#314 Rowan (12-15)

avg: 623.62  •  sd: 76.87  •  top 16/20: 0%

Click on a column to sort  • 
# Opponent Result Game Rating Status Date Event
162 Delaware Loss 6-10 717.12 Feb 22nd Bring The Huckus 2025
339 Delaware-B Win 13-5 1131.99 Feb 22nd Bring The Huckus 2025
356 Lehigh-B Loss 6-7 286.44 Feb 22nd Bring The Huckus 2025
235 Skidmore Loss 8-9 790.2 Feb 22nd Bring The Huckus 2025
331 Hofstra Win 9-6 989.46 Feb 23rd Bring The Huckus 2025
356 Lehigh-B Win 12-2 1011.44 Feb 23rd Bring The Huckus 2025
384 West Chester-B Loss 2-4 -271.62 Feb 23rd Bring The Huckus 2025
337 Pennsylvania Western Loss 5-10 -22.8 Mar 29th Northeast Classic 2025
416 Siena** Win 13-4 186.18 Ignored Mar 29th Northeast Classic 2025
380 SUNY-Binghamton-B Win 13-3 845.04 Mar 29th Northeast Classic 2025
384 West Chester-B Win 9-8 349.54 Mar 29th Northeast Classic 2025
359 Cornell-B Loss 9-10 272.78 Mar 30th Northeast Classic 2025
418 SUNY-Albany-B** Win 13-0 98.08 Ignored Mar 30th Northeast Classic 2025
380 SUNY-Binghamton-B Win 13-5 845.04 Mar 30th Northeast Classic 2025
331 Hofstra Win 15-7 1170.89 Apr 12th Metro NY D I Mens Conferences 2025
386 New Jersey Tech Win 15-10 648.15 Apr 12th Metro NY D I Mens Conferences 2025
216 Princeton Loss 2-15 397.06 Apr 12th Metro NY D I Mens Conferences 2025
149 Rutgers** Loss 4-15 663.64 Ignored Apr 12th Metro NY D I Mens Conferences 2025
106 Columbia** Loss 6-15 828.85 Ignored Apr 13th Metro NY D I Mens Conferences 2025
248 NYU Loss 5-10 301.17 Apr 13th Metro NY D I Mens Conferences 2025
216 Princeton Loss 8-11 631.45 Apr 13th Metro NY D I Mens Conferences 2025
248 NYU Loss 8-13 378.91 Apr 26th Metro East D I College Mens Regionals 2025
31 Ottawa** Loss 3-15 1254.8 Ignored Apr 26th Metro East D I College Mens Regionals 2025
115 RIT Loss 9-15 851.52 Apr 26th Metro East D I College Mens Regionals 2025
322 Central Connecticut State Win 8-6 895.56 Apr 27th Metro East D I College Mens Regionals 2025
329 Connecticut-B Win 14-10 973.7 Apr 27th Metro East D I College Mens Regionals 2025
331 Hofstra Loss 2-6 -29.11 Apr 27th Metro East D I College Mens Regionals 2025
**Blowout Eligible

FAQ

What is the uncertainty of the mean?
The uncertainty of the mean is equal to the standard deviation of the set of game ratings, divided by the square root of the number of games. We treated a team’s ranking as a normally distributed random variable, with the USAU ranking as the mean and the uncertainty of the ranking as the standard deviation
What's the algorithm again?
  1. Calculate uncertainy for USAU ranking averge
  2. Model ranking as a normal distribution around USAU averge with standard deviation equal to uncertainty
  3. Simulate seasons by drawing a rank for each team from their distribution. Note the teams in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  4. Sum the fractions for each region for how often each of it's teams appeared in the top 16 (club) or top 20 (college)
  5. Subtract one from each fraction for "autobids"
  6. Award remainings bids to the regions with the highest remaining fraction, subtracting one from the fraction each time a bid is awarded
Is there a longer explanation of all this?
There is an article on Ulitworld written by Scott Dunham and I that gives a little more context (though it probably was the thing that linked you here)