#178 Dickinson (10-18)

avg: 1152.8  •  sd: 58.21  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
231 Colby Win 13-5 1527.19 Feb 22nd Bring The Huckus 2025
113 West Chester Loss 8-9 1250.96 Feb 22nd Bring The Huckus 2025
222 MIT Win 9-7 1255.46 Feb 22nd Bring The Huckus 2025
162 Delaware Win 13-8 1709.44 Feb 23rd Bring The Huckus 2025
161 Ithaca Win 13-10 1543.18 Feb 23rd Bring The Huckus 2025
113 West Chester Win 15-14 1500.96 Feb 23rd Bring The Huckus 2025
181 American Win 12-8 1580.11 Mar 22nd Atlantic Coast Open 2025
173 East Carolina Loss 8-9 1041.37 Mar 22nd Atlantic Coast Open 2025
401 George Washington-B** Win 15-2 613.1 Ignored Mar 22nd Atlantic Coast Open 2025
69 North Carolina-Charlotte Loss 7-11 1137.55 Mar 22nd Atlantic Coast Open 2025
105 Appalachian State Loss 11-15 1053.13 Mar 23rd Atlantic Coast Open 2025
96 Lehigh Loss 12-14 1243.66 Mar 23rd Atlantic Coast Open 2025
91 Vermont-B Loss 12-14 1257.34 Mar 23rd Atlantic Coast Open 2025
40 Middlebury** Loss 3-13 1174.28 Ignored Mar 29th Easterns 2025
77 Richmond Loss 5-13 964.2 Mar 29th Easterns 2025
33 Elon** Loss 1-13 1225.66 Ignored Mar 29th Easterns 2025
66 Franciscan Loss 2-9 1023.97 Mar 29th Easterns 2025
143 Davidson Loss 6-15 678.6 Mar 30th Easterns 2025
170 Messiah Loss 8-15 618.46 Mar 30th Easterns 2025
180 Grove City Loss 13-14 1020.07 Apr 12th West Penn D III Mens Conferences 2025
338 Penn State-Behrend Win 15-10 1002.36 Apr 12th West Penn D III Mens Conferences 2025
180 Grove City Loss 14-15 1020.07 Apr 12th West Penn D III Mens Conferences 2025
144 Oberlin Loss 9-10 1145.28 Apr 26th Ohio Valley D III College Mens Regionals 2025
132 Kenyon Loss 9-10 1190.76 Apr 26th Ohio Valley D III College Mens Regionals 2025
196 Haverford Loss 6-13 468.39 Apr 26th Ohio Valley D III College Mens Regionals 2025
234 Scranton Win 13-9 1335.13 Apr 26th Ohio Valley D III College Mens Regionals 2025
66 Franciscan Loss 9-15 1108.49 Apr 27th Ohio Valley D III College Mens Regionals 2025
196 Haverford Win 15-4 1668.39 Apr 27th Ohio Valley D III College Mens Regionals 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)