#166 RIT (9-19)

avg: 1267.82  •  sd: 52.77  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
77 Carnegie Mellon Loss 8-11 1241.86 Jan 27th Mid Atlantic Warm Up
148 Johns Hopkins Loss 9-11 1065.91 Jan 27th Mid Atlantic Warm Up
104 Liberty Loss 9-13 1072.16 Jan 27th Mid Atlantic Warm Up
148 Johns Hopkins Loss 10-15 861.51 Jan 28th Mid Atlantic Warm Up
92 Pennsylvania Loss 10-15 1085.76 Jan 28th Mid Atlantic Warm Up
307 Mary Washington Win 11-7 1150.05 Jan 28th Mid Atlantic Warm Up
72 Appalachian State Loss 10-13 1300.51 Mar 2nd Oak Creek Challenge 2024
217 George Washington Win 13-7 1616.03 Mar 2nd Oak Creek Challenge 2024
126 Towson Loss 8-11 1023.48 Mar 2nd Oak Creek Challenge 2024
147 Maryland-Baltimore County Loss 10-11 1190.87 Mar 3rd Oak Creek Challenge 2024
91 SUNY-Buffalo Loss 10-12 1305.63 Mar 3rd Oak Creek Challenge 2024
162 Rutgers Win 13-6 1882.55 Mar 3rd Oak Creek Challenge 2024
50 Duke Loss 8-15 1207.71 Mar 30th Atlantic Coast Open 2024
89 Florida State Loss 14-15 1426.28 Mar 30th Atlantic Coast Open 2024
148 Johns Hopkins Win 14-13 1440.12 Mar 30th Atlantic Coast Open 2024
262 Virginia Tech-B Win 15-7 1499.28 Mar 30th Atlantic Coast Open 2024
127 Pittsburgh-B Loss 8-15 823.92 Mar 31st Atlantic Coast Open 2024
56 Temple Loss 10-15 1290.06 Mar 31st Atlantic Coast Open 2024
208 Carleton University Win 12-11 1212.53 Apr 20th Western NY D I Mens Conferences 2024
91 SUNY-Buffalo Loss 8-10 1281.09 Apr 20th Western NY D I Mens Conferences 2024
103 SUNY-Binghamton Loss 8-11 1126.03 Apr 21st Western NY D I Mens Conferences 2024
120 Syracuse Win 15-4 2003.26 Apr 21st Western NY D I Mens Conferences 2024
275 Central Connecticut State Win 15-8 1413.47 Apr 27th Metro East D I College Mens Regionals 2024
30 Ottawa** Loss 4-15 1340.68 Ignored Apr 27th Metro East D I College Mens Regionals 2024
240 SUNY-Albany Loss 11-13 758.94 Apr 27th Metro East D I College Mens Regionals 2024
131 Yale Loss 11-15 998.21 Apr 27th Metro East D I College Mens Regionals 2024
102 Connecticut Loss 8-11 1129.51 Apr 28th Metro East D I College Mens Regionals 2024
191 NYU Win 15-11 1537.97 Apr 28th Metro East D I College Mens Regionals 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)