#31 North Carolina-Charlotte (19-19)

avg: 1920.89  •  sd: 41.87  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
78 Carleton College-CHOP Win 15-4 2204.23 Jan 27th Carolina Kickoff 2024
50 Duke Loss 14-15 1647.52 Jan 27th Carolina Kickoff 2024
97 Lehigh Win 15-7 2126.34 Jan 27th Carolina Kickoff 2024
14 North Carolina State Loss 9-15 1655.99 Jan 28th Carolina Kickoff 2024
27 North Carolina-Wilmington Win 15-12 2295.78 Jan 28th Carolina Kickoff 2024
42 South Carolina Loss 14-15 1721.77 Jan 28th Carolina Kickoff 2024
79 Case Western Reserve Win 13-10 1923.84 Feb 10th Queen City Tune Up 2024
152 Harvard** Win 15-6 1911.24 Ignored Feb 10th Queen City Tune Up 2024
59 William & Mary Win 14-13 1852.3 Feb 10th Queen City Tune Up 2024
16 Penn State Loss 8-15 1583.41 Feb 10th Queen City Tune Up 2024
13 Alabama-Huntsville Loss 7-11 1730.32 Feb 11th Queen City Tune Up 2024
70 James Madison Win 15-13 1847.37 Feb 11th Queen City Tune Up 2024
28 Georgia Tech Win 11-8 2353.63 Feb 24th Easterns Qualifier 2024
152 Harvard** Win 13-2 1911.24 Ignored Feb 24th Easterns Qualifier 2024
97 Lehigh Win 13-8 2022.5 Feb 24th Easterns Qualifier 2024
96 Notre Dame Win 13-5 2130.99 Feb 24th Easterns Qualifier 2024
50 Duke Loss 10-11 1647.52 Feb 25th Easterns Qualifier 2024
57 Virginia Loss 9-12 1393.46 Feb 25th Easterns Qualifier 2024
27 North Carolina-Wilmington Loss 8-10 1732.62 Feb 25th Easterns Qualifier 2024
35 Ohio State Loss 10-13 1575.1 Feb 25th Easterns Qualifier 2024
13 Alabama-Huntsville Loss 8-11 1831.61 Mar 30th Easterns 2024
8 Brown Loss 6-13 1676.39 Mar 30th Easterns 2024
5 Cal Poly-SLO Loss 9-13 1978.28 Mar 30th Easterns 2024
16 Penn State Loss 4-13 1548.22 Mar 30th Easterns 2024
36 Wisconsin Win 15-11 2275.07 Mar 31st Easterns 2024
35 Ohio State Win 13-10 2231.39 Mar 31st Easterns 2024
18 Northeastern Loss 10-13 1779.91 Mar 31st Easterns 2024
14 North Carolina State Loss 10-11 2046.47 Apr 13th Carolina D I Mens Conferences 2024
42 South Carolina Win 14-6 2446.77 Apr 13th Carolina D I Mens Conferences 2024
241 Wake Forest** Win 15-3 1586.99 Ignored Apr 13th Carolina D I Mens Conferences 2024
2 North Carolina Loss 8-15 1921.52 Apr 14th Carolina D I Mens Conferences 2024
14 North Carolina State Loss 10-15 1717.87 Apr 14th Carolina D I Mens Conferences 2024
72 Appalachian State Win 15-10 2082.26 May 4th Atlantic Coast D I College Mens Regionals 2024
2 North Carolina Loss 6-15 1886.33 May 4th Atlantic Coast D I College Mens Regionals 2024
42 South Carolina Win 13-12 1971.77 May 4th Atlantic Coast D I College Mens Regionals 2024
14 North Carolina State Loss 5-15 1571.47 May 5th Atlantic Coast D I College Mens Regionals 2024
44 Virginia Tech Win 14-10 2213.11 May 5th Atlantic Coast D I College Mens Regionals 2024
27 North Carolina-Wilmington Win 10-9 2120.28 May 5th Atlantic Coast D I College Mens Regionals 2024
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)