College Women's Probabilistic Bid Allocation
2025-26 Season

Overall Bid Allocation | Step-by-Step Breakdown | Team Statistics | Probabilistic FAQ

Overall Bid Allocation

Bids Region Total Contributing Teams
1 Atlantic Coast 1.93 North Carolina 100.00%,   James Madison 66.70%,   Georgetown 11.50%,   American 8.30%,   Virginia 5.70%,   George Washington 0.60%,  
1 Great Lakes 0.33 Notre Dame 32.80%,   Michigan 0.20%,  
1 Metro East 0.07 Yale 5.70%,   Rutgers 1.00%,  
2 New England 2.00 Tufts 100.00%,   Vermont 77.10%,   Northeastern 23.10%,   Boston University 0.10%,  
1 North Central 1.04 Carleton College 100.00%,   Minnesota 3.40%,   Wisconsin 0.70%,  
5 Northwest 5.18 Washington 100.00%,   Oregon 100.00%,   British Columbia 100.00%,   Western Washington 99.90%,   Victoria 99.50%,   British Columbia [B] 17.20%,   Oregon State 1.50%,   Brigham Young 0.30%,  
1 Ohio Valley 1.04 Pennsylvania 100.00%,   Ohio 3.00%,   Lehigh 1.00%,   West Chester 0.40%,  
1 South Central 1.14 Colorado 100.00%,   Texas 9.40%,   Washington University 4.60%,  
1 Southeast 0.71 Tennessee 61.30%,   Georgia 8.50%,   Emory 1.40%,  
6 Southwest 6.55 California-Santa Cruz 100.00%,   California-San Diego 100.00%,   Stanford 100.00%,   UCLA 100.00%,   California-Davis 95.70%,   Cal Poly-SLO 77.80%,   Southern California 50.60%,   California-Santa Barbara 30.80%,   California 0.20%,  

Step-by-Step Breakdown

Region AC GL ME NE NC NW OV SC SE SW
Initial 1.928 0.330 0.067 2.003 1.041 5.184 1.044 1.140 0.712 6.551
Autos (all @ 1) 0.928 -0.670 -0.933 1.003 0.041 4.184 0.044 0.140 -0.288 5.551
Southwest (@ 2) 0.928 -0.670 -0.933 1.003 0.041 4.184 0.044 0.140 -0.288 4.551
Southwest (@ 3) 0.928 -0.670 -0.933 1.003 0.041 4.184 0.044 0.140 -0.288 3.551
Northwest (@ 2) 0.928 -0.670 -0.933 1.003 0.041 3.184 0.044 0.140 -0.288 3.551
Southwest (@ 4) 0.928 -0.670 -0.933 1.003 0.041 3.184 0.044 0.140 -0.288 2.551
Northwest (@ 3) 0.928 -0.670 -0.933 1.003 0.041 2.184 0.044 0.140 -0.288 2.551
Southwest (@ 5) 0.928 -0.670 -0.933 1.003 0.041 2.184 0.044 0.140 -0.288 1.551
Northwest (@ 4) 0.928 -0.670 -0.933 1.003 0.041 1.184 0.044 0.140 -0.288 1.551
Southwest (@ 6) 0.928 -0.670 -0.933 1.003 0.041 1.184 0.044 0.140 -0.288 0.551
Northwest (@ 5) 0.928 -0.670 -0.933 1.003 0.041 0.184 0.044 0.140 -0.288 0.551
New England (@ 2) 0.928 -0.670 -0.933 0.003 0.041 0.184 0.044 0.140 -0.288 0.551
Total 1 1 1 2 1 5 1 1 1 6

Team Statistics (Sorted by bid fraction)

Rank Team Bid Fraction Rating Uncertainty High Sim Low Sim Record
1 Carleton College 1 2706.84 93.47 1 3 13-0
2 British Columbia 1 2508.03 76.01 1 4 10-3
3 California-Santa Cruz 1 2397.50 152.28 1 10 17-2
4 Stanford 1 2350.49 81.52 1 6 10-4
5 Colorado 1 2111.61 74.78 3 15 9-5
6 Tufts 1 2099.01 104.67 3 16 7-0
7 Washington 1 2066.18 61.14 4 13 5-3
8 North Carolina 1 2027.88 78.74 4 18 13-1
9 California-San Diego 1 1969.49 47.52 5 16 8-7
10 Oregon 1 1914.26 42.84 7 18 6-9
11 UCLA 1 1907.83 54.07 6 19 7-7
12 Pennsylvania 1 1839.60 37.92 8 19 12-2
13 Western Washington 0.999 1870.38 76.81 5 23 4-4
14 Victoria 0.995 1936.50 113.68 3 26 4-3
15 California-Davis 0.957 1781.60 81.06 8 31 6-8
16 Cal Poly-SLO 0.778 1668.52 37.23 15 28 6-9
17 Vermont 0.771 1689.43 79.28 11 41 5-2
18 James Madison 0.667 1708.80 188.03 4 72 6-0
19 Tennessee 0.613 1686.39 167.69 5 62 11-0
20 Southern California 0.506 1639.17 173.19 5 65 9-3
21 Notre Dame 0.328 1599.76 82.67 12 49 8-5
22 California-Santa Barbara 0.308 1600.77 67.68 13 48 3-11
23 Northeastern 0.231 1548.89 120.42 9 78 4-2
24 British Columbia [B] 0.172 1573.16 67.15 14 52 10-1
25 Georgetown 0.115 1517.50 93.29 15 61 3-4
26 Texas 0.094 1536.11 65.54 17 51 4-3
27 Georgia 0.085 1556.16 54.78 17 49 7-6
28 American 0.083 1518.86 87.69 15 57 4-1
29 Virginia 0.057 1511.09 78.52 17 53 3-3
30 Yale 0.057 1493.35 88.84 16 61 3-2
31 Washington University 0.046 1486.85 85.48 17 57 8-4
32 Minnesota 0.034 1496.96 76.04 17 55 2-5
33 Ohio 0.03 1444.22 101.80 17 67 3-3
34 Oregon State 0.015 1491.15 60.01 18 54 10-2
35 Emory 0.014 1417.63 97.16 18 73 4-2
36 Lehigh 0.01 1392.76 102.05 18 67 4-1
37 Rutgers 0.01 1375.94 122.59 14 76 4-1
38 Wisconsin 0.007 1401.61 94.89 18 65 3-3
39 George Washington 0.006 1388.72 102.78 19 76 4-1
40 West Chester 0.004 1202.69 155.28 16 110 3-2
41 Brigham Young 0.003 1059.61 209.19 19 137 0-5
42 California 0.002 1399.16 85.08 20 65 9-11
43 Michigan 0.002 1396.41 76.11 19 64 5-9
44 Boston University 0.001 1312.25 104.93 21 80 5-2
45 Haverford/Bryn Mawr 0 1770.99 131.61 5 48 4-1
46 Kenyon 0 1521.77 39.54 19 44 3-2
47 Carleton College-Eclipse 0 1452.41 55.64 18 55 9-3
48 Wellesley 0 1399.94 171.73 6 109 5-1
49 Utah 0 1398.02 69.34 23 63 3-9
50 Union (Tennessee) 0 1392.61 143.72 16 85 5-1
51 Rochester 0 1388.54 181.01 10 96 5-1
52 NYU 0 1371.21 80.61 22 67 4-0
53 Wesleyan 0 1354.02 69.01 24 65 4-0
54 Williams 0 1339.94 156.37 12 91 5-2
55 St Olaf 0 1318.48 116.57 18 84 5-1
56 Ohio State 0 1302.17 86.12 26 75 4-3
57 Vermont [B] 0 1280.40 42.24 38 67 3-1
58 Liberty 0 1279.68 60.30 37 72 8-6
59 Cedarville 0 1273.16 76.97 32 72 5-1
60 Richmond 0 1192.07 91.35 35 86 1-4
61 Macalester 0 1190.28 144.92 21 98 4-2
62 Virginia Tech 0 1189.80 96.57 39 92 3-3
63 South Carolina 0 1179.50 59.95 42 81 7-6
64 California-Irvine 0 1127.45 96.33 38 95 9-8
65 Whitman 0 1120.51 99.23 40 98 4-2
66 Santa Clara 0 1094.45 111.23 37 109 10-3
67 Arkansas 0 1088.18 81.26 47 94 8-3
68 Colorado College 0 1077.84 98.27 44 103 6-5
69 Florida 0 1075.24 51.36 58 87 12-2
70 Indiana 0 1068.22 114.06 38 114 3-3
71 Skidmore 0 1061.34 100.53 47 108 4-3
72 Missouri 0 1054.63 87.74 50 99 6-4
73 Lewis & Clark 0 1051.67 62.03 53 92 7-5
74 Grand Canyon 0 1050.70 71.67 55 100 8-5
75 Marquette 0 1050.60 95.60 46 105 4-3
76 Colorado State 0 1045.89 142.17 28 115 5-0
77 William & Mary 0 1041.08 98.20 50 105 5-7
78 Mount Holyoke 0 1012.81 107.07 52 117 2-2
79 Vanderbilt 0 1005.29 86.03 53 104 9-3
80 Portland 0 997.38 87.36 55 107 5-8
81 Nevada-Reno 0 985.31 98.90 51 109 8-4
82 Arizona State 0 970.79 81.91 61 107 8-6
83 Brown 0 970.38 81.05 58 112 9-4
84 Kansas 0 964.86 133.54 50 129 2-4
85 Michigan [B] 0 961.63 121.56 51 122 5-1
86 Penn State 0 950.57 109.03 53 113 4-3
87 Syracuse 0 937.91 85.45 60 119 2-3
88 Pittsburgh 0 915.87 71.68 66 110 5-8
89 Puget Sound 0 915.68 60.39 66 108 4-5
90 Dayton 0 909.54 120.70 53 125 3-3
91 San Diego State 0 860.83 73.93 69 124 9-5
92 Case Western Reserve 0 837.26 84.98 67 123 4-9
93 Delaware 0 833.77 109.48 57 135 3-2
94 Rice 0 830.71 83.38 70 124 5-0
95 Ithaca 0 809.45 80.27 71 120 2-4
96 Jacksonville State 0 803.68 98.95 63 131 6-1
97 Brown [B] 0 799.73 53.69 78 115 0-5
98 Occidental 0 786.72 47.81 81 116 10-10
99 Massachusetts 0 778.50 124.62 57 135 1-3
100 Georgia [B] 0 772.20 84.19 75 126 4-6
101 Saint Louis 0 769.45 89.90 71 129 2-4
102 Illinois 0 755.86 90.96 74 131 2-4
103 Johns Hopkins 0 755.72 32.70 91 115 4-1
104 Wake Forest 0 747.40 67.89 85 125 2-4
105 Georgia Tech 0 735.76 93.30 69 136 7-7
106 Central Florida 0 725.54 96.44 69 129 7-5
107 North Carolina State 0 717.16 108.73 72 141 4-3
108 Tufts [B] 0 704.39 94.91 73 135 1-3
109 Northern Arizona 0 699.63 75.74 87 132 3-4
110 Truman State 0 686.09 53.79 89 127 5-1
111 Georgetown [B] 0 685.45 77.24 83 132 2-5
112 Catholic 0 674.95 103.77 79 136 3-2
113 Texas-Dallas 0 673.16 102.75 75 146 0-4
114 Duke 0 621.71 77.64 91 140 3-3
115 California-San Diego [B] 0 615.78 131.73 67 153 4-3
116 Dartmouth 0 615.08 104.21 80 145 4-2
117 Cornell 0 587.66 151.89 70 156 0-6
118 Cornell [B] 0 582.53 86.42 84 145 1-5
119 SUNY-Binghamton 0 567.14 103.67 91 155 3-4
120 Iowa State 0 563.37 94.68 93 147 5-5
121 Northwestern 0 561.21 103.47 89 148 5-8
122 Missouri State 0 550.25 52.10 106 137 3-3
123 Auburn 0 548.66 93.20 89 151 2-4
124 Denver 0 547.72 55.13 105 141 5-8
125 Vermont [C] 0 537.27 118.59 84 155 0-4
126 Trinity 0 516.80 68.08 104 142 6-4
127 Columbia 0 513.66 62.80 103 145 2-5
128 Temple 0 487.56 140.91 91 156 0-3
129 Washington [B] 0 482.99 94.04 97 152 2-2
130 MIT 0 473.37 108.34 96 158 2-4
131 Carnegie Mellon 0 445.62 75.64 110 155 2-4
132 Oberlin 0 444.86 119.03 99 161 3-4
133 UCLA [B] 0 438.78 72.89 113 149 5-9
134 Florida State 0 426.25 79.78 107 152 8-4
135 Iowa 0 403.66 102.10 102 158 1-5
136 Purdue 0 374.56 86.11 113 159 3-9
137 Wisconsin-Eau Claire 0 361.65 93.65 110 158 0-6
138 Air Force 0 358.78 98.34 109 159 1-2
139 Washington University [B] 0 348.59 98.34 110 162 2-4
140 Tennessee-Chattanooga 0 311.44 124.38 103 163 1-4
141 Wisconsin [B] 0 306.33 46.19 131 154 4-2
142 Cal Poly-SLO [B] 0 301.88 73.88 121 158 5-7
143 Maryland 0 300.08 82.04 116 163 1-6
144 Claremont 0 296.10 86.17 119 163 5-8
145 Colorado College [B] 0 283.95 90.29 112 164 2-3
146 Boston College 0 280.88 209.38 80 172 3-4
147 Miami 0 275.48 63.68 124 158 3-4
148 Stanford [B] 0 259.99 255.73 57 172 2-5
149 American [B] 0 251.86 77.14 124 163 2-3
150 Messiah 0 212.14 48.82 137 160 2-3
151 Cincinnati 0 204.45 101.41 117 169 1-5
152 Tulane 0 188.78 60.19 135 163 5-7
153 Emory [B] 0 129.36 206.54 101 172 0-6
154 LSU 0 120.73 137.96 124 171 3-4
155 Franciscan 0 106.96 203.44 108 172 0-6
156 California-Davis [B] 0 95.64 89.12 136 168 4-9
157 Texas State 0 95.30 64.60 144 167 1-4
158 Dickinson 0 75.76 59.36 145 167 0-5
159 Arizona 0 70.11 88.27 140 170 0-6
160 William & Mary [B] 0 69.06 70.26 144 167 1-4
161 Texas [B] 0 47.69 64.36 144 168 1-4
162 Carleton College [C] 0 40.99 70.27 147 168 2-3
163 Chicago 0 13.98 123.19 132 172 0-6
164 Colorado [B] 0 -33.21 144.84 130 172 1-4
165 Colorado Mines 0 -33.73 141.97 130 172 0-6
166 Florida [B] 0 -71.68 53.24 154 170 2-5
167 Southern California [B] 0 -131.24 173.06 132 172 1-6
168 California [B] 0 -191.07 193.57 136 172 0-12
169 Alabama 0 -217.90 85.11 158 172 0-5
170 Notre Dame [B] 0 -230.73 91.55 159 172 1-5
171 Illinois [B] 0 -338.37 177.08 150 172 1-5
172 California-San Diego [C] 0 -545.55 341.95 133 172 0-6