#103 SUNY-Binghamton (14-17)

avg: 1491.64  •  sd: 48.05  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
79 Case Western Reserve Win 10-6 2091.85 Jan 27th Mid Atlantic Warm Up
102 Connecticut Win 11-9 1744.33 Jan 27th Mid Atlantic Warm Up
75 Dartmouth Loss 7-9 1333.15 Jan 27th Mid Atlantic Warm Up
204 Virginia Commonwealth Win 12-8 1549.13 Jan 27th Mid Atlantic Warm Up
141 Boston University Loss 8-11 976.7 Jan 28th Mid Atlantic Warm Up
77 Carnegie Mellon Loss 9-13 1188.9 Jan 28th Mid Atlantic Warm Up
164 Kennesaw State Win 12-6 1848.44 Feb 24th Easterns Qualifier 2024
42 South Carolina Loss 9-13 1428.2 Feb 24th Easterns Qualifier 2024
59 William & Mary Loss 6-13 1127.3 Feb 24th Easterns Qualifier 2024
56 Temple Loss 11-12 1618.67 Feb 24th Easterns Qualifier 2024
164 Kennesaw State Loss 6-7 1144.13 Feb 25th Easterns Qualifier 2024
35 Ohio State Loss 5-12 1303.25 Feb 25th Easterns Qualifier 2024
162 Rutgers Win 8-5 1736.15 Feb 25th Easterns Qualifier 2024
64 Maryland Loss 12-15 1377.4 Feb 25th Easterns Qualifier 2024
201 MIT Win 11-8 1482.32 Mar 23rd Carousel City Classic 2024
30 Ottawa Loss 10-12 1702.56 Mar 23rd Carousel City Classic 2024
55 Williams Loss 8-13 1253.41 Mar 23rd Carousel City Classic 2024
30 Ottawa Loss 8-12 1499.53 Mar 24th Carousel City Classic 2024
120 Syracuse Win 11-10 1528.26 Mar 24th Carousel City Classic 2024
30 Ottawa Loss 8-10 1678.02 Apr 20th Western NY D I Mens Conferences 2024
120 Syracuse Win 7-6 1528.26 Apr 20th Western NY D I Mens Conferences 2024
208 Carleton University Win 10-4 1687.53 Apr 21st Western NY D I Mens Conferences 2024
166 RIT Win 11-8 1633.43 Apr 21st Western NY D I Mens Conferences 2024
91 SUNY-Buffalo Loss 8-9 1418.75 Apr 21st Western NY D I Mens Conferences 2024
85 Cornell Loss 7-13 1017.48 Apr 27th Metro East D I College Mens Regionals 2024
283 Hofstra** Win 15-5 1409.27 Ignored Apr 27th Metro East D I College Mens Regionals 2024
191 NYU Win 15-3 1756.8 Apr 27th Metro East D I College Mens Regionals 2024
162 Rutgers Win 15-4 1882.55 Apr 27th Metro East D I College Mens Regionals 2024
93 Princeton Loss 13-15 1323.85 Apr 28th Metro East D I College Mens Regionals 2024
162 Rutgers Win 13-9 1701.11 Apr 28th Metro East D I College Mens Regionals 2024
131 Yale Loss 12-15 1078.88 Apr 28th Metro East D I College Mens Regionals 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)