#235 Skidmore (15-12)

avg: 915.2  •  sd: 57.37  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
339 Delaware-B Win 9-6 950.55 Feb 22nd Bring The Huckus 2025
331 Hofstra Win 13-7 1128.43 Feb 22nd Bring The Huckus 2025
356 Lehigh-B Win 9-4 1011.44 Feb 22nd Bring The Huckus 2025
314 Rowan Win 9-8 748.62 Feb 22nd Bring The Huckus 2025
231 Colby Loss 3-8 327.19 Feb 23rd Bring The Huckus 2025
222 MIT Loss 12-13 851.13 Feb 23rd Bring The Huckus 2025
113 West Chester Loss 9-15 860.48 Feb 23rd Bring The Huckus 2025
161 Ithaca Loss 6-9 796.48 Mar 29th Northeast Classic 2025
192 Vassar Win 10-9 1208.23 Mar 29th Northeast Classic 2025
267 SUNY-Geneseo Loss 6-9 381.14 Mar 29th Northeast Classic 2025
213 SUNY-Albany Loss 8-9 887.42 Mar 29th Northeast Classic 2025
209 Penn State-B Win 13-11 1253.54 Mar 30th Northeast Classic 2025
330 SUNY-Cortland Win 13-4 1171.4 Mar 30th Northeast Classic 2025
213 SUNY-Albany Win 12-8 1453.57 Mar 30th Northeast Classic 2025
192 Vassar Loss 7-11 616.34 Mar 30th Northeast Classic 2025
315 Hartford Win 13-6 1222.74 Apr 12th Hudson Valley D III Mens Conferences 2025
415 New Haven** Win 13-2 257.1 Ignored Apr 12th Hudson Valley D III Mens Conferences 2025
73 Wesleyan Loss 6-13 987.29 Apr 12th Hudson Valley D III Mens Conferences 2025
246 Connecticut College Win 12-10 1123.57 Apr 13th Hudson Valley D III Mens Conferences 2025
349 Rensselaer Polytech Win 14-5 1054.88 Apr 13th Hudson Valley D III Mens Conferences 2025
73 Wesleyan Loss 8-15 1022.48 Apr 13th Hudson Valley D III Mens Conferences 2025
192 Vassar Loss 10-13 755.09 Apr 13th Hudson Valley D III Mens Conferences 2025
176 Hamilton Loss 5-10 583.51 Apr 26th Metro East D III College Mens Regionals 2025
161 Ithaca Loss 7-12 694.53 Apr 26th Metro East D III College Mens Regionals 2025
349 Rensselaer Polytech Win 8-7 579.88 Apr 26th Metro East D III College Mens Regionals 2025
330 SUNY-Cortland Win 10-9 696.4 Apr 26th Metro East D III College Mens Regionals 2025
330 SUNY-Cortland Win 15-4 1171.4 Apr 27th Metro East D III College Mens Regionals 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)