#79 Case Western Reserve (20-12)

avg: 1595.69  •  sd: 56.13  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
102 Connecticut Win 10-9 1620.12 Jan 27th Mid Atlantic Warm Up
70 James Madison Win 12-10 1871.31 Jan 27th Mid Atlantic Warm Up
204 Virginia Commonwealth Win 12-5 1707.98 Jan 27th Mid Atlantic Warm Up
103 SUNY-Binghamton Loss 6-10 995.48 Jan 27th Mid Atlantic Warm Up
92 Pennsylvania Win 9-8 1664.36 Jan 27th Mid Atlantic Warm Up
141 Boston University Win 13-5 1942.31 Jan 28th Mid Atlantic Warm Up
65 Richmond Win 14-12 1895.95 Jan 28th Mid Atlantic Warm Up
152 Harvard Loss 10-14 912.54 Feb 10th Queen City Tune Up 2024
31 North Carolina-Charlotte Loss 10-13 1592.75 Feb 10th Queen City Tune Up 2024
59 William & Mary Loss 10-12 1489.18 Feb 10th Queen City Tune Up 2024
16 Penn State Loss 9-15 1632.74 Feb 10th Queen City Tune Up 2024
96 Notre Dame Win 15-12 1831.48 Feb 11th Queen City Tune Up 2024
87 Georgetown Win 11-6 2101.1 Feb 11th Queen City Tune Up 2024
202 George Mason Win 12-5 1716.33 Mar 30th East Coast Invite 2024
93 Princeton Loss 9-12 1192.67 Mar 30th East Coast Invite 2024
162 Rutgers Win 13-6 1882.55 Mar 30th East Coast Invite 2024
75 Dartmouth Win 13-12 1737.49 Mar 30th East Coast Invite 2024
120 Syracuse Win 12-8 1844.42 Mar 31st East Coast Invite 2024
131 Yale Win 11-9 1628.58 Mar 31st East Coast Invite 2024
92 Pennsylvania Win 13-7 2096.9 Mar 31st East Coast Invite 2024
26 McGill Loss 6-13 1397.12 Mar 31st East Coast Invite 2024
268 Akron** Win 13-1 1471.21 Ignored Apr 20th Ohio D I Mens Conferences 2024
292 Kent State Win 12-7 1268.14 Apr 20th Ohio D I Mens Conferences 2024
157 Miami (Ohio) Loss 12-13 1164.76 Apr 21st Ohio D I Mens Conferences 2024
35 Ohio State Loss 8-15 1338.44 Apr 21st Ohio D I Mens Conferences 2024
157 Miami (Ohio) Win 11-4 1889.76 Apr 21st Ohio D I Mens Conferences 2024
77 Carnegie Mellon Win 14-12 1828.42 May 4th Ohio Valley D I College Mens Regionals 2024
127 Pittsburgh-B Loss 14-15 1263.73 May 4th Ohio Valley D I College Mens Regionals 2024
212 West Virginia Win 15-4 1679.5 May 4th Ohio Valley D I College Mens Regionals 2024
74 Cincinnati Win 15-9 2129.48 May 4th Ohio Valley D I College Mens Regionals 2024
35 Ohio State Loss 9-15 1387.76 May 5th Ohio Valley D I College Mens Regionals 2024
92 Pennsylvania Loss 8-11 1173.76 May 5th Ohio Valley D I College Mens Regionals 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)