Club Mixed Probabilistic Bid Allocation
2025 Season

Overall Bid Allocation | Step-by-Step Breakdown | Team Statistics | Probabilistic FAQ

Overall Bid Allocation

Bids Region Total Contributing Teams
1 Great Lakes 1.05 Hybrid 85.10%,   Spectre 19.30%,   Twist 0.60%,  
1 Mid-Atlantic 0.97 Jughandle 70.20%,   Rally 24.90%,   AMP 1.30%,   PS 0.20%,   HVAC 0.10%,  
1 North Central 1.18 Drag'n Thrust 76.30%,   Minnesota Star Power 31.00%,   Madison United Mixed Ultimate 6.10%,   NOISE 3.20%,   Fatal Attraction 1.00%,   Bird 0.80%,  
6 Northeast 5.66 Zero Strategy 100.00%,   XIST 93.10%,   Grand Army 90.60%,   Slow 81.00%,   Buffalo Lake Effect 56.00%,   Big Rig 44.70%,   Sprocket 40.90%,   Darkwing 31.90%,   Wild Card 8.40%,   The Buoy Association 7.60%,   Bench 5.90%,   Quahogs 5.00%,   League of Shadows 1.30%,  
1 Northwest 1.04 BFG 78.80%,   Porch Bears 10.90%,   Oregon Scorch 10.20%,   Lights Out 3.20%,   Seattle Mixtape 0.60%,  
1 South Central 1.22 shame. 97.20%,   Mile High Trash 22.20%,   Austin Disco Club 2.10%,   Moontower 0.40%,  
3 Southeast 2.49 Toro 95.50%,   'Shine 65.80%,   Malice in Wonderland 56.30%,   Pyro 24.70%,   Amber 4.30%,   Space Force 2.60%,  
2 Southwest 2.39 Tower 100.00%,   Mischief 100.00%,   California Burrito 32.50%,   Polar Bears 3.50%,   Lotus 2.70%,  

Step-by-Step Breakdown

Region GL MA NC NE NW SC SE SW
Initial 1.050 0.967 1.184 5.664 1.037 1.219 2.492 2.387
Autos (all @ 1) 0.050 -0.033 0.184 4.664 0.037 0.219 1.492 1.387
Northeast (@ 2) 0.050 -0.033 0.184 3.664 0.037 0.219 1.492 1.387
Northeast (@ 3) 0.050 -0.033 0.184 2.664 0.037 0.219 1.492 1.387
Northeast (@ 4) 0.050 -0.033 0.184 1.664 0.037 0.219 1.492 1.387
Northeast (@ 5) 0.050 -0.033 0.184 0.664 0.037 0.219 1.492 1.387
Southeast (@ 2) 0.050 -0.033 0.184 0.664 0.037 0.219 0.492 1.387
Southwest (@ 2) 0.050 -0.033 0.184 0.664 0.037 0.219 0.492 0.387
Northeast (@ 6) 0.050 -0.033 0.184 -0.336 0.037 0.219 0.492 0.387
Southeast (@ 3) 0.050 -0.033 0.184 -0.336 0.037 0.219 -0.508 0.387
Total 1 1 1 6 1 1 3 2

Team Statistics (Sorted by bid fraction)

Rank Team Bid Fraction Rating Uncertainty High Sim Low Sim Record
1 Mischief 1 1972.56 78.51 1 9 5-1
2 Zero Strategy 1 1879.3 87 1 16 13-0
3 Tower 1 1788.5 31.15 2 13 4-1
4 shame. 0.972 1869.55 134.56 1 31 11-1
5 Toro 0.955 1781.22 98.79 1 30 5-1
6 XIST 0.931 1736.24 79.13 1 28 5-1
7 Grand Army 0.906 1758.54 112.26 1 45 6-1
8 Hybrid 0.851 1747.57 127.63 1 56 4-2
9 Slow 0.81 1685.46 79.82 2 39 8-4
10 BFG 0.788 1729.4 143.51 1 49 3-3
11 Drag'n Thrust 0.763 1693.32 112.27 1 47 3-2
12 Jughandle 0.702 1633.07 40.36 7 26 6-0
13 'Shine 0.658 1654.38 133.76 1 67 4-2
14 Malice in Wonderland 0.563 1626.6 72.22 4 46 6-0
15 Buffalo Lake Effect 0.56 1618.24 85.84 2 48 5-1
16 Big Rig 0.447 1600.67 87.04 3 50 9-3
17 Sprocket 0.409 1599.65 74.89 3 48 9-4
18 California Burrito 0.325 1582.42 66.66 6 41 11-1
19 Darkwing 0.319 1570.81 96.6 5 53 6-8
20 Minnesota Star Power 0.31 1569.84 86.26 3 48 6-0
21 Rally 0.249 1553.07 90.27 3 53 3-3
22 Pyro 0.247 1541.54 114.13 2 68 7-0
23 Mile High Trash 0.222 1533.8 108 4 59 4-2
24 Spectre 0.193 1501.09 125.09 3 73 6-1
25 Porch Bears 0.109 1412.76 160.92 1 98 5-1
26 Oregon Scorch 0.102 1525.98 63.64 7 47 9-4
27 Wild Card 0.084 1487.58 88.94 5 66 11-2
28 The Buoy Association 0.076 1525.33 61.45 8 48 5-2
29 Madison United Mixed Ultimate 0.061 1364.13 155.75 4 116 4-2
30 Bench 0.059 1521.2 55.18 8 47 10-1
31 Quahogs 0.05 1487.15 76.12 7 59 8-4
32 Amber 0.043 1501.16 68.5 7 50 9-0
33 Polar Bears 0.035 1275.49 182.3 1 126 1-3
34 NOISE 0.032 1423 92.51 9 83 3-2
35 Lights Out 0.032 1405.41 105.1 9 77 5-1
36 Lotus 0.027 1430.47 97.73 6 83 2-4
37 Space Force 0.026 1478.35 71.65 10 57 3-3
38 Austin Disco Club 0.021 1415.16 93.64 10 78 3-3
39 League of Shadows 0.013 1438.11 75.5 10 68 6-8
40 AMP 0.013 1386.91 101.27 6 78 4-2
41 Fatal Attraction 0.01 1362.05 103.42 13 97 5-1
42 Bird 0.008 1439.52 76.49 10 70 3-4
43 Seattle Mixtape 0.006 1425.78 71.52 10 62 2-4
44 Twist 0.006 1319.35 111.05 11 94 8-2
45 Moontower 0.004 1317.84 107.62 10 98 4-2
46 PS 0.002 1501.86 34.97 15 41 4-2
47 HVAC 0.001 1282.59 110.97 13 105 7-4
48 Pittsburgh Port Authority 0 1400.17 54.39 19 58 7-5
49 Anthem 0 1378.38 59.85 20 68 7-5
50 Obscure 0 1364.58 91.67 17 85 8-5
51 MOONDOG 0 1281.45 86.19 17 93 6-3
52 Lampshade 0 1272.68 69.86 30 88 10-9
53 Scarecrow 0 1262.51 69.5 26 87 9-8
54 Sego 0 1241.53 101.81 19 110 5-2
55 Farm Show 0 1231.72 60.29 37 95 6-7
56 FLI 0 1220.46 78.06 35 97 4-9
57 Northern Comfort 0 1212.87 115.83 18 110 4-2
58 ConSTLation 0 1207.42 130.81 24 110 3-3
59 ELevate 0 1203.49 76.44 37 101 4-3
60 Risky Business 0 1193.65 80.18 33 104 5-4
61 Delabear 0 1192.84 68.65 30 97 10-1
62 Mashed 0 1185.14 66.29 39 99 2-3
63 MoonPi 0 1182.68 68.55 40 107 5-5
64 UNION 0 1181.05 55.63 46 93 1-5
65 Garbage Plates 0 1172.77 91.51 36 114 6-7
66 Jabba 0 1172.54 99.18 21 109 4-2
67 Stackcats 0 1167.15 96.59 32 116 4-2
68 Queen City Gambit 0 1167.15 106.58 21 114 3-3
69 Funk 0 1165.77 95.05 32 113 3-3
70 Ant Madness 0 1137.65 61.09 47 103 7-4
71 Heat Wave 0 1136.27 88.23 36 114 7-4
72 Townies 0 1130.26 77.78 42 108 3-3
73 Boomtown Pandas 0 1125.94 120.71 30 121 4-2
74 Hartford Current 0 1122.15 97.47 34 124 4-8
75 BUMS 0 1120.24 73.12 45 108 5-3
76 Conspiracy 0 1116.81 93.01 35 113 5-1
77 Revival 0 1113.3 70.08 49 106 4-2
78 NY Swipes 0 1111.13 88.4 43 110 7-6
79 Steamboat 0 1107.92 120.11 29 122 4-6
80 Grit City 0 1106.86 120.72 31 117 3-3
81 Memphis STAX 0 1104.65 66.21 50 106 5-4
82 Jumbo Slice 0 1090.57 107.17 26 122 3-3
83 Lawless 0 1081.69 84.11 39 111 0-4
84 T Party 0 1081.35 71.54 49 112 9-11
85 Space Ghosts 0 1069.72 84.37 49 118 4-2
86 Crucible 0 1069.46 116.15 32 120 2-4
87 Columbus Chaos 0 1057.38 93.3 44 122 4-7
88 FlyTrap 0 1052.1 75.04 42 114 7-5
89 Axolotls 0 1048.94 67.59 55 114 7-6
90 Murmur 0 1047.16 94.92 45 118 4-8
91 Impact 0 1045.91 69.82 53 111 6-4
92 Mad Udderburn 0 1043.91 98.18 46 120 3-3
93 Hive 0 1042.09 78.17 47 113 4-2
94 Brunch Club 0 1032.79 79.67 51 122 7-5
95 Rainbow 0 1027.04 84.27 48 120 4-8
96 Toast! 0 998.34 150.1 31 135 2-4
97 Donuts 0 996.04 83.47 56 124 10-1
98 Goosebumps 0 983.32 113.66 43 134 2-3
99 Roma Ultima 0 975.59 87.86 56 125 7-5
100 Storm 0 969.71 89.17 54 121 2-10
101 Mousetrap 0 969.12 99.69 48 127 2-4
102 Flight Club 0 967.96 73.09 61 122 4-3
103 Catalyst 0 952 101.23 53 125 4-2
104 District Cocktails 0 951.5 133.61 47 134 1-4
105 Chicago Parlay 0 945.75 134.61 43 134 2-4
106 American Barbecue 0 929.14 185.12 22 144 4-1
107 Heavy Flow 0 897 78.07 62 128 2-4
108 Buffalo Brain Freeze 0 866.53 111.74 49 139 1-4
109 Philly Twist 0 863.77 46.6 92 123 3-3
110 Classy 0 856.87 76.65 80 130 9-2
111 Bullet Train 0 820.96 69.18 86 129 6-6
112 Taproot 0 815.9 58.65 89 129 1-11
113 RAMP 0 815.78 86.75 80 136 1-5
114 Prion 0 811.62 105.97 71 139 2-4
115 Shipwreck 0 808.11 151.74 41 147 2-3
116 Brackish 0 793.33 109.29 71 138 1-5
117 Pegasus 0 785.16 100.73 69 140 2-5
118 Choco Ghost House 0 777.19 65.26 97 134 3-4
119 Robot 0 772.16 154.01 49 148 3-2
120 Brooklyn Hive 0 770.13 73.85 92 135 4-2
121 Green Chiles 0 769.47 93.41 80 138 3-4
122 solAR 0 740.77 76.56 94 137 3-8
123 Shipwreck 0 730.06 111.59 88 148 5-1
124 UV Rays 0 722.72 102.25 93 143 1-4
125 The Chad Larson Experience 0 710.97 63.36 104 134 6-7
126 JAWN 0 708.64 51.21 107 136 4-9
127 Point of No Return 0 677.74 106 83 144 1-5
128 Mastodon 0 633.87 77.96 106 141 1-5
129 Lemonade Ultimate 0 621.1 48.28 115 139 0-6
130 Spice 0 611 98.44 99 146 3-3
131 Octonauts 0 594.01 72.02 112 142 8-5
132 Pixel 0 593.32 59.76 116 142 1-5
133 Holler! 0 570.31 40.77 122 141 3-3
134 Heat Wave 0 513.17 63.39 123 144 2-5
135 DR 0 508.8 65.71 120 146 6-7
136 Skyhawks 0 492.26 84.02 119 149 1-5
137 Karma 0 491.63 82.67 119 148 3-4
138 VU 0 486.68 118.9 102 154 8-5
139 Family Style 0 441.14 58.16 129 149 5-9
140 Drip 0 422.86 101.92 120 155 2-5
141 Mango 0 388.17 98.3 124 155 6-6
142 Voltage 0 365.18 59.9 131 153 1-10
143 The Strangers 0 360.08 166.01 103 156 1-5
144 Cutthroat 0 336.25 75.03 130 155 6-7
145 Spoiler Alert 0 323.47 64.37 132 154 6-6
146 Firefly 0 279.78 107.9 129 156 6-6
147 Starfire 0 265.55 63.06 137 155 0-6
148 Sin Nombre 0 248.08 90.21 132 156 2-4
149 Flux 0 234.12 170.01 122 156 0-5
150 Bozos 0 192.91 84.43 139 156 0-6
151 Domino Effect 0 175.5 111.49 136 156 0-5
152 Rampage 0 168.85 81.56 140 156 1-5
153 Verdant 0 142.08 97.72 140 156 2-4
154 Birds of Paradise 0 127.33 100.2 138 156 3-8
155 Erosion 0 112.61 89.31 142 156 3-8
156 Moonlight Ultimate 0 10.44 82.69 147 156 2-9