Club Men's Probabilistic Bid Allocation
2025 Season

Overall Bid Allocation | Step-by-Step Breakdown | Team Statistics | Probabilistic FAQ

Overall Bid Allocation

Bids Region Total Contributing Teams
2 Great Lakes 1.64 Chicago Machine 99.80%,   GOAT 62.40%,   I-69 1.60%,  
2 Mid-Atlantic 2.13 Truck Stop 100.00%,   Philadelphia Pacmen 99.80%,   Vault 12.90%,   Pittsburgh Temper 0.10%,  
1 North Central 0.81 Sub Zero 80.60%,   Mallard 0.50%,   Mad Men 0.20%,  
3 Northeast 3.33 PoNY 100.00%,   DiG 100.00%,   Phoenix 63.40%,   Red Tide 33.90%,   Mephisto 33.20%,   Sprout 1.20%,   Blueprint 0.70%,   Scoop 0.10%,   Colt 0.10%,  
2 Northwest 2.30 Rhino Slam! 100.00%,   Sockeye 99.90%,   Shrimp 18.00%,   Furious George 12.40%,  
1 South Central 1.14 Johnny Bravo 99.90%,   Doublewide 14.10%,  
3 Southeast 3.00 Ring of Fire 100.00%,   Chain Lightning 100.00%,   Raleigh-Durham United 97.30%,   Florida Untied 2.90%,  
2 Southwest 1.65 Revolver 100.00%,   SoCal Condors 65.00%,  

Step-by-Step Breakdown

Region GL MA NC NE NW SC SE SW
Initial 1.638 2.128 0.813 3.326 2.303 1.140 3.002 1.650
Autos (all @ 1) 0.638 1.128 -0.187 2.326 1.303 0.140 2.002 0.650
Northeast (@ 2) 0.638 1.128 -0.187 1.326 1.303 0.140 2.002 0.650
Southeast (@ 2) 0.638 1.128 -0.187 1.326 1.303 0.140 1.002 0.650
Northeast (@ 3) 0.638 1.128 -0.187 0.326 1.303 0.140 1.002 0.650
Northwest (@ 2) 0.638 1.128 -0.187 0.326 0.303 0.140 1.002 0.650
Mid-Atlantic (@ 2) 0.638 0.128 -0.187 0.326 0.303 0.140 1.002 0.650
Southeast (@ 3) 0.638 0.128 -0.187 0.326 0.303 0.140 0.002 0.650
Southwest (@ 2) 0.638 0.128 -0.187 0.326 0.303 0.140 0.002 -0.350
Great Lakes (@ 2) -0.362 0.128 -0.187 0.326 0.303 0.140 0.002 -0.350
Total 2 2 1 3 2 1 3 2

Team Statistics (Sorted by bid fraction)

Rank Team Bid Fraction Rating Uncertainty High Sim Low Sim Record
1 Revolver 1 2355.42 80.97 1 6 21-1
2 DiG 1 2190.92 48.15 1 9 19-5
3 PoNY 1 2124.09 41.35 1 9 17-7
4 Rhino Slam! 1 2074.60 50.31 2 13 18-10
5 Ring of Fire 1 2066.54 61.11 1 14 12-6
6 Truck Stop 1 2063.14 53.90 2 14 16-10
7 Chain Lightning 1 1979.63 52.60 4 16 15-9
8 Johnny Bravo 0.999 1978.18 56.24 3 17 15-9
9 Sockeye 0.999 1976.85 55.59 3 18 18-5
10 Chicago Machine 0.998 2070.65 88.54 1 18 10-6
11 Philadelphia Pacmen 0.998 2008.85 67.63 2 17 12-3
12 Raleigh-Durham United 0.973 1916.74 66.47 4 21 13-4
13 Sub Zero 0.806 1849.98 68.76 3 25 16-5
14 SoCal Condors 0.65 1812.08 76.42 6 32 15-6
15 Phoenix 0.634 1823.55 98.87 5 35 19-6
16 GOAT 0.624 1817.97 87.20 5 32 11-6
17 Red Tide 0.339 1773.58 59.52 8 34 23-6
18 Mephisto 0.332 1773.00 48.56 10 29 14-7
19 Shrimp 0.18 1745.73 54.25 11 31 10-7
20 Doublewide 0.141 1721.50 66.20 12 36 11-6
21 Vault 0.129 1712.12 71.42 9 40 19-8
22 Furious George 0.124 1740.11 41.63 13 31 11-6
23 Florida Untied 0.029 1673.88 56.44 14 37 19-10
24 I-69 0.016 1609.53 80.57 14 51 20-3
25 Sprout 0.012 1685.95 41.67 15 33 18-11
26 Blueprint 0.007 1649.90 58.88 15 39 19-10
27 Mallard 0.005 1604.91 75.83 15 48 11-11
28 Mad Men 0.002 1652.62 49.24 14 40 23-4
29 Pittsburgh Temper 0.001 1593.79 76.33 15 47 17-5
30 Scoop 0.001 1550.48 73.36 16 54 17-8
31 Colt 0.001 1549.58 69.43 15 53 22-10
32 Dark Star 0 1591.59 43.36 19 40 14-12
33 baNC 0 1538.93 53.13 23 50 25-6
34 Gamble 0 1526.60 76.63 17 55 25-2
35 Oak Grove Boys 0 1514.62 62.42 22 53 15-15
36 Tanasi 0 1509.55 56.45 23 50 16-5
37 Flying Dutchmen 0 1508.15 48.56 25 50 14-13
38 Haymaker 0 1506.27 61.70 21 52 15-14
39 General Strike 0 1484.79 60.46 21 54 12-6
40 Alliance 0 1473.62 52.54 26 54 11-11
41 Lounar 0 1434.30 55.95 29 59 19-8
42 Houndd 0 1424.76 69.12 23 62 19-5
43 Garden State Ultimate 0 1416.74 52.67 28 64 11-16
44 Shade 0 1411.32 65.31 28 64 14-16
45 SOUF 0 1402.93 45.49 33 58 20-7
46 Lost Boys 0 1400.96 50.29 32 59 19-5
47 Fungi 0 1381.34 47.62 34 62 18-11
48 ELDL 0 1348.88 56.94 36 71 19-12
49 Nighthawk 0 1329.79 59.52 33 74 14-10
50 Switchback 0 1308.98 53.09 38 77 13-17
51 Club M - Manic 0 1308.92 79.39 30 91 7-15
52 WOMP 0 1291.84 59.83 37 82 18-9
53 Hazard 0 1290.07 59.91 37 81 13-10
54 Little Red Wagon 0 1286.67 57.22 41 83 16-7
55 OAT 0 1275.51 39.40 44 77 20-8
56 Portland TremOR 0 1272.71 54.13 39 87 14-10
57 Lantern 0 1262.76 52.70 41 81 14-11
58 Alamode 0 1262.60 52.45 42 89 14-8
59 Triumph 0 1238.52 54.34 44 86 21-9
60 H.I.P 0 1224.66 62.08 42 93 18-5
61 Trident 0 1221.06 58.93 41 94 19-10
62 Skipjack 0 1214.20 62.88 43 104 12-5
63 Colonels 0 1213.73 54.75 46 97 20-13
64 Town Hall Stars 0 1208.57 46.86 48 93 19-12
65 Magma Bears 0 1203.66 56.92 45 99 18-11
66 Atlanta Arson 0 1202.19 45.73 48 90 17-7
67 Wavestorms 0 1200.59 47.91 47 90 20-9
68 DAPPER 0 1194.12 61.24 41 102 20-9
69 Sawtooth 0 1183.17 67.41 46 106 12-9
70 Dreadnought 0 1181.57 62.93 45 101 19-3
71 Cache Valley High Ground 0 1174.46 63.74 47 113 14-7
72 PowderHogs 0 1171.13 73.14 45 109 19-8
73 Elysium 0 1168.35 48.54 50 97 9-7
74 Wretched Refuse 0 1164.84 52.43 51 101 13-9
75 ISO Atmo 0 1156.82 45.44 53 98 25-13
76 Kansas City Smokestack 0 1153.07 42.43 51 98 18-11
77 John Doe 0 1131.46 62.36 51 110 21-10
78 Cowtown Cannons 0 1130.60 57.89 53 112 18-11
79 Skeleton Squad 0 1127.69 45.34 55 102 19-13
80 Zoboomafoo 0 1126.56 46.42 54 103 19-12
81 Junco 0 1118.84 50.81 56 107 10-14
82 Chimney 0 1112.53 55.82 51 113 15-16
83 Ascension 0 1108.30 72.65 52 121 10-9
84 Fuse 0 1107.05 38.39 62 103 21-10
85 Crypt 0 1105.17 40.96 60 103 18-13
86 Black Lung 0 1096.99 45.82 65 110 19-13
87 Big Wrench 0 1085.03 71.14 50 120 10-10
88 BAG 0 1083.58 57.60 58 115 13-8
89 (washed) 0 1065.92 83.21 50 130 14-3
90 OC Crows 0 1052.44 57.14 61 124 11-6
91 Endgame 0 1051.76 58.30 63 119 14-12
92 Knights of Ni 0 1050.32 35.14 72 113 16-13
93 Cash Crop 2 0 1043.12 135.68 39 151 4-2
94 Brawl 0 1033.80 48.80 71 116 23-9
95 Texas Tea-A 0 1033.06 51.46 66 117 18-14
96 Red Lotus 0 1030.83 41.38 64 116 13-11
97 Rebels 0 1029.51 71.65 56 132 13-9
98 Odyssey 0 1023.30 59.69 67 132 15-11
99 Zyzzyva 0 1021.07 65.29 62 127 11-12
100 Alibi 0 995.02 52.70 72 127 14-17
101 GVL Trout 0 991.27 44.15 78 124 12-7
102 Drought 0 990.22 37.29 85 119 8-16
103 Make it Rain 0 988.98 63.27 66 134 9-15
104 Colorado Cutthroat U-20 Boys 0 973.48 64.70 65 134 10-10
105 Gang Of Disc 0 969.81 72.32 71 139 11-12
106 Swordfish 0 958.82 49.82 85 131 11-17
107 MOB Ultimate 0 955.72 77.88 67 141 14-8
108 Pittsburgh Stealers 0 942.93 58.10 78 137 13-16
109 Resurgam Ultimate 0 935.28 51.20 84 137 8-14
110 Roundhouse 0 933.19 45.22 88 132 13-9
111 Second Nature 0 931.21 72.33 76 143 10-7
112 Hooch 0 926.39 55.70 81 138 9-9
113 DeMo 0 921.50 58.89 84 141 19-15
114 X Wives-A 0 909.69 68.29 84 145 11-11
115 Psychedelic 0 887.51 44.39 93 136 11-13
116 Seven Gills 0 887.31 53.23 91 141 7-21
117 Riverside 0 884.44 52.57 91 141 11-13
118 El Niño 0 880.55 48.74 98 139 12-14
119 Tugboat 0 869.34 58.50 89 142 11-8
120 Hazard 0 863.34 39.35 104 141 10-13
121 Harvest Moon 0 852.65 53.48 95 142 8-4
122 NOx 0 850.88 49.78 98 143 16-16
123 L.U.T $ack 0 843.29 48.66 101 145 10-9
124 Battleship 0 840.62 62.43 87 148 13-6
125 Timber 0 832.20 60.30 85 148 7-15
126 Queen City Kings 0 825.97 55.04 95 145 12-11
127 New Jersey Gemini 0 822.74 47.09 105 144 11-8
128 Happy Valley Roofing and Mustache Supply 0 822.47 60.37 97 147 9-7
129 Cookie Mon$terz 0 804.39 71.98 83 157 13-6
130 EZ 0 800.54 67.13 101 153 10-8
131 BARNSTORM 0 799.32 51.59 103 146 14-12
132 OPE 0 788.62 52.66 109 149 12-16
133 SUPA FC 0 784.41 79.38 94 158 7-9
134 Vicious Cycle 0 774.93 68.70 87 153 8-8
135 Winc City Fog 0 757.78 72.21 106 159 10-11
136 Fat Stacks 0 752.40 78.17 101 163 6-12
137 UpRoar 0 749.82 47.09 111 151 13-20
138 Cozy Boys 0 744.54 65.37 109 161 7-11
139 Texas Duffy 0 742.12 60.08 112 160 9-15
140 Charleston Heat Stroke 0 742.07 46.92 112 153 6-12
141 STL Moonar 0 740.83 61.77 110 155 9-14
142 Sprawl 0 720.59 68.79 111 162 12-10
143 Nomads 0 719.20 52.88 118 161 12-17
144 DINGWOP 0 712.11 72.84 110 165 10-8
145 Battery 0 691.57 52.88 121 160 10-13
146 The Incline 0 668.24 53.25 128 162 9-16
147 Loaded Panda 0 624.94 67.75 125 168 9-9
148 Scythe 0 609.46 52.37 134 168 12-19
149 Friendly Fire 0 605.37 42.68 137 169 13-18
150 NOMAD 0 585.94 77.16 121 176 7-16
151 CITYWIDE Special 0 574.76 105.82 113 184 3-4
152 Beef Depot 0 553.75 42.54 143 170 13-14
153 Alliance 2 0 550.60 65.01 137 177 4-12
154 NC Brickhouse [Upper] 0 548.79 72.99 133 180 7-17
155 Crossfire 0 535.34 43.84 142 172 6-21
156 Shift 0 534.58 70.00 136 183 7-16
157 Reál Hogs FC [B] 0 534.21 53.01 141 176 2-16
158 Mischief 0 521.83 48.49 144 172 13-22
159 Green Mountain Boys 0 499.43 59.12 144 179 6-9
160 Rawhide 0 497.22 37.18 148 177 7-11
161 Tennessee Folklore 0 493.90 62.63 139 178 5-14
162 Rubicon Rapids 0 488.87 57.23 145 178 6-12
163 Black Gold 0 485.59 61.29 145 180 7-11
164 Nocturnal 0 476.48 88.40 135 190 4-9
165 Scoop 0 475.43 47.01 144 176 10-15
166 Bomb Squad 0 462.95 53.15 147 179 5-17
167 Romulus-A 0 450.86 92.41 130 189 3-8
168 Atlanta Outlaws 0 443.57 67.44 146 184 2-8
169 Spring Break '93 0 434.39 65.98 143 184 9-12
170 Forge 0 431.43 49.65 149 179 7-16
171 Monsoon 0 394.45 116.17 131 193 2-13
172 Zoo Animals 0 389.80 80.37 148 189 5-10
173 Conspiracy Theory 0 378.03 77.37 150 188 3-14
174 Shenanigans 0 359.41 143.69 125 193 2-4
175 PARLAY 0 337.47 79.99 152 189 5-17
176 Carbon 0 335.53 48.08 161 186 5-19
177 MBTA 0 320.08 81.72 149 190 3-9
178 On Ramp 0 310.64 84.76 150 193 8-7
179 Southern Hospitality 0 305.26 67.37 156 190 5-13
180 Barefoot 0 294.07 71.94 161 192 3-14
181 San Antonio Warhawks 0 282.87 106.42 145 193 5-6
182 BDC 0 245.50 101.97 155 193 2-2
183 Buffalo Frostbite 0 230.52 58.24 165 191 8-18
184 Enigma 0 216.59 89.81 157 193 4-14
185 Long Island Riff Raff 0 206.79 94.48 157 194 4-13
186 Gambit 0 150.95 67.75 173 194 2-21
187 Diesel 0 123.16 90.19 168 194 4-17
188 Supercell 0 103.31 58.80 180 194 1-20
189 Beef Depot 0 96.41 58.44 179 194 4-10
190 Maumee Boys 0 96.24 92.00 173 194 5-12
191 Motive 0 92.00 73.32 175 194 5-23
192 Chemical X 0 75.01 65.56 179 194 2-17
193 Dallas Delinquents 0 53.51 72.76 182 194 3-19
194 Prism 0 -231.88 132.81 185 194 0-10