College Women's Probabilistic Bid Allocation
2025-26 Season

Overall Bid Allocation | Step-by-Step Breakdown | Team Statistics | Probabilistic FAQ

Overall Bid Allocation

Bids Region Total Contributing Teams
1 Great Lakes 0.40 Northwestern 37.60%,   Purdue 2.10%,  
1 New England 0.93 Brown 93.20%,  
1 North Central 1.00 Carleton College 100.00%,  
4 Northwest 4.97 Oregon 100.00%,   Victoria 100.00%,   British Columbia 100.00%,   Oregon State 97.70%,   Utah 84.90%,   Brigham Young 14.40%,  
1 South Central 1.00 Colorado 100.00%,  
1 Southeast 2.50 Florida 100.00%,   Central Florida 85.60%,   Georgia Tech 61.50%,   Tulane 2.40%,   Florida State 0.10%,  
8 Southwest 9.21 California-Santa Cruz 100.00%,   California-San Diego 100.00%,   Cal Poly-SLO 100.00%,   California-Davis 100.00%,   Stanford 100.00%,   UCLA 100.00%,   California-Santa Barbara 100.00%,   Southern California 98.90%,   California 96.80%,   California-Irvine 17.60%,   Santa Clara 5.10%,   Grand Canyon 1.60%,   Arizona State 0.50%,  

Step-by-Step Breakdown

Region AC GL ME NE NC NW OV SC SE SW
Initial 0.397 0.932 1.000 4.970 1.000 2.496 9.205
Autos (all @ 1) -0.603 -0.068 0.000 3.970 0.000 1.496 8.205
Southwest (@ 2) -0.603 -0.068 0.000 3.970 0.000 1.496 7.205
Southwest (@ 3) -0.603 -0.068 0.000 3.970 0.000 1.496 6.205
Southwest (@ 4) -0.603 -0.068 0.000 3.970 0.000 1.496 5.205
Southwest (@ 5) -0.603 -0.068 0.000 3.970 0.000 1.496 4.205
Southwest (@ 6) -0.603 -0.068 0.000 3.970 0.000 1.496 3.205
Northwest (@ 2) -0.603 -0.068 0.000 2.970 0.000 1.496 3.205
Southwest (@ 7) -0.603 -0.068 0.000 2.970 0.000 1.496 2.205
Northwest (@ 3) -0.603 -0.068 0.000 1.970 0.000 1.496 2.205
Southwest (@ 8) -0.603 -0.068 0.000 1.970 0.000 1.496 1.205
Northwest (@ 4) -0.603 -0.068 0.000 0.970 0.000 1.496 1.205
Total 1 1 1 4 1 1 8

Team Statistics (Sorted by bid fraction)

Rank Team Bid Fraction Rating Uncertainty High Sim Low Sim Record
1 Carleton College 1 2431.03 103.19 1 4 6-0
2 British Columbia 1 2381.69 122.30 1 6 5-1
3 California-Santa Cruz 1 2142.54 226.26 1 14 11-1
4 Colorado 1 2039.45 140.80 1 11 5-1
5 Stanford 1 1996.22 114.21 1 9 4-3
6 UCLA 1 1840.46 67.05 3 11 4-2
7 California-San Diego 1 1838.47 72.32 3 11 4-3
8 Victoria 1 1803.20 106.25 3 14 4-3
9 Oregon 1 1694.16 76.20 5 17 2-5
10 California-Davis 1 1606.46 131.32 4 20 2-4
11 Cal Poly-SLO 1 1574.15 48.81 8 17 3-4
12 Florida 1 1545.96 78.45 7 18 6-0
13 California-Santa Barbara 1 1494.08 95.48 6 21 2-5
14 Southern California 0.989 1473.72 174.64 3 31 9-3
15 Oregon State 0.977 1304.55 90.10 12 26 5-1
16 California 0.968 1329.83 118.10 8 27 8-5
17 Brown 0.932 1313.72 145.15 7 27 4-1
18 Central Florida 0.856 1263.78 153.25 7 33 4-2
19 Utah 0.849 1249.51 131.53 9 31 2-3
20 Georgia Tech 0.615 1161.22 149.87 10 35 3-3
21 Northwestern 0.376 1065.13 151.37 14 38 4-3
22 California-Irvine 0.176 1013.15 120.43 16 37 5-7
23 Brigham Young 0.144 958.91 149.54 14 39 0-5
24 Santa Clara 0.051 892.12 129.30 16 39 5-2
25 Tulane 0.024 826.56 143.71 18 40 2-3
26 Purdue 0.021 858.16 138.13 17 40 1-5
27 Grand Canyon 0.016 917.94 70.97 22 36 8-5
28 Arizona State 0.005 856.82 86.00 21 38 8-6
29 Florida State 0.001 751.44 120.57 21 40 1-3
30 Rice 0 1451.83 83.38 8 21 5-0
31 Trinity 0 1137.92 82.41 16 30 3-2
32 Dartmouth 0 1131.05 95.35 15 31 4-2
33 Lewis & Clark 0 963.01 108.04 17 39 4-2
34 San Diego State 0 737.97 76.91 25 40 9-5
35 Occidental 0 721.32 65.58 25 40 3-5
36 Texas State 0 716.42 64.60 27 40 1-4
37 Portland 0 695.56 140.73 19 41 3-4
38 Nevada-Reno 0 671.28 73.97 27 40 4-3
39 Northern Arizona 0 575.74 77.28 30 41 3-4
40 Denver 0 427.90 84.27 34 41 2-5
41 Claremont 0 97.09 137.67 38 43 3-4
42 Arizona 0 -50.69 86.45 41 43 0-6
43 Southern California-B 0 -315.31 193.54 41 43 1-6