.12 Ignored Apr 27th North Central D III College Mens Regionals 2024
270 Wisconsin-Platteville Win 15-7 1460.27 Apr 27th North Central D III College Mens Regionals 2024
78 Carleton College-CHOP Win 15-8 2169.04 Apr 28th North Central D III College Mens Regionals 2024
134 Macalester Win 15-7 1972.12 Apr 28th North Central D III College Mens Regionals 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)