#28 Missouri (21-4)

avg: 1731.99  •  sd: 91.02  •  top 16/20: 2.4%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
92 Iowa State** Win 12-3 1711.73 Ignored Feb 22nd Dust Bowl 2025
192 St Olaf-B** Win 13-1 1070.42 Ignored Feb 22nd Dust Bowl 2025
43 Washington University Win 10-7 1950.02 Feb 22nd Dust Bowl 2025
111 Kansas** Win 11-2 1598.48 Ignored Feb 23rd Dust Bowl 2025
43 Washington University Win 11-9 1809.56 Feb 23rd Dust Bowl 2025
144 Knox** Win 13-3 1325.69 Ignored Mar 1st Midwest Throwdown 2025
43 Washington University Win 9-6 1978.92 Mar 1st Midwest Throwdown 2025
55 St Olaf Win 6-5 1566.22 Mar 1st Midwest Throwdown 2025
117 Northwestern** Win 8-3 1539.88 Ignored Mar 1st Midwest Throwdown 2025
101 Macalester Win 12-7 1574.99 Mar 2nd Midwest Throwdown 2025
87 Michigan Tech Win 11-5 1733.92 Mar 2nd Midwest Throwdown 2025
43 Washington University Loss 9-10 1435.35 Mar 2nd Midwest Throwdown 2025
120 Loyola-Chicago** Win 13-2 1528.79 Ignored Mar 22nd Meltdown 2025
208 Wheaton (Illinois)** Win 13-1 894.48 Ignored Mar 22nd Meltdown 2025
128 Winona State** Win 10-2 1444.6 Ignored Mar 22nd Meltdown 2025
192 St Olaf-B** Win 13-1 1070.42 Ignored Mar 22nd Meltdown 2025
120 Loyola-Chicago Loss 4-6 563.18 Mar 23rd Meltdown 2025
192 St Olaf-B** Win 7-1 1070.42 Ignored Mar 23rd Meltdown 2025
96 Arkansas** Win 14-6 1691.69 Ignored Apr 12th Ozarks D I Womens Conferences 2025
215 Washington University-B** Win 15-0 862.07 Ignored Apr 12th Ozarks D I Womens Conferences 2025
43 Washington University Win 15-6 2160.35 Apr 13th Ozarks D I Womens Conferences 2025
4 Colorado Loss 0-15 1728.58 Apr 26th South Central D I College Womens Regionals 2025
4 Colorado Loss 5-13 1728.58 Apr 27th South Central D I College Womens Regionals 2025
140 Saint Louis** Win 12-5 1337.53 Ignored Apr 27th South Central D I College Womens Regionals 2025
44 Texas-Dallas Win 13-8 2049.55 Apr 27th South Central D I College Womens Regionals 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)