Club Men's Probabilistic Bid Allocation
2025 Season

Overall Bid Allocation | Step-by-Step Breakdown | Team Statistics | Probabilistic FAQ

Overall Bid Allocation

Bids Region Total Contributing Teams
1 Great Lakes 0.58 GOAT 56.30%,   Houndd 1.40%,   Chicago Machine 0.30%,   ELDL 0.10%,  
3 Mid-Atlantic 3.16 Truck Stop 100.00%,   Philadelphia Pacmen 96.60%,   Vault 87.90%,   Pittsburgh Temper 31.90%,  
2 North Central 1.88 Sub Zero 98.90%,   Mad Men 59.60%,   Mallard 21.00%,   General Strike 8.70%,  
3 Northeast 3.21 PoNY 100.00%,   DiG 100.00%,   Phoenix 67.30%,   Red Tide 24.60%,   Blueprint 21.10%,   Mephisto 7.10%,   Scoop 0.80%,  
2 Northwest 2.21 Rhino Slam! 100.00%,   Sockeye 98.10%,   Furious George 18.20%,   Shrimp 4.30%,   Dark Star 0.20%,  
1 South Central 0.89 Johnny Bravo-Varsity 88.70%,  
2 Southeast 2.07 Ring of Fire 76.10%,   Chain Lightning 68.50%,   Florida Untied 37.00%,   Raleigh-Durham United 25.80%,  
2 Southwest 1.99 Revolver 100.00%,   SoCal Condors 99.20%,   Nighthawk 0.30%,  

Step-by-Step Breakdown

Region GL MA NC NE NW SC SE SW
Initial 0.581 3.164 1.882 3.209 2.208 0.887 2.074 1.995
Autos (all @ 1) -0.419 2.164 0.882 2.209 1.208 -0.113 1.074 0.995
Northeast (@ 2) -0.419 2.164 0.882 1.209 1.208 -0.113 1.074 0.995
Mid-Atlantic (@ 2) -0.419 1.164 0.882 1.209 1.208 -0.113 1.074 0.995
Northeast (@ 3) -0.419 1.164 0.882 0.209 1.208 -0.113 1.074 0.995
Northwest (@ 2) -0.419 1.164 0.882 0.209 0.208 -0.113 1.074 0.995
Mid-Atlantic (@ 3) -0.419 0.164 0.882 0.209 0.208 -0.113 1.074 0.995
Southeast (@ 2) -0.419 0.164 0.882 0.209 0.208 -0.113 0.074 0.995
Southwest (@ 2) -0.419 0.164 0.882 0.209 0.208 -0.113 0.074 -0.005
North Central (@ 2) -0.419 0.164 -0.118 0.209 0.208 -0.113 0.074 -0.005
Total 1 3 2 3 2 1 2 2

Team Statistics (Sorted by bid fraction)

Rank Team Bid Fraction Rating Uncertainty High Sim Low Sim Record
1 Revolver 1 2601.12 60.46 1 4 11-1
2 PoNY 1 2498.22 44.52 1 5 10-2
3 DiG 1 2430.33 44.09 1 7 10-2
4 Truck Stop 1 2362.79 52.87 2 9 12-4
5 Rhino Slam! 1 2330.37 72.51 1 14 13-5
6 SoCal Condors 0.992 2207.11 63.37 4 23 4-2
7 Sub Zero 0.989 2200.26 59.33 3 21 3-3
8 Sockeye 0.981 2232.12 82.49 2 23 10-3
9 Philadelphia Pacmen 0.966 2280.94 116.57 1 27 5-1
10 Johnny Bravo-Varsity 0.887 2110.95 42.98 7 21 5-7
11 Vault 0.879 2151.82 85.66 4 27 9-3
12 Ring of Fire 0.761 2130.74 111.31 3 38 3-3
13 Chain Lightning 0.685 2081.12 46.82 6 27 6-6
14 Phoenix 0.673 2085.51 70.01 6 30 10-3
15 Mad Men 0.596 2079.80 100.69 3 35 11-1
16 GOAT 0.563 2067.49 103.97 4 38 7-5
17 Florida Untied 0.37 2037.70 71.31 6 31 11-7
18 Pittsburgh Temper 0.319 2017.76 97.48 5 36 9-3
19 Raleigh-Durham United 0.258 1979.43 112.97 5 46 3-3
20 Red Tide 0.246 1984.73 108.37 5 44 12-2
21 Blueprint 0.211 2014.83 54.43 7 29 13-6
22 Mallard 0.21 1941.78 140.66 5 51 5-7
23 Furious George 0.182 2006.71 60.15 7 30 8-4
24 General Strike 0.087 1924.94 97.29 8 48 3-3
25 Mephisto 0.071 1964.02 62.82 10 34 8-4
26 Shrimp 0.043 1934.04 75.03 10 40 3-3
27 Houndd 0.014 1774.59 122.70 9 60 12-1
28 Scoop 0.008 1853.89 90.08 13 46 7-6
29 Chicago Machine 0.003 1828.18 79.29 14 47 1-5
30 Nighthawk 0.003 1675.74 135.91 15 75 2-4
31 Dark Star 0.002 1880.07 48.95 15 42 7-6
32 ELDL 0.001 1557.02 136.76 16 99 8-4
33 Sprout 0 1816.30 68.33 18 47 8-5
34 Flying Dutchmen 0 1815.94 68.54 19 45 4-8
35 Shade 0 1760.83 73.13 20 49 8-11
36 Doublewide 0 1749.40 80.09 20 51 3-3
37 Lounar 0 1740.27 69.33 24 52 8-4
38 baNC 0 1703.37 63.01 25 51 16-1
39 Alliance 0 1700.09 98.61 21 68 3-3
40 Colt 0 1699.71 94.92 21 69 14-6
41 Oak Grove Boys 0 1695.81 66.50 25 55 7-12
42 I-69 0 1676.44 109.12 20 75 6-1
43 Garden State Ultimate 0 1662.68 50.32 29 53 5-12
44 Club M - Manic 0 1659.94 99.42 19 62 3-9
45 Lost Boys 0 1643.02 76.84 26 58 16-2
46 SOUF 0 1581.76 75.36 31 64 8-4
47 Haymaker 0 1575.25 69.59 33 61 6-7
48 Tanasi 0 1549.88 73.52 33 76 12-2
49 OAT 0 1538.48 52.31 36 64 10-2
50 Lantern 0 1506.71 77.86 36 79 7-6
51 Wavestorms 0 1463.20 94.30 34 90 9-3
52 Alamode 0 1459.99 65.16 38 81 8-4
53 Fungi 0 1457.63 67.94 41 84 7-5
54 Switchback 0 1457.24 58.59 42 74 3-9
55 Little John 0 1455.48 58.25 42 75 4-1
56 Little Red Wagon 0 1454.15 69.40 39 79 12-5
57 Triumph 0 1424.83 68.65 41 79 14-5
58 Sawtooth 0 1399.83 84.76 42 96 7-5
59 Town Hall Stars 0 1398.67 55.13 45 83 11-8
60 Unrestricted Free Agents 0 1384.92 144.98 27 120 5-2
61 WOMP 0 1364.05 73.66 45 101 15-6
62 Gamble 0 1340.48 123.30 35 121 12-0
63 Wretched Refuse 0 1336.67 74.72 46 104 5-1
64 Chimney 0 1322.90 64.85 50 105 9-10
65 MOB Ultimate 0 1320.86 137.61 32 130 9-2
66 Blackfish 0 1317.73 96.03 45 123 2-4
67 Magma Bears 0 1311.34 80.92 47 110 7-6
68 Colonels 0 1305.07 72.14 46 101 11-4
69 (washed) 0 1286.03 102.15 42 120 10-2
70 Make it Rain 0 1283.39 56.87 55 100 6-6
71 Endgame 0 1282.38 95.59 46 117 8-5
72 DAPPER 0 1282.28 82.01 49 109 13-5
73 Big Wrench 0 1279.87 66.75 54 105 7-6
74 Kansas City Smokestack 0 1279.33 86.18 49 115 5-6
75 Atlanta Arson 0 1277.92 71.46 51 109 15-4
76 Ascension 0 1270.24 93.46 45 115 8-6
77 Zyzzyva 0 1267.08 54.69 55 104 6-7
78 John Doe 0 1261.46 69.63 51 114 14-5
79 Portland TremOR 0 1253.36 70.84 51 108 7-5
80 Zoboomafoo 0 1245.86 90.83 49 119 8-5
81 Red Lotus 0 1235.20 60.84 55 112 10-8
82 ISO Atmo 0 1228.96 65.74 55 112 14-5
83 Elysium 0 1220.63 49.48 60 108 7-4
84 Cowtown Cannons 0 1218.10 70.53 57 117 13-6
85 Junco 0 1215.45 62.81 59 113 5-7
86 BAG 0 1202.45 54.98 60 107 9-5
87 Trident 0 1201.54 73.66 56 117 8-5
88 Fuse 0 1192.92 72.78 56 120 9-3
89 Dreadnought 0 1190.21 100.00 51 138 8-0
90 Crypt 0 1183.30 49.82 61 110 12-7
91 H.I.P 0 1170.82 90.97 53 129 10-2
92 Skeleton Squad 0 1167.54 50.93 67 122 8-6
93 Black Lung 0 1165.81 55.66 66 113 11-9
94 Drought 0 1164.60 80.90 56 127 0-6
95 Odyssey 0 1160.67 65.15 63 124 11-8
96 Hazard 0 1153.97 91.38 57 139 2-4
97 Timber 0 1153.71 99.97 51 139 4-7
98 BUDA U20B 0 1152.76 132.08 36 156 1-4
99 Alibi 0 1147.63 51.33 64 118 7-11
100 Psychedelic 0 1128.37 70.18 64 128 7-4
101 SUPA FC 0 1102.67 83.56 62 144 5-5
102 Oregon Trainwreck 0 1100.81 105.25 56 144 2-4
103 GVL Trout 0 1098.80 45.96 78 124 12-7
104 Vicious Cycle 0 1085.26 61.90 69 128 6-4
105 Knights of Ni 0 1063.59 83.60 68 144 7-5
106 Brawl 0 1058.17 82.30 67 144 11-2
107 X Wives-A 0 1057.31 100.00 57 150 6-3
108 PowderHogs 0 1047.94 74.43 68 140 8-5
109 Roundhouse 0 1040.80 63.79 80 145 4-2
110 Hooch 0 1023.08 61.06 83 144 9-9
111 Villains 0 1016.73 87.29 71 146 6-1
112 DeMo 0 1015.72 108.79 59 154 11-7
113 Texas Tea-A 0 1014.88 76.32 81 150 8-5
114 Hazard 0 1014.53 53.23 88 139 5-7
115 Colorado Cutthroat U-20 Boys 0 1006.69 65.42 86 143 6-7
116 EZ 0 975.72 111.26 64 159 7-2
117 Tugboat 0 970.75 83.56 80 152 8-5
118 El Niño 0 962.33 71.13 79 151 7-6
119 Cookie Mon$terz 0 961.89 94.34 80 158 10-3
120 Swordfish 0 954.62 79.70 87 152 2-10
121 Pittsburgh Stealers 0 950.86 63.24 99 149 6-12
122 Winc City Fog 0 945.71 83.13 89 155 8-9
123 Resurgam Ultimate 0 941.59 60.50 97 148 6-7
124 Sprawl 0 929.77 85.45 86 155 9-3
125 New Jersey Gemini 0 928.55 60.09 95 151 10-3
126 Minnesota Superior U20B 0 905.43 63.77 90 155 4-5
127 OPE 0 905.33 85.06 94 165 6-5
128 Queen City Kings 0 904.93 74.85 99 154 9-8
129 L.U.T $ack 0 900.13 65.08 106 157 6-6
130 Two-Headed Goose 0 899.56 48.23 108 148 5-4
131 BARNSTORM 0 899.23 63.09 94 152 9-5
132 Sebastopol Orchard 0 889.83 79.06 90 158 1-5
133 Battery 0 889.29 67.62 102 156 3-3
134 Battleship 0 889.17 91.51 86 165 9-3
135 Seven Gills 0 870.32 104.27 91 168 1-11
136 Harvest Moon 0 866.84 41.20 115 149 8-4
137 Shift 0 866.07 88.98 82 164 2-4
138 UpRoar 0 861.93 47.84 110 153 10-17
139 Second Nature 0 831.61 62.37 106 160 7-5
140 Lil’ Huckers 0 828.80 80.75 103 165 5-4
141 TBD 0 826.00 100.25 90 170 3-2
142 NOx 0 820.87 71.82 106 162 7-7
143 STL Moonar 0 789.24 69.44 115 166 4-8
144 Ronin 0 768.49 81.91 107 172 4-2
145 NC Brickhouse [Upper] 0 766.89 72.88 120 170 6-12
146 The Incline 0 761.22 76.04 113 174 4-8
147 Charleston Heat Stroke 0 760.72 53.63 120 165 6-12
148 Riverside 0 759.55 68.39 118 171 7-7
149 Scythe 0 758.89 48.58 125 165 6-7
150 Cozy Boys 0 755.19 63.75 120 173 5-7
151 Fresno Firefall 0 708.68 83.92 118 184 2-3
152 Zoo Animals 0 699.86 77.82 117 178 5-6
153 Beef Depot 0 682.27 61.87 134 178 9-7
154 Loaded Panda 0 680.35 73.05 126 179 4-2
155 NOMAD 0 678.66 93.27 122 187 3-9
156 CITYWIDE Special 0 676.18 99.06 122 188 3-4
157 Nomads 0 674.24 78.26 126 184 6-6
158 Rubicon Rapids 0 654.84 85.11 126 188 2-4
159 On Ramp 0 653.10 62.59 136 179 6-4
160 Gang Of Disc 0 648.28 102.51 121 195 4-7
161 Texas Duffy 0 644.75 70.17 137 182 5-8
162 Mischief 0 632.21 75.59 128 186 7-11
163 Crossfire 0 620.47 73.34 133 188 2-12
164 Bomb Squad 0 593.45 64.32 144 188 4-12
165 Tennessee Folklore 0 583.93 67.08 143 188 5-14
166 Fat Stacks 0 579.10 79.70 133 190 3-9
167 MBTA 0 578.27 119.31 112 202 1-4
168 Carbon 0 564.29 53.24 147 186 4-8
169 Bud 0 557.78 47.48 151 183 1-4
170 Conspiracy Theory 0 543.90 112.14 121 201 1-5
171 Friendly Fire 0 524.29 48.42 154 190 5-8
172 Scoop 0 499.28 49.89 153 193 7-11
173 Reál Hogs FC [B] 0 498.56 73.19 151 195 1-10
174 Green Mountain Boys 0 483.86 42.67 154 190 2-7
175 Alliance 2 0 481.89 69.59 153 197 3-9
176 Bonzaiiiii!! 0 469.83 101.83 144 203 2-4
177 Rawhide 0 466.66 55.81 160 194 3-6
178 Black Gold 0 464.71 71.37 154 200 5-8
179 Heatwave 0 461.07 94.42 135 204 4-2
180 Texas United 0 436.36 123.74 133 207 2-4
181 Spring Break '93 0 428.90 112.08 145 206 3-8
182 Players Into Serious Sports 0 410.91 45.10 168 199 0-9
183 Sonoran Dog 0 410.35 93.93 154 204 4-5
184 COSmic U-20 Boys 0 395.87 115.64 141 208 1-5
185 Southern Hospitality 0 393.64 66.97 164 202 4-8
186 DAP LAB 0 391.58 92.40 150 205 3-2
187 Diesel 0 384.50 85.61 161 204 4-12
188 Atlanta Outlaws 0 377.34 65.17 167 203 2-8
189 Romulus-A 0 373.96 82.69 162 203 3-8
190 PARLAY 0 366.29 92.49 161 206 2-14
191 Forge 0 348.29 62.94 169 203 5-13
192 BUDA Regional CUT [B] 0 339.07 224.41 106 212 0-6
193 BDC 0 319.07 95.39 156 206 2-2
194 Buffalo Frostbite 0 308.12 64.31 173 205 3-9
195 Nocturnal 0 302.17 114.42 157 209 4-9
196 Monsoon 0 284.75 0.42 189 201 0-2
197 Gambit 0 276.03 84.25 173 209 2-16
198 Enigma 0 257.02 120.00 163 211 2-9
199 Barefoot 0 218.24 68.25 180 209 2-10
200 Long Island Riff Raff 0 204.93 117.74 170 213 1-4
201 Supercell 0 156.95 75.02 186 210 1-12
202 Maumee Boys 0 143.23 128.54 168 212 1-10
203 Beef Depot 0 81.57 59.63 196 211 3-6
204 Colorado Cutthroat U-17 Boys 0 60.88 182.09 161 213 0-5
205 Dallas Delinquents 0 45.28 80.78 189 212 2-15
206 Motive 0 41.14 109.81 186 213 1-16
207 Vintage Velocity 0 -6.90 158.51 180 213 0-6
208 San Antonio Warhawks 0 -17.64 166.45 177 213 3-3
209 Float 0 -23.24 250.97 139 213 0-5
210 Colorado Cutthroat U-20 Boys TWO 0 -39.64 252.78 134 213 0-5
211 A La Carte [B] 0 -163.21 184.70 184 213 0-6
212 Prism 0 -260.28 157.69 196 213 0-10
213 Jolly Roger 0 -280.94 96.50 206 213 1-9