#18 Northeastern (19-11)

avg: 2108.05  •  sd: 41.04  •  top 16/20: 82.3%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
74 Cincinnati Win 13-6 2214 Feb 2nd Florida Warm Up 2024
3 Georgia Loss 10-13 2128.76 Feb 2nd Florida Warm Up 2024
37 Michigan Win 13-9 2304.31 Feb 2nd Florida Warm Up 2024
8 Brown Loss 14-15 2151.39 Feb 3rd Florida Warm Up 2024
69 Central Florida Win 13-2 2238.53 Feb 3rd Florida Warm Up 2024
85 Cornell Win 13-6 2175.01 Feb 3rd Florida Warm Up 2024
12 Carleton College Loss 14-15 2099.62 Feb 4th Florida Warm Up 2024
17 Brigham Young Loss 7-10 1730.96 Mar 16th College Mens Centex Tier 1
61 Chicago Win 13-7 2251.86 Mar 16th College Mens Centex Tier 1
46 Florida Loss 10-11 1660.88 Mar 16th College Mens Centex Tier 1
39 Illinois Loss 12-13 1760.37 Mar 16th College Mens Centex Tier 1
119 Colorado College Win 13-7 1965.69 Mar 17th College Mens Centex Tier 1
53 Colorado State Win 13-8 2252.21 Mar 17th College Mens Centex Tier 1
12 Carleton College Loss 11-13 1995.78 Mar 30th Easterns 2024
4 Massachusetts Loss 9-13 2035.53 Mar 30th Easterns 2024
14 North Carolina State Win 13-12 2296.47 Mar 30th Easterns 2024
42 South Carolina Loss 9-11 1597.56 Mar 30th Easterns 2024
31 North Carolina-Charlotte Win 13-10 2249.04 Mar 31st Easterns 2024
35 Ohio State Win 15-11 2284.41 Mar 31st Easterns 2024
36 Wisconsin Win 15-8 2458.71 Mar 31st Easterns 2024
141 Boston University Win 15-8 1907.12 Apr 13th Metro Boston D I Mens Conferences 2024
152 Harvard** Win 15-4 1911.24 Ignored Apr 13th Metro Boston D I Mens Conferences 2024
23 Tufts Win 10-9 2149.06 Apr 14th Metro Boston D I Mens Conferences 2024
76 Massachusetts -B Win 15-9 2125.98 May 4th New England D I College Mens Regionals 2024
201 MIT** Win 13-2 1716.71 Ignored May 4th New England D I College Mens Regionals 2024
23 Tufts Win 10-8 2286.72 May 4th New England D I College Mens Regionals 2024
9 Vermont Win 13-11 2476.73 May 4th New England D I College Mens Regionals 2024
8 Brown Loss 12-15 1975.89 May 5th New England D I College Mens Regionals 2024
75 Dartmouth Win 15-8 2177.3 May 5th New England D I College Mens Regionals 2024
9 Vermont Loss 13-15 2033.71 May 5th New England D I College Mens Regionals 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)