#64 Maryland (20-9)

avg: 1677.89  •  sd: 46.67  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
127 Pittsburgh-B Win 13-6 1988.73 Feb 17th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 1 2024
336 Virginia-B** Win 13-2 1169.94 Ignored Feb 17th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 1 2024
212 West Virginia Win 13-4 1679.5 Feb 17th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 1 2024
114 Davidson Win 10-7 1826.94 Feb 18th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 1 2024
84 Elon Win 8-7 1701.44 Feb 18th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 1 2024
198 Messiah Win 12-9 1474.36 Feb 18th Commonwealth Cup Weekend 1 2024
47 Alabama Loss 5-13 1184.81 Feb 24th Easterns Qualifier 2024
50 Duke Loss 7-12 1252 Feb 24th Easterns Qualifier 2024
62 Purdue Win 12-9 2035.12 Feb 24th Easterns Qualifier 2024
44 Virginia Tech Loss 9-10 1689.41 Feb 24th Easterns Qualifier 2024
16 Penn State Loss 8-13 1652.06 Feb 25th Easterns Qualifier 2024
62 Purdue Win 13-10 2017.89 Feb 25th Easterns Qualifier 2024
103 SUNY-Binghamton Win 15-12 1792.14 Feb 25th Easterns Qualifier 2024
97 Lehigh Win 15-10 1979.94 Feb 25th Easterns Qualifier 2024
77 Carnegie Mellon Win 15-13 1821.65 Mar 30th Atlantic Coast Open 2024
77 Carnegie Mellon Win 11-10 1732.47 Mar 30th Atlantic Coast Open 2024
54 Emory Win 14-11 2068.66 Mar 30th Atlantic Coast Open 2024
76 Massachusetts -B Win 14-12 1831.46 Mar 30th Atlantic Coast Open 2024
50 Duke Loss 13-15 1558.34 Mar 31st Atlantic Coast Open 2024
54 Emory Loss 12-15 1454.83 Mar 31st Atlantic Coast Open 2024
226 American Win 11-8 1398.73 Apr 20th Colonial D I Mens Conferences 2024
148 Johns Hopkins Win 12-8 1756.27 Apr 20th Colonial D I Mens Conferences 2024
147 Maryland-Baltimore County Win 12-11 1440.87 Apr 20th Colonial D I Mens Conferences 2024
87 Georgetown Win 14-10 1953.11 Apr 21st Colonial D I Mens Conferences 2024
147 Maryland-Baltimore County Win 12-8 1757.02 May 4th Atlantic Coast D I College Mens Regionals 2024
57 Virginia Loss 13-14 1613.83 May 4th Atlantic Coast D I College Mens Regionals 2024
44 Virginia Tech Loss 9-15 1298.92 May 4th Atlantic Coast D I College Mens Regionals 2024
104 Liberty Win 15-13 1704.9 May 4th Atlantic Coast D I College Mens Regionals 2024
59 William & Mary Loss 6-7 1602.3 May 5th Atlantic Coast D I College Mens Regionals 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)