#237 Carthage (15-12)

avg: 989.65  •  sd: 66.53  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
268 Akron Loss 3-9 271.21 Mar 9th Spring Spook 2024
157 Miami (Ohio) Loss 8-10 1027.1 Mar 9th Spring Spook 2024
194 Ohio Loss 4-13 542.62 Mar 9th Spring Spook 2024
292 Kent State Win 9-6 1166.19 Mar 9th Spring Spook 2024
347 Wright State Win 12-6 1106.67 Mar 10th Spring Spook 2024
378 SUNY-Buffalo-B Win 10-6 797.85 Mar 10th Spring Spook 2024
362 Concordia-Wisconsin Win 13-7 995.65 Mar 24th Meltdown mini tournament
414 Wisconsin-Milwaukee-B** Win 13-4 135.23 Ignored Mar 24th Meltdown mini tournament
270 Wisconsin-Platteville Loss 8-11 494.66 Mar 24th Meltdown mini tournament
337 Wisconsin-Stevens Point Win 13-4 1165.68 Mar 30th Old Capitol Open 2024
185 Minnesota-Duluth Loss 7-8 1052.59 Mar 30th Old Capitol Open 2024
63 Iowa** Loss 1-13 1086.69 Ignored Mar 30th Old Capitol Open 2024
193 Grinnell Loss 7-12 634.12 Mar 31st Old Capitol Open 2024
263 Illinois State Win 13-4 1498.19 Mar 31st Old Capitol Open 2024
223 Eastern Michigan Win 13-2 1639.98 Mar 31st Old Capitol Open 2024
270 Wisconsin-Platteville Win 12-9 1205.64 Apr 13th Lake Superior D III Mens Conferences 2024
362 Concordia-Wisconsin Win 13-8 934.28 Apr 13th Lake Superior D III Mens Conferences 2024
386 Milwaukee Engineering Win 13-7 804.74 Apr 13th Lake Superior D III Mens Conferences 2024
129 Michigan Tech Loss 8-12 940.89 Apr 13th Lake Superior D III Mens Conferences 2024
386 Milwaukee Engineering Win 15-8 812.02 Apr 14th Lake Superior D III Mens Conferences 2024
270 Wisconsin-Platteville Loss 10-12 622.15 Apr 14th Lake Superior D III Mens Conferences 2024
362 Concordia-Wisconsin Win 15-4 1038.12 Apr 27th North Central D III College Mens Regionals 2024
134 Macalester Loss 8-10 1109.45 Apr 27th North Central D III College Mens Regionals 2024
270 Wisconsin-Platteville Win 14-12 1081.23 Apr 27th North Central D III College Mens Regionals 2024
45 St Olaf** Loss 4-15 1211.34 Ignored Apr 27th North Central D III College Mens Regionals 2024
129 Michigan Tech Win 14-13 1507.05 Apr 28th North Central D III College Mens Regionals 2024
134 Macalester Loss 10-15 918.51 Apr 28th North Central D III College Mens Regionals 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)