#91 Tennessee-Chattanooga (15-11)

avg: 1305.72  •  sd: 56.98  •  top 16/20: 0%

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# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
162 Emory Win 8-6 1116.52 Feb 24th The Only Tenn I See Memorial Tournament
218 Georgia-B** Win 11-3 884.36 Ignored Feb 24th The Only Tenn I See Memorial Tournament
129 Illinois Win 8-5 1491.11 Feb 24th The Only Tenn I See Memorial Tournament
33 Union (Tennessee) Loss 6-7 1676.17 Feb 24th The Only Tenn I See Memorial Tournament
31 Alabama-Huntsville Loss 2-13 1232.1 Feb 25th The Only Tenn I See Memorial Tournament
33 Union (Tennessee) Loss 3-15 1201.17 Feb 25th The Only Tenn I See Memorial Tournament
174 Kentucky Win 12-11 843.59 Feb 25th The Only Tenn I See Memorial Tournament
233 Alabama-Birmingham** Win 13-1 686.05 Ignored Mar 23rd Moxie Madness
139 Berry Win 12-5 1535.61 Mar 23rd Moxie Madness
33 Union (Tennessee) Loss 4-13 1201.17 Mar 23rd Moxie Madness
199 Xavier** Win 13-3 1054.1 Ignored Mar 23rd Moxie Madness
139 Berry Win 13-5 1535.61 Mar 24th Moxie Madness
33 Union (Tennessee) Loss 3-13 1201.17 Mar 24th Moxie Madness
162 Emory Win 13-5 1416.03 Apr 13th Southern Appalachian D I Womens Conferences 2024
19 Georgia Loss 9-12 1682.81 Apr 13th Southern Appalachian D I Womens Conferences 2024
226 Georgia Southern** Win 14-4 798.86 Ignored Apr 13th Southern Appalachian D I Womens Conferences 2024
218 Georgia-B** Win 14-4 884.36 Ignored Apr 13th Southern Appalachian D I Womens Conferences 2024
162 Emory Win 7-5 1144.17 Apr 14th Southern Appalachian D I Womens Conferences 2024
55 Georgia Tech Loss 5-15 948.96 Apr 14th Southern Appalachian D I Womens Conferences 2024
63 Tennessee Loss 10-15 1024.51 Apr 14th Southern Appalachian D I Womens Conferences 2024
32 Central Florida Loss 0-15 1217.19 Apr 27th Southeast D I College Womens Regionals 2024
170 Jacksonville State Win 15-6 1361.77 Apr 27th Southeast D I College Womens Regionals 2024
155 Tulane Win 12-7 1369.07 Apr 27th Southeast D I College Womens Regionals 2024
211 Vanderbilt** Win 13-2 932.2 Ignored Apr 27th Southeast D I College Womens Regionals 2024
19 Georgia Loss 7-15 1428.17 Apr 28th Southeast D I College Womens Regionals 2024
55 Georgia Tech Loss 10-11 1423.96 Apr 28th Southeast D I College Womens Regionals 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)