College Women's Probabilistic Bid Allocation
2025-26 Season

Overall Bid Allocation | Step-by-Step Breakdown | Team Statistics | Probabilistic FAQ

Overall Bid Allocation

Bids Region Total Contributing Teams
2 Atlantic Coast 2.22 North Carolina 100.00%,   James Madison 73.80%,   Georgetown 35.50%,   Virginia 4.90%,   Clemson 3.60%,   American 3.20%,   George Washington 0.90%,  
1 Great Lakes 0.47 Notre Dame 46.40%,   Michigan 0.70%,  
1 Metro East 0.14 NYU 11.90%,   Rutgers 1.90%,   SUNY-Buffalo 0.50%,   Yale 0.10%,  
2 New England 2.17 Tufts 100.00%,   Northeastern 76.50%,   Vermont 37.70%,   Harvard 1.90%,   Boston University 0.40%,  
1 North Central 1.01 Carleton College 100.00%,   Wisconsin 1.40%,  
5 Northwest 4.98 Washington 100.00%,   Oregon 100.00%,   British Columbia 100.00%,   Western Washington 99.90%,   Victoria 97.70%,   British Columbia [B] 0.20%,  
1 Ohio Valley 1.24 Pennsylvania 100.00%,   Ohio 23.70%,   Ohio State 0.50%,  
1 South Central 1.01 Colorado 100.00%,   Texas 0.50%,   Colorado State 0.10%,  
1 Southeast 1.23 Tennessee 71.20%,   Georgia 48.20%,   Emory 1.90%,   Florida 1.30%,  
5 Southwest 5.54 California-Santa Cruz 100.00%,   California-San Diego 100.00%,   Stanford 100.00%,   UCLA 99.30%,   California-Davis 95.00%,   Cal Poly-SLO 58.50%,   California-Santa Barbara 0.60%,   Southern California 0.10%,  

Step-by-Step Breakdown

Region AC GL ME NE NC NW OV SC SE SW
Initial 2.219 0.471 0.144 2.165 1.014 4.978 1.242 1.006 1.226 5.535
Autos (all @ 1) 1.219 -0.529 -0.856 1.165 0.014 3.978 0.242 0.006 0.226 4.535
Southwest (@ 2) 1.219 -0.529 -0.856 1.165 0.014 3.978 0.242 0.006 0.226 3.535
Northwest (@ 2) 1.219 -0.529 -0.856 1.165 0.014 2.978 0.242 0.006 0.226 3.535
Southwest (@ 3) 1.219 -0.529 -0.856 1.165 0.014 2.978 0.242 0.006 0.226 2.535
Northwest (@ 3) 1.219 -0.529 -0.856 1.165 0.014 1.978 0.242 0.006 0.226 2.535
Southwest (@ 4) 1.219 -0.529 -0.856 1.165 0.014 1.978 0.242 0.006 0.226 1.535
Northwest (@ 4) 1.219 -0.529 -0.856 1.165 0.014 0.978 0.242 0.006 0.226 1.535
Southwest (@ 5) 1.219 -0.529 -0.856 1.165 0.014 0.978 0.242 0.006 0.226 0.535
Atlantic Coast (@ 2) 0.219 -0.529 -0.856 1.165 0.014 0.978 0.242 0.006 0.226 0.535
New England (@ 2) 0.219 -0.529 -0.856 0.165 0.014 0.978 0.242 0.006 0.226 0.535
Northwest (@ 5) 0.219 -0.529 -0.856 0.165 0.014 -0.022 0.242 0.006 0.226 0.535
Total 2 1 1 2 1 5 1 1 1 5

Team Statistics (Sorted by bid fraction)

Rank Team Bid Fraction Rating Uncertainty High Sim Low Sim Record
1 Carleton College 1 2468.22 65.24 1 3 19-0
2 British Columbia 1 2300.09 51.23 1 6 14-5
3 California-Santa Cruz 1 2226.39 107.17 1 8 24-2
4 Stanford 1 2181.66 47.36 2 7 18-8
5 North Carolina 1 2105.23 65.98 3 10 16-2
6 Tufts 1 2101.61 72.20 2 12 10-1
7 Washington 1 2051.22 49.84 3 10 15-5
8 Colorado 1 1929.43 55.76 5 16 11-9
9 Pennsylvania 1 1896.66 37.56 7 16 12-2
10 California-San Diego 1 1836.18 37.33 8 19 12-10
11 Oregon 1 1797.46 34.79 8 19 8-13
12 Western Washington 0.999 1850.92 69.77 5 24 7-7
13 UCLA 0.993 1749.91 52.86 8 26 17-11
14 Victoria 0.977 1754.45 66.36 8 30 11-9
15 California-Davis 0.95 1731.19 68.63 8 30 10-11
16 Northeastern 0.765 1668.01 74.87 9 40 8-5
17 James Madison 0.738 1721.34 188.03 1 79 6-0
18 Tennessee 0.712 1714.63 170.05 3 77 11-0
19 Cal Poly-SLO 0.585 1625.32 41.25 14 31 9-12
20 Georgia 0.482 1617.22 59.09 13 38 7-6
21 Notre Dame 0.464 1609.61 94.47 9 56 14-6
22 Vermont 0.377 1603.01 50.73 13 37 8-10
23 Georgetown 0.355 1576.18 111.76 8 66 3-4
24 Ohio 0.237 1540.22 114.47 7 73 3-3
25 NYU 0.119 1519.49 80.61 13 63 4-0
26 Virginia 0.049 1489.66 76.57 17 60 6-8
27 Clemson 0.036 1290.16 170.45 14 121 6-1
28 American 0.032 1454.55 89.16 13 71 4-1
29 Emory 0.019 1442.40 97.15 15 76 4-2
30 Rutgers 0.019 1285.92 164.95 14 118 4-1
31 Harvard 0.019 1264.49 177.46 13 128 5-2
32 Wisconsin 0.014 1442.53 73.54 19 65 6-7
33 Florida 0.013 1417.79 81.29 17 74 17-4
34 George Washington 0.009 1340.88 119.18 18 97 4-1
35 Michigan 0.007 1449.16 65.23 20 67 7-13
36 California-Santa Barbara 0.006 1449.85 59.83 19 60 5-16
37 Texas 0.005 1447.94 66.40 20 63 10-10
38 Ohio State 0.005 1367.67 85.46 18 73 4-3
39 SUNY-Buffalo 0.005 1261.66 144.58 20 111 2-3
40 Boston University 0.004 1324.79 104.93 20 94 5-2
41 British Columbia [B] 0.002 1414.20 70.55 20 69 10-1
42 Yale 0.001 1385.99 71.97 21 72 3-2
43 Southern California 0.001 1304.51 97.07 23 93 18-7
44 Colorado State 0.001 1123.38 138.19 22 127 8-4
45 Haverford/Bryn Mawr 0 1736.48 106.66 6 44 12-1
46 Middlebury 0 1630.48 143.66 4 70 9-1
47 Wesleyan 0 1572.31 91.39 10 59 4-0
48 Wellesley 0 1446.86 128.26 10 77 10-2
49 Kenyon 0 1445.79 33.95 25 55 3-2
50 Vermont [B] 0 1428.68 42.24 25 59 3-1
51 Union (Tennessee) 0 1416.04 143.83 10 104 5-1
52 Minnesota 0 1405.02 58.15 23 62 4-9
53 Davenport 0 1400.01 117.23 14 85 9-4
54 Utah 0 1354.61 57.10 30 68 6-13
55 Washington University 0 1340.74 58.90 28 69 11-8
56 Carleton College-Eclipse 0 1339.20 65.83 25 71 9-3
57 Rochester 0 1339.12 197.25 8 115 5-1
58 Liberty 0 1329.24 65.97 28 73 8-6
59 Williams 0 1306.09 96.23 25 94 11-4
60 California 0 1296.31 59.28 32 74 14-19
61 Cedarville 0 1285.70 76.97 31 80 5-1
62 South Carolina 0 1269.02 61.44 37 81 7-6
63 St Olaf 0 1267.53 112.17 18 97 5-1
64 West Chester 0 1246.23 95.24 24 90 5-5
65 Brigham Young 0 1241.74 70.62 32 86 1-15
66 Virginia Tech 0 1202.33 96.57 27 97 3-3
67 Whitman 0 1192.20 120.83 28 108 10-2
68 Swarthmore 0 1179.52 124.14 23 106 3-4
69 Mount Holyoke 0 1161.09 85.92 40 104 5-5
70 William & Mary 0 1140.93 93.84 41 104 5-7
71 Lehigh 0 1138.57 104.72 34 104 6-4
72 Macalester 0 1120.95 143.23 24 129 4-2
73 Brown 0 1105.44 73.11 52 99 12-8
74 Richmond 0 1101.78 75.09 54 101 1-4
75 Oregon State 0 1094.31 92.88 44 107 12-5
76 Indiana 0 1092.46 114.12 35 114 3-3
77 McGill 0 1089.84 112.52 39 121 1-5
78 Penn State 0 1087.11 106.63 45 118 4-3
79 Davidson 0 1062.03 102.32 29 121 4-3
80 Rice 0 1058.01 102.04 44 120 11-1
81 Bates 0 1056.81 93.55 52 119 2-4
82 Vanderbilt 0 1038.81 86.91 52 118 9-3
83 California-Irvine 0 1016.75 82.51 56 119 14-9
84 Skidmore 0 1015.97 98.16 50 129 4-3
85 Michigan [B] 0 1011.23 124.46 46 136 5-1
86 Massachusetts 0 998.25 113.85 55 143 1-3
87 Pittsburgh 0 993.15 69.95 66 114 5-8
88 Marquette 0 992.89 101.99 48 128 4-3
89 Arkansas 0 974.40 84.83 62 127 8-3
90 Santa Clara 0 959.83 105.04 44 132 10-3
91 Missouri 0 955.91 89.86 63 124 6-4
92 Dayton 0 932.41 120.45 50 137 3-3
93 Winona State 0 929.07 127.25 51 145 8-2
94 Portland 0 922.38 66.96 68 117 9-9
95 Colorado College 0 917.96 88.25 68 128 8-11
96 Rhode Island 0 917.02 102.13 64 139 3-3
97 Case Western Reserve 0 911.84 79.96 66 130 4-9
98 Nevada-Reno 0 911.83 83.69 64 132 13-6
99 North Carolina-Wilmington 0 906.43 104.45 62 137 5-2
100 Kansas 0 904.18 142.88 43 145 2-4
101 Wisconsin-Milwaukee 0 889.92 69.16 76 128 5-1
102 Georgia College 0 885.94 80.54 66 130 3-4
103 Lewis & Clark 0 859.24 74.35 77 130 10-9
104 Tufts [B] 0 852.67 94.91 74 143 1-3
105 Syracuse 0 843.54 60.81 82 129 2-3
106 Grand Canyon 0 835.28 70.86 77 135 8-5
107 North Carolina State 0 834.67 117.35 70 145 4-3
108 Puget Sound 0 816.68 52.24 84 130 5-5
109 Georgia Tech 0 812.18 99.88 73 146 7-7
110 Georgia [B] 0 793.34 84.12 78 149 4-6
111 Duke 0 791.27 55.96 89 136 3-3
112 Arizona State 0 783.39 66.21 87 140 12-9
113 Illinois 0 780.52 83.69 84 145 7-6
114 Delaware 0 762.13 111.72 63 158 3-2
115 Wake Forest 0 759.94 67.89 86 141 2-4
116 Towson 0 752.70 135.40 62 166 1-4
117 Ithaca 0 737.63 71.51 89 141 2-4
118 Saint Louis 0 737.05 98.45 79 151 2-4
119 Jacksonville State 0 717.64 71.63 92 147 10-4
120 San Diego State 0 716.77 53.92 96 138 17-10
121 SUNY-Binghamton 0 715.56 102.57 84 156 3-4
122 Truman State 0 711.86 56.99 96 143 5-1
123 Dartmouth 0 710.28 95.83 86 155 4-2
124 Brown [B] 0 707.93 53.13 100 143 0-5
125 Georgetown [B] 0 697.98 77.24 92 151 2-5
126 Vermont [C] 0 687.48 133.12 71 168 0-4
127 Simon Fraser 0 686.09 75.71 95 156 3-3
128 Johns Hopkins 0 677.56 32.11 110 140 4-1
129 Cornell 0 675.16 145.97 65 179 0-6
130 Central Florida 0 639.09 80.80 98 155 10-8
131 Columbia 0 628.58 65.25 98 157 2-5
132 Occidental 0 627.62 61.01 108 154 10-10
133 Catholic 0 607.06 103.81 95 168 3-2
134 Missouri State 0 580.70 62.60 110 156 3-3
135 MIT 0 576.70 105.51 97 165 2-4
136 Northwestern 0 574.90 105.28 94 170 5-8
137 Auburn 0 571.65 93.55 96 174 2-4
138 Iowa State 0 565.41 95.89 97 173 5-5
139 Oberlin 0 558.92 114.59 94 173 3-4
140 California-San Diego [B] 0 554.97 76.68 111 165 7-6
141 Carnegie Mellon 0 554.84 70.56 115 160 2-4
142 Trinity 0 514.01 54.38 127 167 9-8
143 Montana 0 505.31 88.39 111 168 4-0
144 Temple 0 500.09 140.91 95 181 0-3
145 Northern Arizona 0 494.16 70.98 121 178 3-4
146 Maryland 0 466.89 96.60 111 176 1-6
147 Cal Poly-Humboldt 0 451.85 87.29 119 173 6-9
148 Cornell [B] 0 451.78 105.85 111 179 1-5
149 Berry 0 441.51 191.68 80 191 2-3
150 Wisconsin-La Crosse 0 430.93 96.24 115 182 4-2
151 Texas-Dallas 0 430.20 67.21 129 175 3-8
152 Washington University [B] 0 417.45 101.49 117 178 2-4
153 Florida State 0 411.34 73.00 127 176 10-9
154 Purdue 0 410.56 99.05 120 185 3-9
155 Iowa 0 383.10 91.15 128 180 1-5
156 Wisconsin-Eau Claire 0 373.23 83.13 124 180 0-6
157 Washington [B] 0 369.12 87.96 126 186 2-2
158 Pacific Lutheran 0 368.70 48.92 142 174 5-5
159 Cincinnati 0 348.09 115.30 117 189 1-5
160 Harding 0 340.04 53.21 141 177 2-3
161 New Hampshire 0 338.66 159.40 105 196 2-4
162 Tennessee-Chattanooga 0 328.42 125.18 105 191 1-4
163 Northeastern [B] 0 316.84 202.93 77 202 2-4
164 Denver 0 313.93 64.27 140 181 5-8
165 Claremont 0 301.23 53.77 146 181 8-11
166 Miami (Florida) 0 298.84 61.17 141 181 3-4
167 Montana State 0 285.28 46.01 148 179 3-6
168 Wisconsin [B] 0 279.91 65.30 149 183 6-6
169 Boston College 0 275.66 204.19 104 202 3-4
170 Cal Poly-SLO [B] 0 270.62 57.45 146 182 5-7
171 UCLA [B] 0 241.90 62.85 153 186 7-13
172 Grinnell 0 233.39 93.71 130 193 2-4
173 Tulane 0 218.84 69.82 147 192 5-7
174 Stanford [B] 0 215.62 245.73 84 206 2-5
175 American [B] 0 173.27 76.09 151 192 2-3
176 LSU 0 153.21 79.45 151 193 4-9
177 Emory [B] 0 152.30 207.32 91 206 0-6
178 Messiah 0 138.55 48.20 163 189 2-3
179 Chicago 0 137.62 121.74 147 196 0-6
180 Franciscan 0 119.49 203.44 92 206 0-6
181 Colby 0 115.90 156.59 142 205 1-11
182 Texas State 0 104.19 82.83 159 196 3-8
183 Air Force 0 80.81 83.80 161 196 1-2
184 Carleton College [C] 0 66.34 69.45 168 196 2-3
185 California-Davis [B] 0 36.85 81.91 161 200 4-9
186 Seattle 0 17.67 120.09 153 203 0-7
187 Florida [B] 0 5.60 63.59 170 200 2-5
188 Dickinson 0 0.54 59.21 171 200 0-5
189 William & Mary [B] 0 -5.48 70.80 171 202 1-4
190 Notre Dame [B] 0 -50.29 96.63 172 203 3-10
191 Minnesota [B] 0 -69.02 156.69 154 206 2-2
192 Mississippi State 0 -126.51 179.41 159 207 1-9
193 Arizona 0 -135.09 98.78 170 205 0-6
194 California-Santa Barbara [B] 0 -177.46 187.35 154 208 1-5
195 Colorado College [B] 0 -184.34 160.16 159 208 2-3
196 South Florida 0 -188.67 152.88 165 207 0-12
197 Utah [B] 0 -195.88 49.31 189 206 0-4
198 Alabama 0 -205.28 67.24 184 206 0-5
199 California [B] 0 -219.22 177.54 159 208 0-12
200 St Olaf [B] 0 -239.41 206.47 164 208 0-6
201 Texas [B] 0 -261.76 110.71 182 208 1-10
202 Southern California [B] 0 -265.96 177.33 151 208 1-6
203 Illinois [B] 0 -309.35 180.74 175 208 1-5
204 Cal State-Long Beach 0 -314.72 208.06 162 208 0-6
205 Colorado [B] 0 -454.88 169.12 169 208 1-4
206 California-San Diego [C] 0 -518.32 194.13 182 208 0-12
207 DePaul 0 -699.53 142.74 201 208 0-6
208 Colorado Mines 0 -738.18 313.33 179 208 0-6